PSU should roll past IU. Penn State beat Indiana by three points in Happy Valley last weekend. Yeah I forgot about that. Shouldn't have said "roll" but I still give them a solid edge. Well, yeah, they're almost certainly going to win. Indiana's not good. But I don't expect IU to get rolled either. And the first game was between 6-8 most of the second half and was within 4 with under a minute to play in the game. I like the Penn State matchup for IU. They aren't a team that is going to completely take IU out of their offense and they are a poor free throw shooting team for when IU has to reach because of their lack of athleticism. No team is a good matchup for a terrible team, but this one gives IU a chance, which would not have been the case if they had drawn Wisconsin or Ohio State. The questions become if Dumes comes back (if he doesn't, IU just won't be able to score consistently enough to win) and if IU can outshoot Penn State from the 3 point line. If I had to guess, I would say something like 68-54 Penn State victory, but that's only because Crean will play it out the final whistle. It will be a 7 point game or so before Crean goes nuts with fouling even after the game is long since over. I don't see Penn State falling into the trap when they're playing for their season though.