Just think it will end up that way. The 2 biggest overspenders are unlikely to be part of the bidding, I get the sense that Theo doesn't want to make a big splash this offseason because the team isn't ready for it. So this leaves teams like the Mets (financial issues), Dodgers (still some financial issues), Angels (possible but they blew a lot of money on Wells), Blue Jays (I say this respectfully but, Canada), Nationals (no tradition or strong fan base, might not appeal to someone coming from BFIB). I guess I just don't see a team offering significantly more than what the Cardinals are going to eventually offer him, and with similar offers out there, the desire to remain on the one team he has played for and is beloved will win over. Plus they indirectly proved that they could win with Pujols making a lot more money (my logic: Wainwright hurt all year, and signing Pujols would probably cause the Cardinals to have to let him or Carp go), so the issue about the Cardinals being able to afford him and still win is lessened. It just seems like all the pieces are in place for him to stay in STL.