Cubswin11
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Relief Ace, Tyler Chatwood
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2018-19 Other Team Offseason Transactions Not Worth a New Thread
Cubswin11 replied to Cubswin11's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
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Lester is there, I saw some picture of him the other day. Think you’re right on the other 4 guys though, it looks like Javy might have gotten there today/yesterday. If Almora never wants to show up that would be fine.
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I didn’t know about his spin rates, but I guess it makes sense since his numbers/effectiveness of his FB in the zone always rates as one of the best.
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One bold prediction on the division I’ll make is it takes under 90 wins to win the division (88 or 89) largely due to the strength of the division dragging down win totals.
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I’m starting to talk myself in to Chatwood being a reasonably valuable thing out of the bullpen so let’s get nuts. Chatwood will turn in to the best multi inning reliever in MLB going ~100 innings out of the pen to get to his 4 WAR. Any particular reason why on this? It wasn't like he was better the first time through the order? Seems like a disaster bringing him in and counting on him for multiple innings when there's a 50/50(?) chance he just won't be able to throw a strike from the get go. Out of the pen I suppose he can focus on 2-3 pitches only. His velo is already good and could tick up, his curve is his best pitch (and I believe rates or has rated as one of the better ones in MLB) so focus on FB/curve and maybe a change or cutter or something. Simplify things. This is assuming he can get the walk rates down to just a little below average (which is where he’s usually been) from historically awful. But I can see a path to him being a decent multi inning RP. Obviously the whole 4 WAR thing is hyperbole, but him being a decent RP is something I could see happening.
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I’m starting to talk myself in to Chatwood being a reasonably valuable thing out of the bullpen so let’s get nuts. Chatwood will turn in to the best multi inning reliever in MLB going ~100 innings out of the pen to get to his 4 WAR.
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Overall offensive value keeps slipping year after year; slumps keep getting longer. It's great he has those surges to bounce back somewhat, but he's not that far off from just being a dude, unfortunately; that insane August OPS was sustained by a .333 BAbip, and he's not that kinda guy. I'm thinking about a 3-3.3 WAR next year is his likely best case scenario. Not all BABIP is luck. He hit the ball hard, limited soft contact, and hit line drives in August. That's going to result in more hits when the ball stays in the yard. Yeah his batted ball profile was good last year and better in spots you want to see vs career averages. Rizzo is way down on my list of worries. He’s going to produce and be good if he’s healthy.
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Well, no. But then that wasn’t exactly my prediction. I was thinking more what was said on the previous page, largely because it's something I've been worried about watching Rizzo last season. After his horrible April, in which he played hurt with a bad back and went on the DL/sat out. He hit .303/.393/.512 with a 139 wRC+, .380 wOBA, 24 Dongs, 11% BB and K rates with a sustainable .300 BABIP from May 1 through years end. He was pretty much his same self after a bad and injured month.
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Missed that. I didn’t look back 4 years. I guess at least the Cutter was elite last year. Which is promising. He seems fine as a loogy if he’s treated as such. Joe will probably give him a chance to close out a game in early April though vs only RHB and it will go to horsefeathers.
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1. We win the World Series I’ll wait until a little later in Spring Training to make individual predictions to make sure nobody dies.
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Don’t think he had a velo drop last year? He went from throwing a 4-seam FB to a cutter and that historically for him has been 2-3 mph below the 4-seam and he was around his career average on velo with the cutter and curve last year (he’s literally a 2 pitch, pitcher with the cutter and curve now he threw them 99% of the time last year). Also his cutter is pretty good.
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Martinez might stay in the bullpen this year according to Maddux. I’d assume that’s an indication of an injury or way to prevent one. Their rotation suddenly seems like it’s on unstable ground between Martinez’s role, Wacha and Reyes back from injury (again for both), Wainwright’s old tomato farming ass, Flaherty as a 23 year old or however young he is and Mikolas repeating the league for the first time in like a decade.* *I like Mikolas And Flaherty to be solid, if not elite, this year.
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Good loogy, means Duensing is likely gone. So yay for moves making us better! Edit: Minor league deal it appears, so there’s an open 40-man spot currently
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That’s good to see the follow through and extension like that. You’d assume he’s healthy if he’s doing that. http://www.trbimg.com/img-5c647ea5/turbine/chi-ct-cubs-workout022-ct0091022103-20190213/1150/1150x647
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pecota is big on framing right? i bet if we swapped out contreras for grandal we'd just to first It has a ridiculous blind spot for framing. Tyler Flowers and some other obscure catcher project to be inside the top ~5 in all of baseball for WAR off their metrics. Miguel Montero projects to be like the 20th best player by WAR this year and a few other random catchers in the top ~50. If framing really is this valuable we probably should go to the automated zone sooner than later if HP umps can essentially be tricked in to calling or not calling strikes and that outcome affects win totals this much.
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Should be able to get get an extra 10 yards on the pass interference deep balls in the thin air
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I keep forgetting Marwin Gonzalez is still a FA. Unless there’s some sort of injury or off field stuff that isn’t public going on I’d be all for signing him and trading some combination of Almora/Happ/Bote, Kintzler and a prospect to the Padres for Hedges and one of their RPs (preferably Castillo).
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Faking interest in Bryce to end up with Parra and Maybin is very Giants
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I was just going through fangraphs and filtering pages to get ready for some fantasy baseball stuff. Did you guys know Monty has the 18th lowest era of qualified pitchers since 2016? That shocked me, I know era is what it is but still.
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Sickels (now at the Atheltic) has Amaya at 89 and Nico at 95 on his top 100. Roederer was on the sleepers/beyond 100.
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That would be amazing if his market fell that far. Yeah maybe not that far but maybe something along the lines of that “swell-opt” thing Boras talked about where it’s like a 4 year deal but he gets opt outs the first two years, we get an option (that trumps his opt out in year 2) after year 2 for 2 years or can get out of the deal for a buyout option.
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Kimbrel on a 1+1 deal is something I’d like to see
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Wonderful
