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Hrubes20

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Everything posted by Hrubes20

  1. Hrubes20
    Exactly. That's higher than you want to see from a seasoned college hitter. Doesn't bode well as he moves up the ladder. I'm not sure where I saw it (or if I'm just making it up) but 15% K rate in college is the line that I use as the benchmark for a player entering the "too much swing and miss" area. KB was in the 14s. Schwarber was under 11%. Happ was over 19% in the freaking Big East. Just like in the bigs, a player can get around those issues a bit if they take loads of walks and have light tower power. Wilson is solid enough at doing both of those things, but isn't outstanding in either area. Certainly not enough to overcome a potential contact deficiency. I actually took a quick look to see if I was making this up, but it plays out in the results. It's obvious that simply having a K rate under 15% the last year in college will not guarantee a 1st rounder's success, but it's really, really hard to find a relatively recent 1st round college pick that produced at the big league level with a K rate over 15% their last year in college. The list starts and ends with Aaron Judge, and he has arguably the most power in baseball and takes tons of walks.
  2. Hrubes20
    Vaughn to KC at 2 seems like a dang near lock, doesn't it? Abrams and Witt have some nice potential to dream on, but Vaughn's bat looks like a game changer and has performed really well already at the college level and destroyed the Cape League this past summer. Wilson concerns me, in that he's already struck out 30 times this season. I obviously realize that no player taken all the way down at 27 is going to be wart-free, but that's a pretty big damn wart IMO. He does seem to be the type of player this FO would like though, despite the lack of Cape League experience.
  3. Hrubes20
    Really early game for MB today. Lange gets blown up again before getting ejected in the 2nd. His line: 1.1 IP, 2 H, 4 ER, 2 BBs, 0 Ks, 1 HBP. I hate that effing 2017 draft.
  4. Hrubes20
    Very intrigued by the Bryan Smith write up on Marquez over at BN. He's saying that Marquez is throwing plenty of 2-seamers, which are obviously the lower velocity ones. Something to monitor going forward. That's about as good of a first full season start as you could hope for in chilly weather and having been limited in ST. Bryan Smith is doing solid work over there at BN. A HUGE improvement over the guy they had before. I legitimately didn't even read their prospect articles when he was the one writing them.
  5. Hrubes20
    Really kicking myself right about now for now renewing milb.tv this year. Hudson had 3 K's in the 1st (also gave up a single and RBI double) and I would like to see if he's seen any gains on the fastball.
  6. Hrubes20
    Well, that should bring in one of those shiny new Cubans.
  7. Hrubes20
    Ah yes! I am again able to divert my attention from the poor MLB team to monitor the minors. It's like 2013 all over again.
  8. Hrubes20
    This is a reaaaaaally deep draft for college hitters. Plays right into the strength of this FO.
  9. Hrubes20
    But Yovanny Cruz didn’t. Weird. Yeah, with all the glowing reports on Cruz this ST I figured he was a lock. Very pleased to see Roederer getting the aggressive placement at SB.
  10. Hrubes20
    Wow, AZ Phil had Lange solidly projected in the AA rotation. I wonder if there's a corresponding move coming like one of Rucker, Swarmer or Hatch going from Iowa to Tennessee. Just stick Lange in the bullpen now and see if he can get a few ticks back to the fastball. He's not a starter.
  11. Hrubes20
    Nope. Don't believe it. He has below average speed. Or at least that's what I was told late last fall and this winter.
  12. Hrubes20
    Did anyone ever get information on what is ailing Little?
  13. Hrubes20
    I really thought Young was going to be a great supersub for the Cubs. He just never developed even close to average power and his defense wasn't good enough to overcome it.
  14. Hrubes20
    It would be a tad disappointing if neither Davis nor Roederer started in full season ball. Hopefully Artis kills it at SB early on and gets promoted to MB, with one of these guys taking his spot.
