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CubColtPacer

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Everything posted by CubColtPacer

  1. CubColtPacer
    They are actually giving the Bears a great deal of credit with this statement. They are assuming the Bears will continue to be dominant, and the Rams will start to fall off. I think most people are projecting St. Louis to be either 8-8 or 9-7 at the end of the year. They did better than expected by 1 game in the first 5 (which might in best case push them to 10-6), but their schedule hasn't exactly been hard so far. They probably will only win 2 out of their next 5, and they have a chance of only winning 1 out of their next 5. If they do that, it won't be that big of a game at all.
  2. CubColtPacer
    Are you talking about Ceda, the 14th ranked prospect in the AZL this year (the highest Cub). He did pretty well for Boise in limited time at the end of the year (he gave up a couple of runs one game in his last inning when they were trying to lengthen him out, but otherwise his innings were very good). If Ceda continues to develop his secondary pitches, he could become very good. Right now, he's one of our good very young pitchers (not great like Veal or Gallagher, but in the next level down). I don't know why we would want to just give him away.
  3. CubColtPacer
    Maybe in your world. Not in the baseball community... The baseball community is second only to politics in taking reputation over substance. Exactly. So even if you assume he has no value actually, he has perceived value, and therefore would be worth something in another trade.
  4. CubColtPacer
    Why, Jim, why? The sentiment seems to be that Dusty would not let Larry have free reign over the pitching staff, and overruled many of Larry's decisions, and many times Larry was proved right.
  5. CubColtPacer
    Maybe as team president..no to Dombrowski as a GM. I mean, he one-upped Hendry just two months ago. At least when Hendry signed Neifi, he didn't have to give up anything. Dombrowski traded for him, took on his contract, and gave a decent prospect in return. He also gave 105 million to Magglio Ordonez, a contract which will continue to haunt the Tigers (even if they do go all the way this year it won't be because of Ordonez (although it won't be despite him either)-Magglio has been marginally better than Jacque Jones this year). If you are going to go out and get an outside guy, you could do a lot better than Dombrowski.
  6. CubColtPacer
    Enjoy it while it lasts Bear fans. It's quite a ride. I've been comparing the 2006 Bears team to the 2005 Colts team. Both have had one side of the ball that have been built up methodically into a juggernaut Both the year before had a great one side of the ball, and a bad other side-but both sides struggled in the playoff loss Both sides then got a breakout performace from their weak side (2005 Colts D starters only gave up 1 TD through their first 5 games, Bears O has been wonderful) Both teams have a huge free agent on the strong side of the team where it is highly debated how important they really are to the team and if they should even be considered to be re-signed (Edge, Briggs) I would never wish what happened to us last year to happen to you-to play your worst game in the playoff game, and just fall a little short (although I hope the Colts and Bears meet up in the SB, and you know who I will be rooting for then). Also, try to not raise expectations too high-most of the Colts fans I talk to cannot even enjoy this season because they got used to all the blowouts the Colts had last year. Enjoy a win over any team regardless of the score-and stay on for the ride!
  7. CubColtPacer
    Notre Dame 30, UCLA 17 What's your prediction? Notre Dame wins 27-6. 6? Is your offense that bad? Even Stanford got 10. I'm assuming Ben Olson has torn his knee up and Patrick Cowan will be playing at QB. Just key in on Markey/Bell, put some pressure on Cowan and there ya go. Maybe the offense can get a touchdown, but I'd be stunned if they got more than one. Our defense is really good though (it's so strange saying that). With Ben Olson I think UCLA loses by two touchdowns. Without him it could be a rout. Eh, Ben doesn't play defense - that's what will keep UCLA in the game no matter who's QBing. And quite frankly, outside of the Utah game, Ben hasn't been that great. He especially struggled on the road (this one is @ ND), looks confused with blitzes and different looks, etc. Cowan knows the offense better, etc. Cowan's just not that talented. That might actually help UCLA out then. ND's defense has been somewhat contingent on having the QB beat himself. I am sort of worrried that a not very talented game manager could come in, continue making the short throws, and just walk down the field 2-3 times on the Irish and make it a very good game.
  8. CubColtPacer
    Yeah, a ball right off Wayne's hands for the INT..still 11 1/2 minutes left though.
