CubColtPacer
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Everything posted by CubColtPacer
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God bless you. Good god is Hester fast..... Devin Hester you are ridiculous! Joniak is becoming an amazing play by play guy. On a side note, my buddy dvr'd the bears first pick and what the espn guys were saying about the bears and the pick, and drew r. celebrating a pick early. I almost threw something at the tv, listening to Steve Young criticizing the bears and grossman, and saying they should pick a qb. What a joke!!!! This coming from a guy who was known as a bust for his first 8 seasons, and was terrible in his first couple years as a starter(as a buc of course). Steve Young, Second Year with the Buccaneers(4th season as a pro), first full season as a starter. 195 363 53.7 2282 6.3 8 13 | Rex Grossman, Fourth Year with the Bears, first full season as a starter 262 480 54.6 3193 6.7 23 20 I definitely still get your point, but that was only Young's 3rd season in the league. By his 4th year he was in SF. Also, you failed to mention that Young put up 425 yards rushing with 5 TD's, compared to Grossman's 2 yards rushing and 0 TD's.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 5-7-2007
CubColtPacer replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
i don't understand why it's a big deal if the cubs have three lefties in the rotation. teams have 4-5 righties in the rotation all the time and no one says anything about it. There are more right-handed hitters in most (all?) lineups than there are left-handed hitters. The NL hit .265/.340/.426 against LHP last year, and .264/.332/.428 against RHP. What matters is who is the better pitcher, not if you have too many LH, or not enough. Weird. I always assumed that with there being so many more right-handed hitters than lefties, that LH pitchers had a rougher time. I agree that you need the better pitchers in the lineup, regardless of whether they throw with their right arm, left arm, or if they kick the ball up there. Of course, that's totally obvious and probably doesn't need to be said. It could have something to do with on average that left-handed hitters are better than right-handed ones: NL pitchers against LHB: .271/.348/.442 NL pitchers against RHB: .263/.328/.424 The fact that left-handed pitchers can get out more frequently the side that has the better hitters might help negate the disadvantage they have from facing so many right-handed batters. -
I would have been willing to bet that Wuertz could have gotten out of 7th and not given up the lead as Howry did. I'd would have been willing to bet that the offense, with Murton instead of Izturiz would have scored more than the 3 they needed to get to the 10th. It's as reasonable to bet that Wuertz would have kept walking hitters as to assume he would have got out of the mess he helped to create. A reliever cannot come into a game late and walk the first hitter he faces. That's unacceptable. Yet not in the same realm of unacceptacality(it's a word, look it up) as getting pissed of at a walk and yanking a guy because of it to send a reactionary "message". We were nearly screwed in extra innings yesterday because he could've kept Wuertz in to finish the 7th, and instead he burned Wuertz, Ohman, and had Howry throw some pitches for good measure. The team was never in deep trouble yesterday. They had an ace in the hole if it had gotten past the 11th, otherwise known as Ted Lilly. He would have been pitching on normal rest, and him pitching in that game wouldn't have messed up the pitching rotation this next week because of the off day today. Now-usually a team does not have a luxury like that, so hopefully Lou does not use the bullpen like that on a normal basis.
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I would have been willing to bet that Wuertz could have gotten out of 7th and not given up the lead as Howry did. I'd would have been willing to bet that the offense, with Murton instead of Izturiz would have scored more than the 3 they needed to get to the 10th. For as bad as Izturis is normally, are you saying that Murton would have helped the team score more than Izturis getting on base all 3 times he was up to the plate? As far as Wuertz, maybe he would have gotten out, maybe he wouldn't have-that's really hard to tell, especially when one base hit would have scored a run.
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I think I brought up Pagan. No, he's definitely not on the same level as Pie defensively. But the only difference between Pagan and Pie to the ML club is defense. Both have speed. Both have mediocre offensive production at the ML level. I just don't see how defense in CF is worth wasting Pie's service time. He needs to be working on hitting lefties and taking walks. Pie couldn't hit lefties in the minors. Major league lefties are going to destroy him. My guess is that Pie will get some chances against major league left-handers coming up-Jacque and Pie will probably split the upcoming starts against LHP.
