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CubColtPacer

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Everything posted by CubColtPacer

  1. CubColtPacer
    He's for a team like Philly so that Marshall can face the heart of their order one time through the lineup and Grabow if they come around again. My guess is that Marshall would start pitching more full innings and Grabow would be more of the LOOGY who might only face 1-2 batters. It's an upgrade for the Cubs in matching up with certain clubs but it's also more of a luxury than a need so they hopefully didn't spend very much for him.
  2. CubColtPacer
    I worry that Hendry will trade someone who's reported trade value is higher than the players he's acquiring. However, I do trust Hendry's judgments on prospects. He usually seems to trade prospects he doesn't like anymore (even though other clubs do) and his judgment has been right a very large percentage of the time.
  3. CubColtPacer
    What's your definition of awful then if it's not a guy who can't crack a starting rotation? When I'm saying not awful, I'm kind of responding to the thought that the Cubs have to have somebody better than this in the minors. Obviously Hart is not a good MLB starting pitcher. For his role though, Hart is exactly what you expect, maybe even a little bit better. A guy who would be expected to give you a 6 or 7 ERA in that slot would be an awful minor league replacement (and there are several of those around the league).
  4. CubColtPacer
    Hart was rather effectively wild his first couple starts (but still lucky to give up only the runs he did). He's missing his spots badly today. I still don't think he's awful. He'd probably finish the year with an ERA between 5 and 5.25 if he started all season, which is about right for somebody who will likely always be a 6th/7th/8th starter in the majors.
  5. CubColtPacer
    From Bruce's blog on Reed: It also sounds like the Cubs are going with 13 pitchers today partly because Fuld isn't in Chicago yet (Stevens was still in Chicago). Bruce said that Fuld will be activated for tomorrow's game.
  6. CubColtPacer
    Scott would be a guy that I would be willing to trade good talent for if the OF spots weren't already filled. From Bruce's blog:
  7. CubColtPacer
    The problem with Wells is he pitches to a lot of contact and much of it is in the air. If he keeps most of that on the ground and has a k rate between 6-7, with minimal walks, he should maintain solid numbers. huh? his GB/FB rate is well above average. 0.91 GB/FB is well above average? It seems a little low for a guy who strikes out less than 6 per 9. I've seen a lot of warning track shots off the guy and plenty of line drive outs. The point is he pitches to a lot of contact and it can be tough to maintain solid numbers when you rely on your defense getting the job done, unless you are a groundball fiend. As Cro Magnon said, ESPN is messed up with Wells and his stats. His GB/FB numbers on his game log don't match up with the box scores for those games. His actual GB/FB ratio is 1.38/1.39 (I've seen it rounded both ways).
  8. CubColtPacer
    There was. The Cubs were already asking him if he would like to move to LF to make him more comfortable but Soriano said he would be fine in CF. Then he got hurt diving for a ball in short center field, and when he came back a week later he was in LF because the Cubs had called up Pie to take center. By the time Pie went down 3 weeks later, Soriano was stuck in LF.
  9. CubColtPacer
    So I take it Adam Jones as the PTBNL is out of the question. The Orioles board is claiming that MacPhail said that the deal was completed with cash sent to the Cubs.
  10. CubColtPacer
    Isnt he a free agent? That will lower the demand Id think, but I dont think Toronto would give him away. Id be interested in giving them 1 of our pitchers in the minors and say Fox for him though. Scutaro only makes 1.1 mil for the eason, meaning he only has about 500K left, so hed be a great target. I know the Twins have shown interest in him, as did the Giants before they guy Sanchez. Scuraro is a guy who we could probably get for Fox+a prospect/PTBNL. If Lou really wants a loogy, they could broaden the deal for Scott Downs, although Im all for trying Ryan or Gaub. I've heard Scutaro is going to be a type A which might make him a bit expensive. I'm not so sure he's worth what it take for a couple months of his services. I dont see how a guy who in his last 3 years has an OPS of 711 could be anywhere near a type A, even with the year hes having. It's only based on the last 2 years. And remember that the Elias rankings are all based on counting stats. I don't know where he'll end up on the rankings though.
  11. CubColtPacer
    I know I'm replying to myself but I think this deserves its own post. Apparently my theory was wrong. Hill was diagnosed by Cubs physicians, but the Orioles front office is claiming they were never told by anybody..the Cubs or Hill and their own doctors never found anything: http://baltimore.orioles.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20090729&content_id=6132114&vkey=news_bal&fext=.jsp&c_id=bal Wow. If that's true it looks very bad on everyone. The Cubs front office should have disclosed it. Hill most certainly has been incredibly selfish in hiding the injury (2nd year in a row of hiding an injury if you believe his story from earlier in the year). And you think the Orioles doctors would have found it between the trade physical and the tests they ran in ST when he had soreness.
  12. CubColtPacer
    Hill says he has been pitching with a torn labrum all season: http://www.baltimoresun.com/sports/orioles/bal-hill0729,0,6883585.story Remember when Hendry said in the offseason that there was one player that was secretly injured and they were giving that fact to other clubs? It looks like it might have been Hill as the timetable would match up (Hill says it was discovered around the first of the year).
  13. CubColtPacer
    Didn't they release him? And yeah this isn't that big of a deal. He's not batting all that well this year anyway. He has done well against left-handers again this year which is what he was signed to do. It's too bad they've stuck him out there against too many right-handers which has deflated his numbers. If the Cubs can get Soto back soon though, the lineup against left-handers should still be strong enough without Reed there. It will be interesting to see how the Cubs will choose to structure the lineup against a left-hander now.
