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Ski

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Everything posted by Ski

  1. Ski
  2. Ski
    My actual reaction: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inW6fhmr7Jk
  3. Ski
    Quite possibly the funniest thing I've seen in a while. http://i.imgur.com/Z3kF9.gif
  4. Ski
    Cubs are 7th in NL in FIP.
  5. Ski
    I love how we keep beating Roy Halladay. Seriously, anyone else remember that interleague game in 2008 against Toronto that was Marquis vs Halladay? And we somehow won? Terrific.
  6. Ski
    He absolutely did not. And I HATE when the home plate ump makes that call. There's no way Runge had a good view of that. Pretty sure the ump is calling anything close to a swing in that situation.
  7. Ski
    STOP BEING ANALYTICAL. WE ARE ANGRY HERE
  8. Ski
    http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=AhY1zcqqmgVPjTOfjKKB9_MRvLYF?slug=ap-rockies-moyer This is so cool. 49 years old and still chugging along.
  9. Ski
    http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=AvjWmlbiuNDaRyeO5f.zH5ERvLYF?slug=ap-yankees-pettittereturns Did he officially retire after 2010? Or did he just sit it out?
  10. Ski
    Well, the semester has just started, so haven't really covered anything new yet. In Stats (last semester), we learned about certain probability distribution, including normal of course, normalizing data, and we did an activity on how to find the best distribution for a model (these are just a few of the things we did, of course). I suppose I'll learn more of what I'm capable of later in the semester, but I want to get thinking about it now.
  11. Ski
    I'm going to guess without knowledge that high-WAR players have a much larger standard deviation in WAR than more average players Yes, but if Pujols' distribution is something like 0.0-1.0 .000 1.0-2.0 .000 2.0-3.0 .000 3.0-4.0 .002 4.0-5.0 .015 5.0-6.0 .062 6.0-7.0 .161 7.0-8.0 .260 8.0-9.0 .260 9.0-10.0 .161 10.0-11.0 .062 11.0-12.0 .015 12.0+ .002 There's just a small likelihood of him being a sub 6.0 WAR player (1.7%). For comparison, a 6.0 WAR would have been 24th in MLB last year. None of these numbers were created out of thin air. I found the stdev for Pujols' career WARs and built the distribution on that. All WAR comes from Fan Graphs. And FWIW, Albert Pujols' standard deviation for his career WAR is 1.41 and his average WAR is 8.0. That's assuming his WAR follows a normal distribution, though. You really can't assume that with only a sample size of 11 seasons (Central Limit Theorem requires n is at least 30).
  12. Ski
    I am currently in two math courses that will require a final project (Mathematical Modeling and Prob. and Stats II), and I was just curious what some good topics to explore would be. I only have light knowledge of sabermetrics and such, so I'm not sure what has been analyzed to death. One thing that has crossed my mind would be to see if pitchers can demonstrate the ability to have a "shut down inning" right after their team ties or takes the lead. I know this would fall under clutch, but I still think it would be fun to look at this particular situation. Of course, any ideas would be appreciated.
  13. Ski
    Wakefield could possibly be a beast if he only pitched on days the wind was blowing in hard. So, sign him as a spot starter?
  14. Ski
    Fangraphs has Aramis as being worth 6.2 wins the last three years: 2009: 2.2 WAR (in only 82 games) 2010: .4 WAR 2011: 3.6 WAT
  15. Ski
    Seriously? I would have EASILY signed him on that contract. Come on, Theo.
  16. Ski
    Okay, seriously, this is the reaction every time this happens. I mean, I suppose mistakes can happen, but it is getting a little old.
  17. Ski
    http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/chicago_cubs/index.html
  18. Ski
    One thing I think would be fun to do would be to have all the owners bid amongst themselves on Darvish, and whoever wins that is the only person that submits the bid, getting around the blind bidding process and ensuring one team doesn't bid super high. Of course, this might not be legal, and since the process is blind, another team could outbid the winning team since they know what the highest bid will be, but it was just a fun idea I had.
  19. Ski
    Come on Cubs, do what the Phillies did with Cliff Lee.
  20. Ski
    I've heard that the Cubs would prefer a shorter contract with a higher AAV. Would anyone here go 6/200? 6/180? What would you give him annually for 6 years?
  21. Ski
    The Marlins: http://memegenerator.net/cache/instances/400x/10/10991/11255699.jpg
  22. Ski
    I thought he said he'd only stay with the Dodgers or go back to Japan, or is that some other Japanese player?
  23. Ski
    Albert Pujols career vs. RHP - .325 .415 .607 1.021 Prince Fielder career vs. RHP - .294 .411 .577 .988 Albert Pujols career vs. RHP - .338 .437 .648 1.085 Prince Fielder career vs. RHP - .257 .340 .458 .799 So, which stats are for LHP?
  24. Ski
    Now, there isn't any official word that the team is looking to trade him yet, I just ran across some speculation articles: http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/blog/big_league_stew/post/Trading-Tim-Lincecum-Is-it-that-crazy-of-an-id;_ylt=Apoh.x7aIiGOp6JyJw5aC2YRvLYF?urn=mlb-wp26422 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/can-the-giants-improve-by-trading-tim-linecum/ Lincecum probably would be a lock to be a 4-5+ WAR player, but it would probably take a huge haul to get him and he'd still be really expensive through his final arbitration years. It would probably be better to go after Wilson instead.
  25. Ski
    I flew on a plane once.
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