At home, by 3. Basically a toss-up game, and Green Bay looked better than Atlanta last week. Well I would hope so...GB played a 4-8 team, while Atlanta had to contend with a team that is trying to get a wild card spot in the playoffs. I don't think that's comparing apples to apples. It's never comparing apples to apples. That is why it's a subjective process. I think Green Bay is better on a neutral field. EDIT: As far as real justification: the Packers have just 3 wins by 7 or fewer points, and have not lost a game by more than 3. The Falcons have just 3 wins by more than 7 points (and 2 against the NFC West...that hardly counts), and lost to Philly by 14. All four of our losses have come on the opponent's final play of the game. So you guys know how to pull defeats from the jaws of victory, eh? :) Seriously though, losing close still counts as a loss. I don't think you get bonus points for losing close. "Finishing" a game is an important part of being a good team, imo. Most games in the NFL are close. (Last nights example notwithstanding.) I'm not saying GB is a bad team by any stretch of the imagination...in fact I think that last game of the year is gonna be a doozy for the division title...but personally, right now, I'd put the Falcons above the Pack.