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Cubswin11

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Everything posted by Cubswin11

  1. I am on my phone and somehow quantifiable spelled incorrectly got changed to tangible
  2. I don't firmly believe in them, I think they do exist to a limited extent, but it's a fungible thing with many variables. I feel better about them tonight mostly because of the pitcher they are facing more than any idea of them having a "hot hand." I obviously believe in when a guy is going well or bad there's underlying, mostly quantifiable things, happening and not just a guy being/not being "clutch" "hot" "an October player" etc.
  3. I still start Arrieta but pull him at the first sign of trouble and certainly by the 4/5th inning when he's working 2nd/3rd time through the order. Essentially the Lackey treatment from last night.
  4. I sense a grand dong tonight, perhaps a grand grandpa dong
  5. We are scoring more runs than the Dodgers tonight
  6. There is a frost advisory where I live in Wisconsin tonight through tomorrow. Golf season here is essentially done for 6 months. I don't feel bad for you, in fact I'm quite jealous.
  7. To deviate from this a bit.... I was out in Vegas in middle of July, in like the middle of June I was looking at WS odds and saw the Indians were around 16/1 (give or take 2) depending on where you went and I had them circled as a pretty good value bet at the time and I planned to put some decent money on them. Then about 2 weeks before I was scheduled to be out there they won like 14 in a row and like 20 of 25 or something crazy and had taken control of the division and maybe traded for Miller or whatever and they were down to 5/1 when I got out there so I laid off. Would've been nice to have the timing of my trip better to get them at that 16/1 or so as I could be locking in some serious profits starting around the 3rd game of the WS. I know, nobody cares about my gambling stories but this missed opportunity stings a bit. Is there a market for buying odds off someone. For example if somebody locked in the Indians 16 to 1, do they ever sell their ticket when odds have moved down 2 to 1 for the Indiand. The buyer would pay a premium that would reflect him getting the 16 to 1 odds but the premium would have to be some middle point where hes obviously not just paying a premium that puts him right back to 2 to 1 all in. I'm sure there is, maybe not an official one but if you went to the right guys at sports books out there I'm sure you could do that if you wanted to. If the book was particularly exposed on the bet they'd probably do it themselves. I don't know why you would do that if you held the 16/1 ticket though, unless you were strapped for cash and say couldn't wait out the playoffs/WS. You could hedge it at this point fairly easily. When they went up 2-0 and 3-0 in the DS/LCS you could probably get pretty juicy odds on the Red Sox/Jays to win those series, even though they didn't hit, would have cost little to lock in that bet. Then now just bet the Cubs/Dodgers to win the world series right now and then start betting a little against the Indians in the world series starting in game 3 or so or wait until the elimination game(s) and bet bigger.
  8. That would be my guess other than maybe Javy at 3B, Zobrist at 2B and Bryant in LF like someone above mentioned to have better defense in the even of a bunt attack on Lester.
  9. To deviate from this a bit.... I was out in Vegas in middle of July, in like the middle of June I was looking at WS odds and saw the Indians were around 16/1 (give or take 2) depending on where you went and I had them circled as a pretty good value bet at the time and I planned to put some decent money on them. Then about 2 weeks before I was scheduled to be out there they won like 14 in a row and like 20 of 25 or something crazy and had taken control of the division and maybe traded for Miller or whatever and they were down to 5/1 when I got out there so I laid off. Would've been nice to have the timing of my trip better to get them at that 16/1 or so as I could be locking in some serious profits starting around the 3rd game of the WS. I know, nobody cares about my gambling stories but this missed opportunity stings a bit.
  10. They seem pretty set on moving Puig and Turner is a FA already so I'm guessing they will be heavily involved going after the RH FA bats like Cespedes, Encarnacion, Bautista, Desmond, Gomez, Trumbo and re-signing Turner.
  11. I don't feel certain saying either way if he was safe or out, my initial reaction was safe and if that had been the call it would've been held up. I'm fine with going with the initial call by the ump.
  12. Rizzo proved that to be the case last night by using scissors bat
  13. Heyward should find himself one of those right handed bats to use tonight like Rizzo used for the HR last night
  14. This part I missed. Anything serious? He hurt his hamstring apparently. No idea the seriousness
  15. With the Edwards injury and Lackey being limited, pitch count wise, tonight. I wouldn't be surprised to see Lackey out of the bullpen yet this series. Or at least hear Joe promised him that so he doesn't go a gobble down his apple tree in his backyard.
  16. Seems like A-Rod is pretty close to dropping a "what the horsefeathers are you talking about" to Rose and/or Frank on air soon
  17. Good job, good effort. Win 2 of the next 3 jerks
  18. He did hit it quite high. It takes a lot to hit it that high
  19. Rondon def needs to get in this game. If Edwards is hurt I assume Joe Smith or Hammel take his spot?
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