  15. Hrubes20
    He’s at 4 walks, no HRs, and 23 hits allowed in 30+ innings this year and 44 Ks. That suggests some development in the command area to me. There’s some shades of Hatch in that he missed 2017 to a non-surgery elbow injury, maybe you saw rust? I don’t necessarily see a guy with outright poor or nonexistent fastball command, though yeah nothing jumps out enough where my initial impression high ceiling ML SP or first rounder. I like the overall package of frame, very athletic delivery, quick arm, multiple spins, velocity, willingness to pitch guys inside, mostly quality or better performances... That very well could be. My bro in law coached for Arkansas last season and I caught a bunch of their games. Every time I saw Campbell he was constantly missing his spots with his heater. It was a season long thing. It's also possible he tweaked something in his delivery to help this out, because his walk numbers are way down this year. Something to watch going forward as he goes heavy into SEC competition now.
  16. Hrubes20
    I watched a lot of Campbell last year and his fastball command was not good. Always possible that he changed something up and has improved there, but I really don't like those types if it can be avoided.
  17. Hrubes20
    Opening day for college baseball!
  18. Hrubes20
    This kid looks a crapton like a young Alfonso Soriano. Fun stuff. Also, that Jasson Dominguez guy the Yankees are signing looks freaking ridiculous. Stupid Yankees.
  19. Hrubes20
    Not only 2 sport guys, but draft prospects in general started getting mlb contracts right out of the chute. They best ones were demanding and receiving them. I remember Dylan Bundy getting an MLB contract as a one sport prep RHP. The owners didn't like how expensive things were getting, so they got rid of permitting MLB contracts to draft picks.
  20. Hrubes20
    We all knew they messed up. It was super high-risk/high-reward and they got burned. I think you could defend the selection at the end of the 1st round, but not with the #9 pick in last year's MLB draft. This will probably lead to MLB creating a special exception/rule that will allow teams to offer major league contracts to special 2-sport prospects now. At least something good will come out of it (at the A's expense). I can't even say it was high-reward. If it would have been a pick outside of their 1st, I could get on board with it as potentially high reward based on draft selection. But at 9 overall, there are other players available with the upside of Murray (which wasn't even that great for me). But I 100% agree with you on the second part. The rule change will go a long way towards keeping better athletes in baseball going forward.
  21. Hrubes20
    I'll have to go back and look, but most players don't go to the AFL the same year they're drafted. I think it's draft pedigree and not wanting "recency bias" to play a part in these evaluations. The people making these lists wonder how good could this player really be if 20+ players were taken ahead of them in the most recent draft. Has that player really jumped ahead of those higher draft picks (enough to warrant being on a top 100 prospect list) in such a short time? Like I'm not certain Nico Hoerner is a better prospect than Alec Bohm. He's certainly performed and hit at a higher level. Do some of the national guys have him ahead of Bohm?
  22. Hrubes20
    Kyler Murray chooses football (or at least is making a public show of it). A's really effed that one up.
  23. Hrubes20
    Some of it may be deference to this FO's success in drafting 1st round college bats, but I don't recall any other recently drafted players taken in the range of Nico that debuted in the top 100 of a national publication the next year. I mean, Ian Happ was taken 9th overall in 2015 and was only ranked 87th by BA before the 2016 season. Pretty impressive.
  24. Hrubes20
    If he did have surgery on the elbow, it wasn't TJS. He's participating down in Mesa right now, and I think he was throwing on the backfields as late as June last year before being shut down (perhaps later, but that's the latest I can confirm). I know the down time seems to get shorter and shorter on TJS recovery, but 8 months likely isn't possible.
  25. Hrubes20
    I'm surprised about that assignment (if that's the plan). I think he's ready for AA and I was surprised by how well he did in the AFL. He only had 7 games in Eugene and 4 in South Bend, I think Myrtle Beach is a pretty good starting spot. He'll still be able to move quickly if he hits as expected. And given that Hoerner isn't even throwing overhand right now yet, the presence of Ademan in MB doesn't mean much. Hoerner is probably going to DH for awhile.
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