  9. CubColtPacer
    Are you rooting against the Colts that much :D Good job by the Bears on handling their business early. My Colts decided to completely sleepwalk through a half, so they have a little more business to work on here in the second half while you are enjoying your blowout!
  10. CubColtPacer
    Here's the 3 big questions about the polls now: 1) How far should Auburn drop? Behind Texas? Behind ND? Behind TN? 2) How far should the 9/10/11 teams drop (LSU/Oregon/Georgia)? 3) Do you revamp the top 5? Here are the candidates (after OSU)-USC, WV, Florida, Michigan, Louisville-how do you rank them, and does a 1 loss Texas team deserve to be ahead of any of them?
  11. CubColtPacer
    That's a very good start to how the deal would go. IMO, the Rangers would have to give a little more to the Yankees to make it work. That deal all hinges on how much the Rangers value Prior at this point.
  12. CubColtPacer
    They will be extremely close to Auburn also. Auburn was absolutely dominated by Arkansas, and they are going to drop similarly to how ND did..it will be close between them.
  13. CubColtPacer
    Open question for all - I've seen Giles' name as a possibility for a while now, but have not heard why the Braves would even think of letting him go. Why is he presumed to be available? /quote] Basically, the Braves are looking to cut payroll. Most of thier players are either cheap or so expensive and unproductive that they are unmovable. Giles is movable, about to go into the last year of his deal, and they weren't happy with him at leadoff whatsoever.
  14. CubColtPacer
    My personal opinion is that neither of those deals would get the players that you wanted. That's just IMO, but for example what the Braves were looking for before the trade deadline (when they were actually a little more desperate because they wanted to trade him before his 10/5 rights activated) is more than Marshall and Veal. I have no idea either. I'm terrible witht this stuff, but a guy can dream. Can't he? Well, if it's dreaming, that's wonderful to do..just don't be upset if it doesn't happen that way :D That would be a wonderful lineup though.
  15. CubColtPacer
    My personal opinion is that neither of those deals would get the players that you wanted. That's just IMO, but for example what the Braves were looking for before the trade deadline (when they were actually a little more desperate because they wanted to trade him before his 10/5 rights activated) is more than Marshall and Veal.
  16. CubColtPacer
    Haven't bullpen arms been "his guys"? Didn't he specifically target Remlinger, Hawkins, Eyre, and Howry and then get them? Eyre and Howry were the exceptions. I don't recall him wrapping up Remlinger or Hawkins that quickly, those happened a little later in the offseason. I'd like to see him just once target a big name FA, say "that's my guy," and go out and bowl him over. He's always lukewarm on his interest on anyone (other than Dusty 4 years ago), and tries wait for the bidding to develop as if he thinks he can get someone cheap when there's no interest from someone else (with the good players, that is, he has no problem bowling over the Glendon's and Neifi's of the world). Erye was on November 29th Howry was on December 2nd Hawkins was on December 3rd Remlinger was on December 4th Okay then...let him go do that with a big bat or a starter for once! With that, we are in complete agreement :D
  17. CubColtPacer
    Haven't bullpen arms been "his guys"? Didn't he specifically target Remlinger, Hawkins, Eyre, and Howry and then get them? Eyre and Howry were the exceptions. I don't recall him wrapping up Remlinger or Hawkins that quickly, those happened a little later in the offseason. I'd like to see him just once target a big name FA, say "that's my guy," and go out and bowl him over. He's always lukewarm on his interest on anyone (other than Dusty 4 years ago), and tries wait for the bidding to develop as if he thinks he can get someone cheap when there's no interest from someone else (with the good players, that is, he has no problem bowling over the Glendon's and Neifi's of the world). Erye was on November 29th Howry was on December 2nd Hawkins was on December 3rd Remlinger was on December 4th
  18. CubColtPacer
    I'm guessing that means there are 3 unique streaks longer than theirs, not just 3 teams with longer streaks. Cause if it's the latter, well I just have no faith in statistics anymore. Why would that be? There are only 13 teams left that are undefeated this season. It is not unlikely that only 4 of them finished last season winning their last few games as well to have a longer current winning streak. Reason for Edit: Sorry, I am just counting them up. I had 11, but I counted 13 just now. Still though, a great number of those teams I know lost their bowl game (USC, Oregon, Michigan, Georgia at least just on a quick look)
  19. CubColtPacer
    Not to brush this praise aside, but the pitching staff said the same thing about Oscar Acosta when he was canned, and the pitchers from those teams didn't suddenly forget how to throw. Interesting that Hill is quoted as a supporter. If I recall, he was one of the pitchers that was rumored to constantly ignoring Rothschild and that it wasn't until he quit listening to him that he started to perform at the ML as he did in the lower levels. I think Hill is probably playing the PC game after his AJ/Barrett comments rubbed management the wrong way. I don't doubt that Larry has done some good things, but the failures to prevent serious injuries to Wood and Prior (well, he can't stop Giles and Hawpe) are so large that we can't risk having him back. Maybe Baker just didn't listen to Larry. Bruce did say something to the effect of on this board the other day that Baker should have listened to Larry more than he actually did.