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21-11 as of May 7th, 2006.
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Development is a long run story. If his development is compromised now, that has long-term implications. Pie will not develop as a PH and defensive substitution. That wasn't my point. If he spends a few weeks or months on the Cubs bench before eventually playing everyday (in Chicago or Iowa) he should be able to adjust and continue his progression. Hasn't Lou done this before with good prospects? From looking at the statistics, A-Rod sat the major league bench most of 1995, and then became the Mariners regular SS in 1996. Jay Buhner also did the same thing. I wouldn't be surprised to find several more examples if I actually looked hard-the time in the majors didn't seem to hurt their development.
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I think this has been a pretty good bullpen overall. Wuertz and Cotts were awesome early-both of them have been a little choppy lately, but not too bad. Dempster has been great-the only big mistake was the pitch to Pujols, but other then that, he's been very good. Howry recovered from his rough start, and is now having his usual good year. Ohman still has had too many problems with walking the left-handers that he's brought in to face. Cherry has been up and down. Eyre is starting to locate his pitches better after the horrendous most of April-I think he will start to pitch much better in the next month or so.
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So far Floyd is on pace to be about 50 at-bats under when his first option kicks in. After this next 10 game stretch with all these left-handers, he probably will be even further away from that pace.
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Not a bad idea, except where would The Riot play? I think, in my opinion, that there's no need to move The Riot, considering how well he's been performing. Again, the entire idea is predicated on the idea that Theriot will come back down to earth sometime. I think he is already come back down to earth. His SLG is even way down compared to last year, so I'm actually expecting him to show a little more power than he has so far. I doubt Theriot's SLG will go up much-his highest SLG in the minor leagues was 391. His SLG this year is .375. Theriot's BA might still go down a little bit too-I'm not sure his BABIP is quite this sustainable. His recent huge walk surge though has raised his OBP 60 points in the last week back to a great level.
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Gammons on the Cubs: "Best is yet to come"
CubColtPacer replied to 98navigator's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Yeah, I'm not very surprised by that. In just about every quote, Hill mentions about his change mentally is the reason he started to succeed. It's a common thing that pitchers say, but Hill talks about it so often that I knew that he must have been working specifically at that. -
The OBP has hit .340 now. I'm not sure they will be able to, but if they could just maintain this OBP for the rest of the season, it will be very, very good. Of course, I wouldn't mind them bumping it up another few points, but that's really just icing on the cake at that point :D
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Like the announcers were talking about today, it's a tough balance regarding Pie. Does he add value to the team in 2007 as a part-time player? Definitely-Pie on the bench allows for a great deal of flexibility and there are several ways to use him. Now, which would be best for Pie's development? Probably getting more at-bats in the minors, although the early experience against major league hitters will also be good for him. So-is the difference between his value now to the team and his replacement's value on the bench more than the possible loss to his development? That's very debatable, and it really depends on how good you think this 2007 team is. If you think the 2007 squad has a great chance to contend, then Pie staying in the majors makes sense as a part-time player. If they don't, then he needs to go back to the minors. Right now, I like the value he brings to the team, and I also think the fact that he's getting daily at-bats against major league pitching will help him develop and adjust faster than a larger amount of AAA at-bats would. However, I can understand if others think differently.
