CubColtPacer
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 8-4-2009
CubColtPacer replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
From Bruce's blog on Vitters: -
This will be his 2nd start in RF this season.
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It should actually be clearing out in the next 30 minutes or so. The question becomes how bad the OF is. 6-8 inches of rain in a matter of hours could potentially overwhelm even the best of drainage systems.
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I'll throw in my prediction of Hoffpauir going down for Geo just because Fuld is the backup CF and that will probably tip the scales in his favor. It might be the best thing for Hoffpauir right now. He's in a absolutely massive slump and from his quotes sounds like he might be pressing because of it. Go get him 2-3 weeks of at-bats at Iowa and see if he can relax and work through it with regular at-bats. Does Hoff have options? I thought there was talk in the spring that if he didn't make the team they'd risk losing him. According to TCR's 40 man roster he has 2 (it's usually pretty reliable). That would seem to be consistent with what I remember as well (he first played in the major leagues last year and I don't think he was on the 40 man at all before that).
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I'll throw in my prediction of Hoffpauir going down for Geo just because Fuld is the backup CF and that will probably tip the scales in his favor. It might be the best thing for Hoffpauir right now. He's in a absolutely massive slump and from his quotes sounds like he might be pressing because of it. Go get him 2-3 weeks of at-bats at Iowa and see if he can relax and work through it with regular at-bats.
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That wasn't possible based on when he started his rehab assignment. In fact, I think they waited as long as they possibly could before they brought him back. And I don't see why exposing Blanco would be a big concern. Everybody in the league knew he was very good defensively and was poor offensively. And yet nobody was willing to give him a major league deal when he was in free agency for two years in a row. It's possible somebody picks him up, but it's not altogether likely. As long as Miles is coming back as the 2nd backup MI, I'll be fine with him being on the team. He can get the very occasional start at SS until September (1-2 starts) plus pinch-hit appearances against a left-hander (although hopefully after Baker and after Reed when he returns).
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He'd never make it there even if the Cubs wanted to try. The bullpen has sure been streaky. After 2 months of dominance, the last few days have been brutal.
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Fontenot has been hitting some balls really hard recently. He hit 2 balls in Florida that in most other ballparks would have been HR's (a double and a good running catch).
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Forget Halladay and Peavy
CubColtPacer replied to Backtobanks's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
It looks like 2 more seasons after this one through 2011. Seattle has been trying to buy out Felix's arbitration years and has been unsuccessful. I'm not surprised they are getting a little skittish about re-signing him when he becomes a free agent. It makes sense for them to be proactive and trade him in the offseason when he's still 2 years away when they can get max value for him. -
That still wouldn't have been enough money to sign Wood in arbitration. You'd have to find another 4-5 million somewhere (plus another 400,000 for the minimum salary player you're using instead of Miles). And of course there's the problem that Wood has been worse than Gregg this year, and it hasn't been because of dribblers (the main two problems are a much higher HR rate and a much higher walk rate). What's the minimum amount we could have offered him in arbitration? I'm not saying it would have signed him, but according to him he wanted to stay here, so I'm assuming we would have gotten a hometown discount. Why would Wood give a hometown discount after he already accepted arbitration? If Wood had wanted to accept just anything (and the Cubs could have given him a lesser contract outside of the arbitration process) the Cubs probably would have signed him. If for example Wood was willing to accept a deal very similar to the one he got in 08, the Cubs would have probably been happy to bring him back after his successful season in 08. The fact that they didn't suggests that he wasn't quite that willing to do anything for the club.
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That still wouldn't have been enough money to sign Wood in arbitration. You'd have to find another 4-5 million somewhere (plus another 400,000 for the minimum salary player you're using instead of Miles). And of course there's the problem that Wood has been worse than Gregg this year, and it hasn't been because of dribblers (the main two problems are a much higher HR rate and a much higher walk rate).
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I think he had a little case of the being Kevin Gregg. He's jut doing what he does, which is being a run-of-the-mill reliever who can't consistently pitch well. It's hard to compare a "normal" year for him considering he spent the last two years in Miami compared to the more homer happy Wrigley. He was pretty unimpressive before he got to south Florida. Moving to Wrigley has not been the reason for the change in his HR rate. He's given up as many HR's in Florida this year as he has in Wrigley. And in the previous 2 years in Florida, he gave up 5 HR at home, 5 HR away.
