I bet you could accurately predict 6 of the 8 division winners today. I would also bet that if you made a list of 6 teams that could win the super bowl the winner would be on your list. I suggest this is true of most capped leagues. Which illustrates the point that the cap isn't leveling the playing field very much. The NFL is different since teams can get immediate help from the draft. So there's more hope for a team like Miami to make the playoffs but they're still unlikely to win the super bowl. I'm guessing you don't follow the NFL. There's turnover all the time. Teams go from the Super Bowl to top of the draft within a couple years. The only stability is with elite QBs. If you have an elite QB, you can be in the hunt every year. Take New England out of the equation and every year is different. And New England not only has an elite QB, but play in a division with horribly run competition. Hmm, while I agree there is more parity in the NFL than biittner77 is giving credit, if you look at the last 13 Super Bowls, only 2 of the teams that played in those Super Bowls have picked in the top 8 since making the Super Bowl, the Cardinals and the Eagles (who did it 9 years after making the Super Bowl). That said, in the last 15 Super Bowls, 18 of the 32 teams have made it so that seems like parity to me, even if it seems like the same AFC teams have made it recently.