Ok, down to 37 left [19 A/18 H] and sitting at 77-48. IF the Cubs play to their current winning pct.s in both areas [.500 A/.730 H] the rest of the way, they'll finish either 99-63 or 100-62. Even if you scale it back a couple games (1 or 2 more losses at home and 2 or 3 more on the road), they'll still finish with at least 94/95. To finish at 98-64, the Cubs have to finish the season going 22-15. Seeing as how they have 5 more games at home vs the Reds & Nationals this week and a 3-game set in Pittsburgh to start next week, an 8-0/7-1/6-2 start on that isn't that far out of the question. In fact, (including the just started set vs the Reds) 5 of our next 6 series are all very winnable, and the 4-gamer vs Philly is in Wrigley; [3 (now 2) vs Reds, 3 vs Nats, 3 @ Pitt, 4 vs Phils, 3 vs HOU, 3 @ Reds]. Even if we just win the series (split vs Philly), that'll put us at 12-7 over that stretch and 89-55. A .500 finish to the rest of the schedule [9-9] would get us to 98 wins. At 98-64, Milwaukee would have to go 27-8 and StL would have to go 29-5 to keep us out of the playoffs. Still doing my best to not look ahead and start counting chickens, but man oh man is getting harder and harder to keep from thinking we're at least assured a clinch of the wild card spot.