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 8-2-2009
CubColtPacer replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
He was traveling to Tennessee yesterday. He should be in their lineup tonight. -
I wouldn't do anything just yet after just 2 outings. He very well may find it again. Remember that before the last two nights, Marmol had walked 1 man combined in his last 6 outings (spanning 6 1/3 innings) and hadn't walked more than 1 in an inning since June 26th. I'd make sure not to bring him in with runners on for a couple games, but other than that I'd wait him out in his regular role for his next streak of good control.
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Because Baker needs to come up against a left-hander to be effective and the Cubs needed any base hit to take the lead in that situation. Baker is almost as good at picking up base hits against left-handers as Soriano is, so it made sense to save Soriano for the next pinch-hitting situation where a right-hander would likely be on the mound. If the Cubs had used Soriano in the 7th, that would have left either Baker or Blanco against a right-hander later on and those are two pretty ugly options. Soriano is still the best pinch-hitter the Cubs could have put up in the 7th, but not necessarily the best use of bench management. They would have been going for it all right there and making their bench useless for the rest of the game. The way Lou played it Baker was in a spot he's good at and then he could save Soriano for another spot that he would also be good at. Unfortunately the 3 run deficit kind of tied Lou's hands in the 9th (Soriano would have likely pinch-hit for Hill with a 1 or 2 run deficit IMO).
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I can't believe Volstad threw that pitch. You know that Fox in that particular situation is thinking home run all the way and is sitting dead red on the first pitch. Wow.
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The club has confirmed the reason for Jackson's demotion (from Bruce's blog):
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Peavy to White Sox AGAIN!
CubColtPacer replied to Keener98's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I wonder if Peavy made them guarantee 2013. If he did, Peavy will likely give them good production, but simply not enough to make up for his contract (4 years, 70 million through 2013), the players that it took to acquire him, the fact that he's had multiple injuries, his age (late prime to possibly moving slightly out of prime), and the fact that he's moving out of such a pitcher friendly ballpark. It makes a little more sense if 2013 was a club option, but the likelihood is that it won't be a terrible deal for the White Sox, but it certainly won't be a good one either. -
Very interesting comments on the deal. Apparently Pittsburgh asked for Hart for Grabow. With the Lilly injury, the Cubs refused to trade him unless they got somebody else. That's where the other 3 players came in. The Cubs decided to make the deal because Dave Littlefield scouted Gorzelanny's recent starts and recommended him to Hendry.
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I tend to agree. Wrigley is the field in MLB that changes the most based on what part of the year you're in. Fly ball pitchers and line drive hitters are the ones you want with the wind blowing in, and home run hitters (specifically ones with uppercut swings) and ground ball pitchers are the ones that you want when the wind is blowing out. The Cubs have had success going after strikeout pitchers in the last 10 years because that is the only type of pitcher who will do consistently well at Wrigley. Ground ball pitchers can also do well but aren't ideal for the park. There are no types of hitters that will be ideal all season at Wrigley. It's the hardest ballpark in the majors to build a lineup that will be more suited for the ballpark than their opponents will.
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I'd like Ross and think he'd be useful, but there's no room for him if Reed's going to be back in a couple weeks. The Marlins arent looking to sell. They're looking to move Hermida, as they were all off season. You're probably right, but Ross' name was brought up and I responded. They have no real reason to trade him. I'd still kind of like Hermida for cheap. From Bruce's blog this morning:
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Fuld is on the team plane to Florida and Atkins is not. They just haven't made the move official yet. And Gorz won't be officially called up until his 1st start. They aren't going to waste the chance to keep 8 relievers for a few days.
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The Cubs were often near the leaders in walks, but the only times they actually led the NL in most walks given during that time frame was 2003 and 2006.
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That doesn't preclude him from being the 5th starter. The Cubs would want to wait to activate him until directly before his start (since he wouldn't be needed for the next 4 games). It might still be Marshall, or Samardijza, or somebody else starting, but it also could very well be Gorzelanny.
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That's overpaying by itself. Jackson better be the only one with any significant value in the deal (a couple roster fillers I wouldn't mind losing with him) But as I said before, at the same time I'm not feeling good for Jackson's future if he is involved in this trade. The club usually knows something that has made them sour on his value. I'm surprised that the Cubs would go after Grabow if they were willing to dangle Jackson though when Bruce said they liked Beimel a little bit better. Maybe they really have a future in mind for Gorz. Edit: Just saw the other report. Would like that deal a lot better.