1) Roddick is going to have to serve really well. He's got to hit the first one hard and accurate, get in a high percentage and get a lot of aces. 2) This goes along with No. 1 but Roddick has to end points quickly. If he starts getting into longer rallies repeatedly, Federer is going to eat him alive. 3) Roddick has to get lucky. If Federer plays his best, it won't matter what Roddick does because Federer will win. Nadal's the only guy who can compete with Federer at his best. Roddick has to play his best, because if he doesn't he has no chance, and hope Federer is a bit off. I know Roddick is playing well, but Federer seems like he's on a mission. He's crushing players right now and isn't even leaving himself open to be broken on his serve. I'd probably give Roddick about a 10% chance to win and it's going to have to come in five sets. If the match goes three sets, Federer wins. If it goes four, Roddick has a very slight chance but if it goes five, who knows. I won't be waking up at 6 a.m. to watch it live so the DVR better not screw up the recording. So far Andy is hitting 77% of his 1st serves and winning 84% of those. Even if Andy can't break, testing his luck with tie-breakers is not a bad idea.