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dawson1989

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Everything posted by dawson1989

  1. He's ridiculous but it's more like the doubles record. If you set it, you're a great player but it's not the holy grail of your sports records like HRs are for baseball. What I find crazy, last year he beat 2nd place by less than 50 3-pters. Right now he leads by 113 and it's likely to grow to around 150 by season end. That's a number that would have nearly led the league as recently as 2011-12. A margin of victory so large it could have led the league just 5 years ago.
  2. I'd join the committee
  3. Is there a Facebook page? https://www.facebook.com/levin.black.7 ?
  4. Someone already volunteered and I set him up. It will be...interesting. Is there a Facebook page?
  5. How many Cubs in top 20? Rizzo, Bryant, Arrieta... I felt like Lester should've been in the top 100 somewhere, but then I look at the pitchers in the back end of that list and ehhh... Puig, Pujols? ... among others
  6. It was THEO. ya know, the guy whose body language actually looked like someone shouting at people 100 feet away. You tilt your head up to shout over distance like Theo is doing, you don't look straight ahead like Dexter. This really isn't difficult. http://i740.photobucket.com/albums/xx46/swollengoat/hahayeah.gif
  7. My impression of OleMissCub in this thread. http://blog.similarweb.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/07/giph3truck.gif
  8. Seen this before but can't figure out what it would stand for.
  9. Whatever, before your daughter you used to post pictures of your bitches all day long. so this guy has been here long enough to remember bob sanders from like 2006 WHO ARE YOU!? If you notice, I edited my post right away. At first glance thought it was the guy who told me about the site who I know. Made the post and realized I misread the posters name.
  10. The way he wrote it made it sound like the Cubs had three individual players who had played every position at the MLB level over their individual careers.
  11. This tweet makes my brain hurt. Explain it to me. Odd way of saying the Cubs have at least three guys at every position who have MLB experience at said position.
  12. http://www.thegifspot.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/o7x1oEZ.gif
  13. Where did you get the average? Been looking and ended up just having to filter to qualified CF and do the math myself which isn't the exact number. Guys like Trout and McCutchen have bumped CF up recently. http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=cf&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ss&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0 Basically just click on the league tag. Thanks. FYI .734 not .743
  14. Where did you get the average? Been looking and ended up just having to filter to qualified CF and do the math myself which isn't the exact number. Guys like Trout and McCutchen have bumped CF up recently.
  15. According to Fangraphs, the top 30 CF averaged a .747 OPS (minimum 400 AB). If you go with only qualified batters then the 23 who qualified average .765.
  16. I believe they are playing him in centerfield...if he's not an unmitigated disaster there defensively, that OPS would be very good. And no, I don't think Cespedes made everyone around him perform better, and if you sincerely think that the mere presence of Cespedes elevated all of those players to the degree that you're saying, I find it hard to believe you're as into advanced stats as you say you are. You realize CF is no worse than a corner OF spot now right? A .770 OPS in CF would be right at average.
  17. http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=13110&position=OF#value It's far from laughable. The Mets may not score enough, but if they don't (which they probably will), it won't be because they have one guy putting up a .770 OPS. The Mets second half offensive surge wasn't just because of Cespedes. It was because of Granderson. It was also because of Conforto. Duda was amazing. D'Arnaud was really good. Some of those might be sustainable and some might not be. Oh, and by the way, a .770 OPS is pretty well above average in today's run environment. Probably around 10% above average. In CF it's even better, although you can subtract a few runs defensively for him playing there. You might need to re-calibrate your expectations for what good offense is. I'm well aware of fangraphs and their value system. I'm actually pretty heavy into advanced stats and like most of them. Paying a player of that caliber $25 million isn't smart in the real world. You got limited money unless you are the Yankees. Just because a computer says his play is worth that much doesn't mean you can actually pay that much and still have enough to field the rest of the team well enough to contend. The Mets don't have the deepest pocket books. If Cespedes turns out to be the player I described, the contract will not be good for the Mets. And yes everyone else raised their level in the 2nd half. You think that has anything to do with the Mets getting a player who dominated like an MVP thus allowing everyone else to see better pitches? If Cespedes falls down to levels like his 2nd and 3rd seasons opposing pitchers will adjust. Finally, I realize .770 is a decent bit above average. Problem is your using all players. He's an outfielder. I believe the average starter OPS in the outfield is above .770 making my example a below average player for his position. I don't think any GM would accept paying that much for .770 OFer which gets back to my argument that in the real world of baseball he isn't worth $25 million a year.
  18. Sorry Souza was fresh on my mind. Basically I expect Cespedes to be a .270, .320, .450 guy with a ton of strike outs and 25ish HRs. Decent but by no means the star bat the Mets need and paid for. Seems like a guy who got his contract and now won't be as focused. Not good for a guy that already had a lot of swing and miss. strikeouts do not matter if he's putting up the numbers you say and in his first two years he was almost worth his 2016 salary, and in 2014 he was worth $25M and last year (which I understand you consider an aberration, but that doesn't mean you can entirely handwave it away) he was worth more than twice that. the numbers you project him for are worth his salary unless he basically becomes adam dunn as far as defensive contribution and i'm relatively down on cespedes and don't think he'll repeat anything resembling last year...i'm mainly taking issue with what you think x amount of production is worth in dollars. Haha. Sorry but a .770 hitter is not worth $25 million a year. Go ahead and pay that much and see how good of a team you field. Anyways, even if you think his play merits that much money my point was the example stats I gave will not be what the Mets need in their lineup. They finally opened up their wallet because they need him to be a great player who at the worst is somewhere in between what he was with the Tigers and what he was after the trade. They have no one else who is capable of lifting that lineup high enough to be a contender. If he is a sub .800 hitter, the Mets won't score enough.
  19. Feels like the right time to say I expect him to regress badly and just be a rich man's Souza. http://static.comicvine.com/uploads/original/11112/111127013/4145280-yosemite+sam+%26+bugs+bunny+-+hare+trimmed+(pistols+at+ten+paces)+(low).flv.gif Sorry Souza was fresh on my mind. Basically I expect Cespedes to be a .270, .320, .450 guy with a ton of strike outs and 25ish HRs. Decent but by no means the star bat the Mets need and paid for. Seems like a guy who got his contract and now won't be as focused. Not good for a guy that already had a lot of swing and miss.
  20. Feels like the right time to say I expect him to regress badly and just be a rich man's Souza.
  21. It's the Seahawks of college basketball.
  22. I'm going to tell Geo you said that and he's going to bean you with a ball ... on the third try
  23. Careful or you'll awaken the satanchip.
  24. Don't you talk about Geo that way!
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