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Gmoney08

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Everything posted by Gmoney08

  1. Happy Birthday Starlin Castro, turning 25 today. 840 some hits through his age 24 season. If healthy should be finishing his age 25 season with over 1000 hits already. Very happy with Starlin last season, would love to see him turn it up one more notch & take the step into an elite SS. (radio still talking all day about trading him for pitching, I for one say hell with that). When it comes to career hits on ESPNRadio they brought up through age 24 season Jeter & Rose were still in the 500's, Miggy Cabrera was over 800 but behind Castro. ARod was at something like 960 already. Also of note Mike Trout through age 22 already has over 500 career hits.
  2. Reading about this Rovell guy has been a hilarious 30 minutes.
  3. No I do not become physically aroused from watching people hit homeruns, I believe you need to see a doctor (therapist). Maybe you need to see a doctor about your Erectile Dysfunction.
  4. Only 16,000 left in his estate. Makes you wonder if his caregiver who is claiming to be in his will instead of his wife was ripping him off for money or something.
  5. Wait till he gets his hands on Corey Patterson!
  6. Am I the only one who doesn't want to trade any of the young SS's at all? I say flood the infield with Addison, Starlin, & Baez. Let Bryant play LF. I don't want to trade any of the guys for pitching unless its a Wow deal. Hell with pitching. I'd rather buy pitching unless we get a crazy offer.
  7. Billy Williams said Ernie fell and hit his head 6 weeks ago. Billy couldnt get a hold of Ernie last week for the Cubs convention. I wonder if the cause of death stems from hitting his head and thats why the attorney is saying its not natural causes.
  8. The first two would be "natural causes." Is this showing up anywhere besides Twitter? I hope it's not actual news. It's a direct statement from the Banks family attorney The Bulls message board I post on had a poster mention that an accident might be described this way? I don't know what to make of that statement by his attorney.
  9. Hopefully someone is just hacking the FoxIllinois website. That is a real news site right?
  10. The first two would be "natural causes." Is this showing up anywhere besides Twitter? I hope it's not actual news. The article from FoxIllinois.com http://www.foxillinois.com/news/features/top-stories/stories/mr-cub-ernie-banks-dies-at-age-83-2541.shtml
  11. #BREAKING - Ernie "Mr. Cub" Banks family tells CNN he did *not* die of natural causes. Press conference on Sunday Does this just mean it could be cancer, life threatening disease? Or, does this indicate foul play?
  12. Imagine that.. and at SS... good god.
  13. The teal uniforms from the Griffey days are awesome. Idc if they were a 90's "color" or whatever hipster complaint people have now.
  14. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HJje2Ugj0Nc
  15. Ruins a great night for me after this Bulls game.. Love Ernie... RIP
  16. ??? 1) count the number of years with inflation and deflation and defend those being equally likely Then we're due for deflation. Regression to the mean. Unfortunately the mean is still infationary. I don't think Cameron has it right. Who cares what the stock market return is - that's not the either or situation here and the time value of money isn't based on stock market return. The discounts rates on the various payments need to be different - the Nats aren't sitting on $210 million today - some of that money isn't going to be earned by the Nats until 6 years from now. I guess it depends on the exact circumstance. I recall the deal that Luol Deng signed with the Bulls had a lot of deferred money, but it was specifically set up as a annuity so Reinsdorf was actually taking some of that present cash and making an investment in order to pay these future obligations- a net present table was actually very relevant as thats what the annuity was based on. If that Nats are actually setting money aside now, as well as at periodic times throughout the deal, they could in theory benefit from the investment of the deferred structure. At the very least you still benefit from inflation, but inflation doesn't quite keep up with the stock market, or probably even an annuity, which is going to be less than that 7% historical stock market return. So it would be a little disingenuous to use the 7% historical stock market return when a fixed payment structure is involved, because you're going to likely take a lower return to ensure fixed payouts can be made. Afterall, you have to be able to make payments in the lean years of the stock market and pulling out during a loss or having to borrow to cover would certainly effect that 7% figure. So all in all, while the dollar today vs dollar tomorrow is a universal truth, the fangraphs article may be a tad aggressive in its assumptions of return. The inflation rate the past 30 or so years and its projection is a much smaller, more stable figure than the 7% annualized stock market basis being used. But, my guess is that the rate of inflation of MLB contracts is higher than National Inflation and the ROI of MLB Franchises is closer to the 7%, maybe even higher than 7% with new TV Deals compared to a fix rate of return. Those two aspects make deferring a contract really attractive to a baseball franchise.
  17. What would be your win projection for us if we replaced Baez with 2014 Trout in 2015? Curious if thats a 90 win projection.
  18. From deadspin: Please pay no attention to his terrible and borderline irresponsible attempts at translation. Can someone translate what it really means. His agent seemed to squash all the rumors so I dont know how good this deadspin source is?
  19. Still better than building around young pitchers. Damn you Mark Prior Angel Guzman Carlos Zambrano Kerry Wood Juan Cruz you blew it up!!!
  20. That is the quote I don't get in the article. So, the Sox are committed to bigtime spending by signing a closer and trading for a guy that they have a good chance of NOT spending money on (50/50 shot they lose Shark)... but the Cubs spend 155m on a bonafide ace and are hiding under the bed?
  21. What site is that from? I want to also run his numbers at AA the year before.
  22. What do SABR guys value more contact rate or K rate? Or, are both pretty similar in predicting future success? 2nd question... http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/4/22/2123847/the-significance-of-minor-league-k-rates Javy's ML K rate is very similar and in the Russ Branyan, Wily Mo Pena, Ryan Howard, Glen Allen Hill, and Tim Salmon scary bad range. But, wouldn't even the worst of the players above be a pretty damn valuable 2B if they played a good defensive 2B?
  23. His AAA K-rate was really bad, too. And historically, high K-rates in the minors are really bad signs even if the OPS is still high. We're hoping that his extremely young age balances that out. I know its manipulating statistics to make me a koolaid drinking happy Cubs fan but what did Javy's K-rate look like after his abysmal start in AAA? I just remember following the ML game threads and it seemed for awhile he was definitely striking out less (not to say he was still anywhere near a good K-rate though). Did he have any prolonged period of a non disgusting K-Rate in AAA? Or, was it more like a good couple weeks where he struck out a little less than usual? I'm completely guessing here, but I think even if you picked his best few weeks of an arbitrary start-end point in AAA he's probably still in the 20%+ range. I don't think he ever had prolonged stretches of even in the teens. Yeah, I'm specifically interested in what he did after his slow starts in AA and AAA if there was any significant improvement.
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