Outshined_One
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Everything posted by Outshined_One
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The one thing about this draft is, it hinges heavily on the Cubs' medical and training staff. They've had success with guys like Wiggins and Horton so far, so guys like Coppola and Jerzembeck are intriguing as guys who could follow similar paths. Pitch lab could also have some fun with Wing and Reid. It's the hitting side that's a bit unproven. I can't think of any recent success stories this team has had with injury reclamation projects, so Conrad and Hartshorn are going to be interesting test cases. -
Odd draft, and not the one I expected.
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There's definitely something up league-wide. 2024 Undrafted Ranked Players 2025 Undrafted Ranked Players The draft isn't over yet and it's likely at least a few of those guys get popped, but there's a lot of mid-tier HS depth that's currently sitting undrafted compared to last year.
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Selecting multiple guys who dropped due to medicals is definitely a choice.
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The key thing to keep in mind with the Cubs' draft is their bonus pool is dictated by where they are picking in the draft and how many picks they have. Because they have the 17th pick and did not receive any draft pick compensation for any FAs, they are pretty much middle of the road relative to the rest of the league. In the Cubs' situation, finding 2-3 guys people are excited about in the first 10 rounds is actually a good thing. It's not ideal, I'll grant that, but they're not situated to take top end guys by virtue of where they are picking and their draft pool won't let them go completely bananas. You basically end up ragpicking in this scenario, and it's hard to find treasure among the detritus. It's worth keeping an eye on the next few rounds, though.
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The Tigers apparently drafted an entire college:
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The Cubs just drafted a 6'8 245 lb pitcher.
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I'm not thrilled with a guy who has had back issues as a teenager, but the potential is excellent.
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It'd be hilarious if Bruin Agbayani were a Southern Cal commit, but alas, only Michigan.
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Athletic high upside HS arm with limited mileage, promising offspeed stuff, and comes from a baseball family. All good things!
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That's more like it.
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Turley off the board. The A's have had a low key really good draft so far.
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The short answer is, there is a lot of fuzzy accounting that happens in the MLB Draft. Teams have bonus pools which they can allocate, and MLB places penalties on teams on a sliding scale based on how far over a team goes. On the flipside of the equation, HS players now have a fair amount of leverage thanks to NIL, so there's not a lot of risk for guys to ask for significant signing bonuses. Make no mistake, the overwhelming majority of HS guys rated as first round picks will get drafted in the first round and will sign. However, where things get squishy is when you start seeing guys making first round demands who maybe aren't rated that high. So, what a team might end up doing is draft a bunch of guys who'll sign underslot, and then take one of those guys with, say, a 6th round pick and offer him a substantial bonus. If he signs, awesome. If he doesn't, it's not as big of a loss compared with drafting him with a 2nd rounder and losing that pick. There's a good crop of high ceiling HS pitching still available, including Chicago area pitchers LHP Jack Bauer (Lincoln Way East) and LHP Cameron Appenzeller (Glenwood HS).
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2025 In-Season Cubs Top Prospect Lists Updates
Outshined_One replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
A healthy Conrad is probably around 7 for me, behind Alcantara and Long, but as is, I'd probably slide him back around 9 due to his injury and surgery. He apparently is making good progress with his recovery, but shoulder injuries have a nasty tendency to linger, and I'm curious as to whether he'll see any action in fall/winter ball. -
I agree, this is about the Big Picture, but in the moment, it's disappointing.
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So. I like these picks in a vacuum. If you told me the Cubs took these three guys individually, I'd be okay with each one. Conrad, Kepler, and Reid all make sense as Cubs picks. But, together? It doesn't look fantastic on paper.
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I have a hard time bagging on drafts. I'm sure I could turn the clock back to threads from the last 20 years where I was praying the Cubs wouldn't take future HOFers and hoping beyond hope they'd take guys who flamed out in AA. Except Hayden Simpson. horsefeathers that pick.
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Seems to have a better eye at the plate from the reports. He sounds like the CF version James Triantos or Nico Hoerner, which is, fine, I guess? A profile like that should be a quality 4th OF as a realistic outcome, but it's the sort of pick you'd expect after taking an overslot in the 1st.
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I'm underwhelmed, but will wait for The Model to tell me why I'm wrong.
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horsefeathers horsefeathers horsefeathers horsefeathers Stop taking all the fun ones other teams!!!
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After Cole Mathis being a bit of a mess post-injury recovery, I really hope this team did their homework on his medicals.
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Chaos is fun, but no one's gone completely off board yet. Hall and Bremner were still potential picks in the 10-15 range in early mocks. It mostly feels.like a reshuffling of the top 15 picks so far.
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Devin Taylor also makes sense as an underslot if you buy the Schwarber Lite comps.
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Woohoo, it's finally here! Late rumors have Wehiwa Aloy and Marek Houston slipping, with Devin Taylor and Ethan Conrad getting attention as possible underslot candidates in the Cubs' range. This is also the first draft in awhile where the #1 pick hasn't been sussed out yet, from what I remember. Bazzana came close, but I believe the Guardians made their intentions known around this point last year.
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2025 MLB Draft Thread
Outshined_One replied to Outshined_One's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Closing up shop here, it's draft day!
