The Packers and Saint's have bad enough pass defenses, that I really don't think its fair to say those are almost certain losses. I don't know what the Bears are going to do about Henry and they have a decent enough D, so I'm okay chalking that up to a L. Now I actually don't think 9-7 is an unrealistic expectation, but the Bears D is probably good enough to carry them a few wins alone, so it really comes down to whether the offense can be consistent or not (even if they're consistently below average). 8-8 is probably my floor, but I don't think 11-5 would be crazy shocking because they've got a lot of house money with their early wins they've squeaked out, and a couple bounces or two can quickly lead to that 2-3 W spread. IF they do go 11-5 I'm already ready to call them the worst 11-5 team ever though. with that schedule, I'd say 9-7 is our ceiling, 6-10 isnt out of the realm of possibilities and 8-8 or 7-9 seems likely. But I'm optimistic.