  14. CubColtPacer
    I don't think I'd trade Fukudome for Dunn straight up even if one of the other Cubs OF's could play CF well. The fact that Fukudome has two more years on his deal while Dunn only has 1 would be the only reason I would consider it. It's probable though that Fukudome would be a better player than Dunn if he was in RF and the flexibility to play CF just adds even more to his value. I think a projection would have to be pretty bearish on Fukudome's future offensive production to make Dunn an upgrade.
  15. CubColtPacer
    Baltimore's asking for way too much. Bruce said they wanted two of Cashner/Castro/Jackson/Carpenter to start the deal. I don't blame them for asking for the moon (they don't have to trade Sherill, and with the number of teams asking for him somebody may cave) but there's no reason anybody should pay that price, especially not the Cubs. Grabow's very inconsistent. I don't think he'd be much of a help and wouldn't trade what the Pirates are asking for him.
  16. CubColtPacer
    A July promotion is hardly rushing him. What? What does the month have to do with anything? I'm talking about his age and experience level. He wasn't dominating low A, and was promoted after one hot weekend following a month of struggling. And he's struggled for a good month in Daytona (when they haven't been rained out). I didn't get the timing then, and I don't get it now. Oh, and he was promoted in June, no? It was either the end of June/start of July. It doesn't really matter..my point wasn't the month, but rather that a midseason promotion is not rushing Vitters at all. What's wrong with giving him a look at a higher level? The thing he needs to work on (figuring out what strikes in the strike zone he should hit and laying off pitcher's strikes) is better worked on in Daytona where the pitchers are better at hitting their spots. If his strikeout rate had gone way up, I would be concerned that he just isn't ready for the level. That hasn't happened though, and he'll make adjustments and figure out which pitches he can drive against better pitching and which pitches he can't. Now we'll have a better idea of his development if he can come back to Daytona at the start of next year having made the adjustments he needs to make over the winter.
  17. CubColtPacer
    A July promotion is hardly rushing him. At this point, he will likely start next year in Daytona again, but now he has all offseason to work knowing full well about what his new level of competition entails. I'm happy at least with the fact that he's still not striking out very much against more advanced pitchers. Oh, btw, I have very little trust on LD percentage at that level, but they do have him at a 15.3% LD percentage. His BABIP so far in Daytona is only .253. And he's hitting a lot of ground balls, so that also should have caused a slightly higher BABIP than if he were hitting a lot of fly balls. He's almost certainly been a little unlucky so far.
  18. CubColtPacer
    Agreed. Let him catch until he gives you overwhelming reasons why he shouldn't. He already has. I missed the last innings last night. Was he that bad? Yes. He dropped multiple balls and generally seems very awkward back there and we already know guys can almost run at will on him. That's not the kind of player you want in such a vital position for 9 innings. Especially not against Houston who has already attempted over 100 stolen bases this year. I wouldn't be averse to giving Fox a start to rest Hill against a team who is a little more cautious on the bases. That might be against Florida..where if you can keep Bonifacio off the bases (.296 OBP this year) you mostly just have Hanley to worry about. Against the Astros, Bourn, Matsui, and Pence would all run pretty well against Fox (Pence has a terrible ratio so far this year but runs a good amount anyway). That's too many potential basestealers to let Fox play most of a game there.
  19. CubColtPacer
    Agreed. Let him catch until he gives you overwhelming reasons why he shouldn't. He already has. I missed the last innings last night. Was he that bad? Just for an example, the very first batter he had to throw the batter out at first after a strikeout that he dropped. The pitch was in the strike zone and was actually a called strike 3.
  20. CubColtPacer
    The good news is that all of the Cubs best relievers should be ready for tomorrow with Dempster on a pitch count. Marshall's the only one of the top 4 that has pitched two days in a row and he has only thrown 14 pitches combined in those two outings. Samardzija's 24 pitches might actually be the catalyst for him being sent down. They might choose now to keep Berg up since his arm is fresh while Samardzija might be unavailable tomorrow night (since he pitched yesterday as well and has never pitched 3 days in a row in the major leagues and probably never in his life).
  21. CubColtPacer
    Oh God. Yeah, like Koyie Hill is so awesome at throwing runners out as it is. Koyie Hill has now thrown out 41% of basestealers this season. That's probably one of the best percentages in the league for any catcher who's played more than a handful of games.
  22. CubColtPacer
    What Erik said..the risk of injury would be too great to the pitcher coming in if he isn't properly warm.
  23. CubColtPacer
    Few steps in front of the warning track..not all that close.
  24. CubColtPacer
    opening day payrolls are not a great way to measure how efficiently a GM uses the resources available to him. If he trades a guy away but eats the salary, or if he cuts a guy, that doesn't count toward opening day payroll, but it certainly counts in the money wasted department. The Cubs have eaten a significant amount of money in two of those seasons. 2005 and 2009. The other 4 seasons they released no more than a couple million worth of players at most. I'm not sure about the Cardinals and their money management during that time.
  25. CubColtPacer
    It was no guarantee he was only going to face 1 batter. Also there is a difference between warming up, and coming in the game. With that said, Id expect Marmol to close tonight, with Gregg not even being in the bullpen. I doubt that. They might prefer not to use Gregg tonight but he'll be back there if they need him. A month ago, he threw 4 straight days. 11 pitches, then 33, then 16, and then 12 more. Tonight would be 4 straight days. But this time he's only thrown 22, then 4, then 4. Much lighter workload than a month ago when they threw him out there for the fourth day anyway.
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