  20. CubColtPacer
    He's doing all right, but not quite as prolific as last year. Most of that though is due to 2 factors 1) Teams are double teaming him 2)ND has played a pretty tough schedule so far He might start racking up the huge numbers in the next few weeks. We'll know better than-I think he would be the 2nd or 3rd receiver drafted if he was just playing football-he'll drop significantly with the two sports thing though.
  21. CubColtPacer
    That play early in the game where Kent and Drew got tagged out at home on the same play still has me laughing a little bit.
  22. CubColtPacer
    I understand what your point is, but there are plenty of playoff caliber offenses have 2 holes in the lineup or more. The Cardinals, for example, have Molina, Miles/Belliard who have been absolutely terrible overall, and Encarnacion doesn't have an OBP above .320, which OBP was what you were measuring in this post (although Encarnacion has been alright for them overall with his slugging-not good, but not a huge drag to the offense). The Cardinals are not the only team with these kinds of holes, either. Oakland has a player exactly like Pierre in Mark Kotsay. Jay Payton has similar numbers, Mark Ellis has worse numbers, Dan Johnson is about the same with a little worse, and Crosby has much worse numbers. These players have 502, 557, 441, 286, and 358 at bats in the regular season. That's 2144 at bats out of 5 players that are around or worse than Pierre (Jay Payton is the only one better than Pierre this year with 5 points worse in OBP and 30 points better in SLG). Playoff caliber teams in both leagues regularly have 2 or 3 holes in their offense. Do we need to, or should we sign Pierre to be one of them? No-is signing Pierre going to kill our playoff chances? No.
  23. CubColtPacer
    That's a little extreme. Neither one was playing much in August (Theriot-38 AB's, Bynum 28) and Theriot had 80 AB's in September next to Bynum's 34. That platoon ended up only happening for something like 3 to 3 1/2 weeks-Theriot was played over Bynum all of the last couple weeks of the season even though both of them were having monster Septembers (not saying I disagree with that at all-just pointing it out).
  24. CubColtPacer
    That's based on the average situation though. The run expectancies with a below average hitter at the plate would be different. This is coming from somebody who thinks that sacrificing with your 2 hitter is crazy though. If you feel the need to sacrifice with your number 2 hitter, then the team is basically saying that the number 2 hitter is a significantly below average hitter-which begs the question of why are they batting them number 2 then? I agree with what you are saying. Sacrificing with the pitcher is fine. Sacrificing with the number 2 hitter, not so much. Remember when Baylor would have Gutierrez sacrifice Eric Young from second to third with nobody out in the first inning? Good times. :x Yeah, ugh. Sacrificing from 2nd to 3rd is definitely worse. At least sacrificing from 1st to 2nd one takes out the DP, and a runner does not usually advance from 1st to 2nd on an out (and they advance to third on a hit less than a runner from 2nd would come home). With a runner on 2nd and no outs, if you want to give up an out, at least have the hitter hit it to the right side-they should be able to have the bat control for that, and at least that has a greater chance of finding a hole.
  25. CubColtPacer
    Fred, I love these stats so much, and maybe you can't do this-but is there any way you can sort out the games where Lee came back in the middle of the season? As we know, Lee was never himself at all in that stretch, and so that could possibly affect the numbers pretty drastically. If you can't, that will be fine-I'm grateful just for this. I just wondered if you could easily do that.
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