goonys evil twin
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Everything posted by goonys evil twin
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Not that I'm convinced it would happen, but what is the likelihood that a platoon of Jones/Jose Guillen or Craig Wilson or a comparable player could outproduce Sheffield? Ignoring the likelihood that we'd ever see that happen, the odds are probably decent. But you can't assume those guys would only hit in the perfect L/R platoon. Plus, I don't see it happening at all.
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You can compared him to other free agents. It's just stupid to only compare him to free agents. You have to compare him to everybody. He's makes more than the average players but does not produce more than the average player.
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Wuertz and Jones for Sheff. Or if Jones stays, Murton gets time in relief of both. You need about 1450 PA between LF and RF. Give 480 to each and you'll be fine.
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More like a platoon player who plays full time for a guy who is likely to be injured at some point. Sheff played in 150+ games for 3 straight years before last season. We aren't talking Bonds/Alou/Thomas as far as how brittle he is. Dating back to 1996, the fewest amount of PA Shef had was 549, and he was only under 600 3 times (not counting 2006). Last year's injury is a concern, and it's the main reason I'm hesitent about him. But the odds that he outproduces Jones next year are outstanding.
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I like Wuertz, but don't mind giving him up in a deal for a good regular. If you can deal away relievers for everyday difference makers, you have to do it. I just don't like Sheffield in that role.
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Funny thing I always thought it was a glove never noticed the MB, but then again I nver really looked closely at it. I think we could use a uniform change, too. Keep the pinstripes of course and the road greys but change the alternate home jersey. Get rid of the walking cub logo its lame. Go back to the dark navy shirts with the "C" and the bear with the bat or the brown pinstripe that they have worn in the past. Yes! I hate hate hate the blue alternate jersey that the players seem so fond of. I never understood what the big deal was about those. I guess I'm one of the few who likes them. They are cartoonishly ugly.
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Average production at above average cost, not good. And he's just as likely to be below average as above. Jones is only acceptable in RF if they have massive improvements elsewhere. Jones is not above average cost. His contract, by current market, is a bargain. The Cubs are not going to field an all-star at every position, so we agree that assuming upgrades elsewhere, Jones is acceptable. I do find it highly ironic that Hendry got killed for not pursuing Giles on this board, and Jones dwarfed Giles production in 2006, in terms of slugging and OPS. Giles OPS+ 105 Jones OPS+ 107 I find it highly amusing how much you love Jim Hendry screwing up the Cubs. Jones is above average cost. You can't compare him only to free agents, that's absurd. He's not competing only against free agents. Smart teams find ways to get production above cost. Stupid teams spend big on mediocrity.
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I'm not just saying him. I'm saying with Ramirez too, and eveyrone else. Not just Matsuzaka. Just the overall feeling I'm getting from this offseason. I could be way off, by the way. Last offseason I was ridiculed for stating early worries about the direction they were taking. I was still getting the "it's early" comments in December. Same thing happened before the 2005 season. At this point, I'm not ready to write off the offseason. But going on Hendry's track record, I wouldn't expect it to get much better than it has been in the past.
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Average production at above average cost, not good. And he's just as likely to be below average as above. Jones is only acceptable in RF if they have massive improvements elsewhere.
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Not worth it. But as his own agent, we might be able to expect him to screw up and get less.
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Expecting him to repeat last year is foolish. Anytime you need a platoon partner for a starting veteran corner outfielder, that player is subpar.
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Why is the 3rd best OPS in the NL for his position subpar? Ramirez had the 3rd best OPS for his position in the NL as well, so I guess he is subpar also. I'm not a huge fan of Jones, but Jones in RF is not the problem with this team. He had a barely above average OPS+. His OPS was SLG heavy, which is less valuable than a OPS that is OBP heavy. Jones in RF is not the problem with this team only because this team has more than one problem. He certainly is one of the problems. He's a part of an impotent OF, and does not do enough on his own to help the team. Jones would be fine if he was a 26 year old pre-arbitration player. But as the single biggest addition to an already horrible offense last year, he was a terrible option. It's not his fault he isn't good. But it is Hendry's fault that the Cubs OF wasn't any good and that Jones played a big part in that.
