That's not true. The Cubs were 22-31 on June 2nd in 2007. And yeah, that team only wound up with 85 wins as it backed its way in, and 85 wins isn't going to get it done, but we're also not 9 games under on June 2nd YET. But at this point in the season they were only 1 game under .500 and in 5th place. They dipped down then came right back up. This team has been bad all season. They are already this far in the whole, and while you can blame underperformance from a couple guys, they've been getting overperformance by just as many, if not more. Also while they were 9 games under on June 2nd, they were scoring more runs than they were giving up at the time (and on May 11 of that year they were +27), the record was bound to recover. This team is being outscored. There's no point in pretending it's early and that their current standing doesn't mean anything. When they've been in this position before, it has led to really bad seasons. The odds are against them.