Deeg
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Everything posted by Deeg
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Yes, because a blow-up means 2-3 years of gross baseball and I'm getting too old for that horsefeathers The mid-2010s Bulls employed the middle way the Cubs seem about to embark on. How's that worked out?
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I'd take Akiyama any day of the week.
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I too find the lust for Margot here puzzling. He was barely better than Almora in the minors. He's a guy. Almora with a more speed and a slightly better glove in center. A better hitter? No reason to believe in any meaningful way.
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Castellanos’ defense is considerably worse than “OK”. Last season he improved to merely bad, but before that he was truly ghastly. Maybe you can carry one guy like that in the outfield (in LF) but certainly not two.
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I would be stunned if the Brewers non-tendered Knebel but if they do I'd be all over that like white on rice, assuming there's no setback in his recovery.
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So far it's looking like another winter of dumpster diving.
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While there are other reasons why Contreras makes the most sense to move, there are specific reasons why the Cubs consider him expendable. The problem is other teams know that. I suspect he'll likely be traded, and that the return will likely be less than we're hoping.
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So the theory is the Rays took on Zunino to salary dump him to the Cubs in a trade?
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On their budget? They’re not spending 4.5 on a guy and then trading for another guy to marginalize him. I think the Rays - or any team that prioritizes advanced stats - were always going to be a tough sell for the Cubs with Contreras.
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Scratch the Rays off the Willy list. Jon Heyman Verified account @JonHeyman Following Following @JonHeyman More Mike Zunino and Rays have deal in place. 4.5M for 2020. 1 year plus option year.
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Merrifield had a .308 BABIP in 2017 and ended up with a .784 OPS and 3.9 WAR. I'd certainly take that from him for the next three seasons. I agree Merrifield isn't a star, and a team shouldn't give up a star package for him in trade. But I think he's habitually undervalued by a lot of Cubs fans. He's going to be 31 but he has low miles, and was a late bloomer. His defense may decline a bit but he's still going to be a good 2B and average CF for the next three seasons. His skill set is a lot like Zobrist with better speed and less power (not that much less), and as we know, Zobrist aged very well.
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You must have missed Almora grading out as the 2nd-worst defensive CF in the NL last year.
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Obviously not a lot of Almora, cause that's what I see.
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Trading Bryant could be a great move, it could be a terrible move - it all depends on what you get back. And despite the fact that no one is ever so sure they know exactly what's going to happen as fans posting on a message board, no one knows what the return would be at this point.
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Akiyama already has a far bigger offer than that to re-sign in NPB. Laughable to think he'd accept anything close to that.
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Thank goodness.
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Cubs Manager Search (Ross to be hired - Kaplan)
Deeg replied to Cubswin11's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
We bypassed a couple of guys everybody seems to want to hire a guy no other organization showed the remotest interest in even interviewing. Given the organization's track record over the past three years, it seems only natural to be a bit uneasy about that. -
Cubs Manager Search (Ross to be hired - Kaplan)
Deeg replied to Cubswin11's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Things that makes you go "Hmmm..." for $500, Alex. -
Quite the contrary - from a Cubs perspective Rendon's contract status is a point in his favor. The only way he comes to Chicago is on a 5-6 year deal and Bryant is only locked down for 2.
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I'm not sure we can say Bryant is a better player when Rendon has had about 6 more WAR over the last three seasons, a significantly better OPS and better defensive metrics.
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After that team's GM has had some sort of serious brain injury, presumably?
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Maybe you're right about Castellanos, maybe I am - time will tell. But Castellanos is not "early 30's" - he's a 27-YO free agent, which is highly unusual. And he's no version of Schwarber, or vice-versa - they're totally different sorts of hitters in almost every way.
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Oh, is that all? Should be easy! :) I think you're underestimating how much park effects have depressed Castellanos' power numbers. He hits the ball hard, consistently, to all fields. We need hitters like that. If we signed him for 4 years I'm pretty confident he'd be a very productive bat. I'm very much open to trading Contreras in the right deal (like maybe the Mets) but I'm skeptIcal that this FO has the nerve to do it. My fear is that keeping Schwarber means another season of shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic and blaming the coaches manager.
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That's why you test the market and find out. But if you bring him back, I don't see any way you can sign Castellanos. If you kept Schwarber and signed Akiyama, you'd at the bare minimum need one hit-first OF option from the right side. And if you don't trade Schwarber you pretty much punt your only currency to meaningfully improve via trade without sacrificing Contreras or Bryant.
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If you believe in Schwarber's 2nd half. Castellanos has been a consistently good bat for multiple seasons, his numbers have been depressed by playing in an awful hitter's park, and he's still in his prime and generally speaking much more of a contact hitter than even good Schwarber. Defensively? Pick your poison. I don't honestly see much difference. Ultimately, what might drive the decision is that all Castellanos costs is money and Schwarber probably has decent trade value after his strong finish. If indeed you could get Merrifield for +/- Schwarber (which may or may not be true), you're not swapping Schwarber for Castellanos - you're swapping Schwarber and $$$ for Castellanos and Merrifield. And on paper at least, you couldn't draw up a guy more ideally suited to address our weaknesses on both sides of the ball than Merrifield.