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UMFan83

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Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. One thing I noticed is that Hamel's ERA entering July was 3.61 before 4 really poor starts. I'm thinking his peripherals predicted this decline based on how poor they are now but its also possible he is also suffering through a dead arm period or something like that. He has some decent starts this year, some against good teams 4/13 @ Houston 6 IP 2 ER 4/24 vs. Oakland 6.1 IP 2 ER 4/30 @ Cleveland 5 IP 1 ER 5/5 vs. Boston 6 IP 2 ER 5/11 @ Houston 6 IP 0 ER (1 hit) 5/22 vs. Yankees 7 IP 2 ER 6/2 @ Angels 7 IP 2 ER 6/13 @ Dodgers 6 IP 1 ER 6/19 @ Royals 7 IP 0 ER
  2. He’s been downright awful.. 5.20 FIP. How has he bounced back this season? His road numbers are encouraging, but there is absolutely no way I would say he’s had a bounce back season. I’m not saying this is a bad deal since we didn’t give up much and Chatwood is terrible. But, Hamels needs to pitch a lot better in a Cubs uniform. There was some pitcher guy that the Cubs were interested in this offseason who had really amazing road numbers. For the life of me, I can't recall how that turned out. Unless going from a hitters park to somewhere normal causes you to forget how to throw strikes, I don’t think we should compare Chatwood’s situation to Hamels too much
  3. More confirmation: [tweet] [/tweet]
  4. Imagine our rotation back in 2014
  5. Would it be at all bad to have 4 lefties in the rotation assuming it’s Lester/Quintana/Montgomery/Hamels/Hendricks (the righty)?
  6. I get that there will be adjustments to be made when pitchers start getting a book, but this dude is going to be a *star. Not just a nice role player. A star. My favorite thing about him is the fact that not only does he field well, but all of his throws no matter from what angle are always pinpoint. *I realize this might be over the top, as I've seen him play like 10 times. But he still is going to be a star. That last one just made me laugh out loud
  7. "The Cubs move to 11-8 when Chatwood starts so we should keep him in the rotation" - Derwood, probably
  8. I'm not saying Almora is Ichiro, or that he will continue with those numbers. Though it is funny that you all predict his success against righties OR lefties on a really limited sample size (he has fewer than 500 career PA's against righties, and all of 267 against lefties). And now I've become the Almora defender, which I have no intention of being. Oh well, Go Cubs This is ignoring what started your involvement in this discussion that his BABIP and GB% is historically very very unlikely to produce the numbers Almora has over time. The sample size there is much much larger than 500 PAs.
  9. That's not what I'm saying. What I'm saying is "it's been 60 degrees for the last 3 days, and you saying that the average temperature those days is 38 doesn't change the fact that it was 60 degrees the last 3 days" Then what is your horsefeathering point? I mean I know your whole thing is to say insanely obvious things but what the horsefeathering hell?
  10. 864 OPS against lefties in July in how many PA's? And why use arbitrary data sets (calendar months)? Listen, I'm not arguing that Almora is great or even very good, but I'm tired of the "his good stats don't count because BABIP" refrain. I absolutely think he's going to end up with pedestrian numbers by season's end, but I don't discredit what he's done to this point http://www.reactiongifs.com/r/2013/10/tim-and-eric-mind-blown.gif OK fine, give him the Bryan LaHair Award For Extended Outlier Performance
  11. "It's been 60 degrees the last 3 days but its February so I don't think we can expect that for much longer based on historical trends" Derwood: I understand your logic, but let me present to you the fact that its been 60 degrees for the last 3 days so its possible that the weather will continue to outperform
  12. To begin with, the .381 BABIP on 50% GBs and ~5% BB rate and ~20% K rate. All of which is true, and yet, he has still produced JFC Derwood
  13. That play by Schwarber looked almost identical to the one he botched in the NLDS last year except this time he made it and got some contact with the wall for his efforts.
  14. The one good thing about Javy's free swinging ABs is that he does tend to get more "Reach First on a K"'s than most hitters.
  15. Time to dong morons. Someone trap Chili in the equipment locker a la Phil Brickma and get to work
  16. Is Hamels as washed up as Haren? IIRC Haren was washed up because injuries killed his stuff. Hamels just seems old and playing in a hitter's park. His road ERA is considerably lower than his home numbers (I KNOW WHERE HAVE WE HEARD THAT BEFORE?) It's even more dramatic than Chatwood (.911 OPSA at home vs. .697 on the road. 6.41 ERA at home, 2.93 on the road)
  17. Sorry to steal the thunder from the Regular Season Rumors thread but it seems like its getting serious (though its Bowden) and worth its own thread I'm on board with this if the price is low.
  18. We will come back to win and Chatwood will keep his rotation spot because of it.
  19. I mean something is very broken....absolutely no reason to start him again. Fake an injury and put him on the DL, let him try to rebuild himself before spring training. 4 year deal so they probably wont eat his money without giving him 1 more chance to prove himself next year.
  20. Yeah Maddon and Theo have been been harping on how badly the lack of deep starts has hurt the Cubs and needs to change.
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