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5/6 Post-Game: Inexplicably Bizarre Win
CubColtPacer replied to Outshined_One's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Wuertz in the past three years: Lefties - .230/.341/.399/.740 Righties - .216/.292/.332/.624 Ohman in the past three years: Lefties - .165/.274/.286/.559 Righties - .239/.349/.369/.718 The numbers surprised me, but there you go. I think Lou doesn't think of Ohman as a LOOGY. He hasn't seemed to use him as one, really. Anyway, I thought the use of the BP was a bit excessive today, but it should have worked anyway, and we have the day off tomorrow. It wasn't something I thought was *very* bad, just a little excessive. Lou seems to do this more than I was aware of. I guess I haven't paid close enough attention to his past. I'm pretty sure Lou thinks of Ohman as a LOOGY despite his at-bats so far. Lou has put him in situations to either face left-handers, face switch hitters and turn them around, or occasionally a full inning during a blowout game. The only game I can remember where he was asked to pitch a full inning in a close game was the game he had to come in during the 14th because everybody else had already been used. -
5/6 Post-Game: Inexplicably Bizarre Win
CubColtPacer replied to Outshined_One's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
BOTTOM OF THE 9TH - C. Cordero relieved J. Rauch - C. Floyd hit for C. Izturis - C. Floyd walked - D. Ward hit for N. Cotts - J. Marquis ran for C. Floyd - D. Ward singled to left, J. Marquis to second - A. Soriano flied out to right - R. Theriot singled to right, J. Marquis scored, D. Ward to third - D. Lee intentionally walked, R. Theriot to second - A. Ramirez grounded into fielder's choice, D. Ward out at home, R. Theriot to third, D. Lee to second - J. Jones grounded out to first 1 runs, 2 hits, 0 errors BOTTOM OF THE 10TH - R. Wagner relieved C. Cordero - M. Murton doubled to deep left - M. Barrett grounded out to third - H. Blanco hit for R. Dempster - H. Blanco singled to right, M. Murton to third - D. Ward singled to left, M. Murton scored, H. Blanco to second I know it ended up working out since Marquis scored from second Theriot's single, and I know we're short an offensive player since Cedeno was sent down and Guzman was brought up, but having a starting pitcher pinch run makes no sense. Even when that starting pitcher is faster than several people on the team? Marquis is faster than Ward, Floyd, Aramis, and Blanco and is just as fast as DeRosa, Lee, Barrett, Jones, Izturis, and Murton. -
Just like he isn't hitting 410 this year, he isn't going to hit HRs at his current pace. What proves this? I mean, we know he won't hit .400 because his babip is unsustainable, but what is there that says that his power will come around? Is there a precedent for a guy suddenly losing his power completely? I understand he had the wrist injury, but even with coming back early last year, playing a little hurt and his first ABs back from the injury he still hit at 25+ HR pace. The doubles are showing the power is still there. I don't know about precedent, but think about this. Did anyone really expect more than 35 home runs for Lee this season? Let's say that Lee (116 at-bats) gets 500 more. In order to reach 35, he has to hit 33 more, or one every 15 at-bats, something he's done only once ever, in his out-of-this-world 2005 (once every 12.9 at-bats). If he's going to hit 25, something I think we would all consider quite a disappointment, he has to hit one every 21.7 at-bats, a number that doesn't seem too unlikely right now. I would say, best case scenario is 30 home runs. But if he goes another 10 games without hitting one out of the park, that expected number is probably closer to 25. I think he needs to turn the power on soon. I don't expect more than 25-30 home runs, but even if he slows his doubles pace, if he can hit 50 doubles he still will be around a 1.000 OPS player.
