UMFan83

Again, if the Cubs play .500 the rest of the year, that puts them at 91-71 The Giants would have to go 24-11 to pass the Cubs with 92 wins. If they go 24-11, chances are they would pass the Dodgers and win the West. If that was the case, the Dodgers would have to go 22-14 to win 92 games The chances of all 3 of those things happens (Cubs playing .500ish ball, Giants playing at least .686 ball, Dodgers playing at least .611 ball) are pretty low. Not impossible at all but low. Then you look at the schedules. The Giants and Dodgers still have 7 games left against each other. So right there is 7 more losses split between them already out of 27 losses needed for the Cubs to feel safe at .500. If you presume the Cubs who have been playing out of their minds lately will play better than .500 the rest of the way then obviously it tilts even more in the Cubs favor. Looking at schedules, the Cubs have 13 games left (36%) against the only 3 teams in baseball that have better records than us, 3 this weekend against the Dodgers, 3 at home against the .500ish Diamondbacks, and then 17 games left against the dregs of the league (Cincinnati, Philadelphia, Milwaukee). So for the most part we are either playing really tough teams or [expletive] teams. Giants have 10 games left against St. Louis and the Dodgers and their other 25 games are against sub 500 teams (Colorado, San Diego, Arizona, Oakland). So that's a bit of a concern Dodgers have 16 games left against legit playoff contenders (Cubs, Giants, Pirates, Angels) and then 20 games left against the dregs of the West So overall unless you are expecting the Cubs to collapse or the Giants and Dodgers to BOTH go on big hot streaks, you should feel pretty safe.

Good way to look at it

Attention me? I said the exact same thing in this thread. Except since August 1 it's 16-3 vs 2-3 Also I admitted twice that I really didn't think out that post and shouldn't have made it. Short of starting a new thread apologizing to the board or going on a profanity filled bigoted rant calling everyone Cardinal fans I don't know what else I can do! us having won 2 out of the 5 with the one guy who is actually awful, who has faced sale and bumgarner, is practically of the opposite of what you put out there (winning 20% of our remaining games with haren AND hendricks). i don't care what you admitted, i will make fun of it as i please! That's fine, as long as you acknowledge that I admitted wrongness something 97.6% of NSBB refuses to do

Attention me? I said the exact same thing in this thread. Except since August 1 it's 16-3 vs 2-3 Also I admitted twice that I really didn't think out that post and shouldn't have made it. Short of starting a new thread apologizing to the board or going on a profanity filled bigoted rant calling everyone Cardinal fans I don't know what else I can do!

Not at all thrilled at this move. It's way too late in the season to see if you can fix him. Maybe he will replace Theo's last failed pen acquisition Tommy Hunter

Understandable to struggle against Bumgarner but 3 total hits is a little disappointing. Oh well I have a good feeling against Kershaw tomorrow. And the Giants play the Cardinals so if we win we gain ground on someone. Also the pitching matchups over the weekend greatly favor us. I'm expecting 2/3 against LA

Attack the post not the poster(s) please

Pretty sure Montero will catch. Ya but Montero has struggled mightily vs. Kershaw just about the same as every other lefty. it doesnt change much, you still see herrera out there and if fowler is out again you still see denorfia Montero has a higher OPS against left handers this year than righties Montero's career OPS vs. Kershaw is like .571 Which is probably higher than the career ops of the person he'd be replacing in today's lineup which is either Herrera or Szczur

yeah we will see the same lineup tmrw since he is a lefty. Pretty sure Montero will catch. Ya but Montero has struggled mightily vs. Kershaw just about the same as every other lefty. it doesnt change much, you still see herrera out there and if fowler is out again you still see denorfia Montero has a higher OPS against left handers this year than righties

I'm begging you. Please don't try to make "Triple H" a thing. Please

Well, assuming we lose today, we'll be 16-14 in games started by Hendricks and Haren. So this is one of the dumbest things I've seen. Yeah pie on my face I just threw out a number but it was dumb and shouldn't have posted it.

Why would you compare the Cubs to a historically great pitching staff? Setting the bar a little high don't you think?

you tell me what i said that isnt true and ill pay you ./. facts are facts. the cubs bottom of the rotation is [expletive]. if the bats arent* strong we dont win. Our hot streak in August was due to the BATS coming alive. you watched every game also right? The main reason our offense has been top in the NL in the 2nd half was because of August. Dont sit here and tell me you are blind to see the truth you said kyle hendricks is mediocre you think our rotation is a weakness you think 5th starters are supposed to be really good all of it is wrong tell that to the cardinals which we trail by what 6 games? Hendricks is Average! he isnt above average he isnt good he is average look at how his stats rank up and that he is NOT average. Lmao what does that have to do with anything David said?

I think your post on pitchers just pushed me over the edge Its the truth, cant deny it. The offense carried the cubs during this nice historic winning stretch. look back at the scores usually when Triple H has pitched in August the team either lost or Put up lots of runs.. The offense has been carrying the team And the pitchers carried the offense when he sucked in June/July They DID! But Haren and Hendricks arent very good. Hendricks is average. If Hendricks is average, that's pretty good for a 4th starter. To me Hendricks is a young inconsistent pitcher. He had a stretch this year where he had something like 25 straight scoreless innings. You can't just forget that and only focus on his recent outings

That should have been a no brainer given the price it took to get him. Would be so so nice to have him pitching instead of Haren

yeah i think so lol I think your post on pitchers just pushed me over the edge Its the truth, cant deny it. The offense carried the cubs during this nice historic winning stretch. look back at the scores usually when Triple H has pitched in August the team either lost or Put up lots of runs.. The offense has been carrying the team And the pitchers carried the offense when he sucked in June/July

jesus [expletive] christ I got about halfway through that and just stopped reading. When the cubs matchup the other teams 1st / 2nd starters vs. our 4th / 5th starters,.. i dont care about L/R matchups the best hitters need to play regardless of splits.. Gotta score runs, lots of them because the cubs starters will give em up. Fowler and Soler are hurt, Coghlan can't hit lefties. Not sure why Montero is out when we are down so many guys though. He hits lefties fine.

Those 2 days off really killed Russell's offensive mojo

this is silly as [expletive] You're right I don't know why I said 20%

If we do not win today Cubs will be 2-3 when Haren starts and 16-3 when he doesn't stsrt

If you can count on winning maybe 20% of games started by Haren and Hendricks , it puts a lot of pressure on you to win every Arrieta and Lester start and most of Hammel's

I can totally see Len send the game to commercial in his normal broadcasting voice and then as soon as it's off air saying "Jesus are you kidding me, this guy sucks"

I'm sorry you have to remove him from the rotation and try one of Wada, Richard or Wood

Thanks for the deadline help Theo

If Haren doesn't turn it around here, we're looking at 9 straight non-quality starts from Haren and Hendricks.