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5/6 Nationals (Hill) @ Cubs (Guzman) 1:20 WGN/720
CubColtPacer replied to David's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
The first out was made on a 93 mile per hour fastball. -
5/6 Nationals (Hill) @ Cubs (Guzman) 1:20 WGN/720
CubColtPacer replied to David's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Lou gives it quite a bit too, and I am never a fan. I wonder how the Cubs are hitting on 3-0 counts this year. They are now 0-3 on the season on 3-0 counts. Lee is 0-2, and Ramirez is 0-1. They have drawn 22 walks on those counts. -
5/6 Nationals (Hill) @ Cubs (Guzman) 1:20 WGN/720
CubColtPacer replied to David's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Yeah, but can't they get sued if they know there might be an injury but they continue to let him pitch? This doesn't sound...........legal. They could only get sued if they forced him to pitch by threatening his job if he doesn't, and then he gets hurt worse. Even then, it would be a really tough suit to win. It doesn't sound like that right now-if he chooses to pitch, it's his fault if he gets hurt. -
5/6 Nationals (Hill) @ Cubs (Guzman) 1:20 WGN/720
CubColtPacer replied to David's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
What the hell? That doesn't make any sense. I kind of understand the idea of fitting Izturius to theoretically give Guzman some better defense to back him up, but DeRosa in RF instead of Murton or Jacque or Floyd deprives him of some decent offensive support. I hope this isn't actually the lineup. Is Murton in CF? If not I hope that Bruce or another beat writer will give us the real scoop on the situation. Is he hurt? Is he in Lou's doghouse? I highly doubt that Murton will ever start in CF. Floyd's back must still be bothering him if he's not in RF. As far as why no Jacque with Pie in center ... :? Murton has played 1 game in CF so far this season. Edit: Nevermind. That was only 1 inning. Yeah, I'm pretty sure he went to center in the game that Soriano got hurt in. Don't remember exactly why, but he was our best option at the time. It wasn't the game he got hurt in, it was the game he came back in. Soriano pinch-hit for Pie in the 9th down 2 runs to the Cardinals. Jones had already been pinch-hit for earlier in the game, so when Soriano had to come out for the pinch-runner after he doubled there was nobody left but Murton to play CF in the 10th. -
5/6 Nationals (Hill) @ Cubs (Guzman) 1:20 WGN/720
CubColtPacer replied to David's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
What the hell? That doesn't make any sense. I kind of understand the idea of fitting Izturius to theoretically give Guzman some better defense to back him up, but DeRosa in RF instead of Murton or Jacque or Floyd deprives him of some decent offensive support. I hope this isn't actually the lineup. DeRosa eats lefties for breakfast, historically. Even has a better OPS the last two years against lefties than Murton. Yes, the best lineup would be Murton and Derosa both, but someone wants Izturis to play today apparently. Derosa's definitely a better choice than Floyd/Jacque against a generic lefty. Shawn Hill is a right-hander though-unless they have changed pitchers and I haven't seen it. With Cedeno down, this lineup doesn't make much sense to me-you really can't take out Izturis, Theriot, or DeRosa now early because that would leave you 2 IF's and no backup. -
Mets need a 2B
CubColtPacer replied to Backtobanks's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
For whatever small value Izturis would have as a SS, he would have no value as a second baseman. I can't see this one happening. Plus, it doesn't really help the team-as soon as Izturis leaves Cedeno comes up, which doesn't really help. Also, it would leave the organization incredibly thin on SS's-that would leave Theriot, Cedeno, and Fontenot left (and since Fontenot is worse than Theriot defensively at SS, I doubt the organization would want to bring him up at SS unless there was an absolute emergency). Now-if Izturis can be dumped on another team and then the Cubs acquire a starting SS at the same time-I would definitely support that, but I'm not sure of any SS's the team could realistically get at this point. -
No-our closest streak was 7 out of 9, and 11 out of 15 last year in late July/early August.
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5/6 Nationals (Hill) @ Cubs (Guzman) 1:20 WGN/720
CubColtPacer replied to David's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Lou has been waiting to break up the two left-handers in the rotation ever since they got put together. Plus, they decided that they'd rather let Guzman get his first start out of the way at home against a worse offense than have to face a team like the Phillies at their place for his first start. Heh...then put Hill #1 where he belongs, Z at #2 and Lilly #3. ? The order really means absolutely nothing. Yes and no. In the grand scheme, it means nothing but a superficial form of ranking the quality of your pitchers...but, since Lou does want to seperate the lefties, voila, best of both words. Ultimately, I wanna kinda see Zambrano get some added reminder that he is not this team's ace. It's probably not good for Z and thus ultimately for the Cubs to remind him that he's not the ace. Besides, sticking Z between Hill and Lilly during May doesn't even send that type of statement.