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For that matter, having to pay a guy to play isn't a good thing for the club either.
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I still think the big difference between Aramis and Lee is that Lee would only have 1 year to prove himself. Lee knew if he got hurt in 2006, then his money might go way down-so he took a deal that would be below his market value (can you imagine if Lee had a good year this year how much his market value would be also?) Aramis knew if he had a bad year, he still had 2 more years at great money to prove himself before FA, and if he had a good year, then he could hit FA now and cash in. It's much, much less of a gamble for Aramis because he makes over 10 million either way-which makes the amount of money needed to get him to agree to an extension much, much more last year. Obviously there was a significant difference in the situations. It's not exactly the same. Lee had more incentive to sign than Ramirez. But that doesn't mean he couldn't sign Ramirez.
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Why? If they were expecting $20m when they decided to post him, but only got $13m (for example), then they might feel the need to debate whether it's worth it. They might be desperate enough for cash to accept, but they aren't going to jump at it immediately.
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I'd give Drew an opt out after 2 years. His next 2 years are bound to be better than the ones that follow. Might as well get the best two remaining years out of him, and then let him walk if he wants more money.
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Why? Whywhywhywhywhy? Why are people making plus and minus columns about a GM who has built a team that is terrible? Why do we have to count as a plus a move that guaranteed the Cubs would once again get subpar OF production? And how is everybody saying what a bargain Jones is? He's not a bargain. He's a mediocre player who had a slightly above average season. But he's just as likely to be below average next year. You say he paid the price he had to pay to sign Jones, I say he never had to sign Jones.
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Just putting it in play should never be the focus. I think the focus can be more on hitting it far in the air, but unless the defense is conceding the run, and/or the runner on 3rd is fast, putting it in play might not help much at all. Putting it in play, to me, just means making easy outs. They need to put some authority behind their swing. At 2 strikes you can't be as picky, but you also can't just slap at anything that comes up there. I am suprised by the responses and it may be b/c I was not clear. I think most borderline pitches can be hit well and your approach w/ 2 strikes cannot be to still to look for a pitch in a certain zone. I think it should, but the zone would just be bigger.
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Yeah, he's a rehab project. And he can be good. There's nothing wrong with taking chances on guys like that. There's still plenty of money for Ramirez and others. Somebody was going to get Miller money to be a back of the rotation guy. And it's not like he's a rehab project who has no chance of pitching next April. Lots of rehab projects are guys who we know won't be able to throw until June or July at the earliest. Miller is a guy who could start the whole year.
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He could come back healthy, but he might not. Not sure what there is to explain, but the guy has missed time in 3 straight years. Past injury is the biggest predictor for future injury.
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?? Do you think Hendry doesn't have time for both? Figure Miller at the least got between 1-2 million, while this isn't alot, what is the gap right now in regards to re-signing Aram? 4-5 million? He needs to hold off on these recovery projects and take care of buisness ASAP. Get Aram signed now. I don't think signing Miller would delay Hendry's chances of signing Ramirez. It's just another symbol of Hendry's moronic Philosophy. He refuses to overpay for quality players, but has no qualms about dishing $$$ for garbage players or rehab projects. There's quite a bit of difference between wasting money on guys like Rusch and Neifi, who are terrible, and risking money on guys like Miller, who can be good.
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I would probably immediately start worrying about whether the guy will truly live up to his billing.
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I'm not talking about any of them missing time, I'm talking about Miller's injuries taking away from his stuff. His arm isn't the same as it was when he was good 3+ years ago. Like I just said, I think you have to at the least call into question Miller's potential to return to that form. At that point, I don't see why he's any better of an option than any of the young guys, which is what I said in my original post. Obviously that potential is being called into question, otherwise this wouldn't even be discussed. Unless he's guaranteed something stupid, it's a nice move. He's a better option because he's shown an ability to be a good major league pitcher. None of the others have, and none looks anywhere close to being there.
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That is important. If he's getting $6m, it's a really risky move. If he's getting a much lower guarantee, it's a nice move.
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If Aramis was 33 the declining OPS might matter, or if it was a significant decline it might matter. His OPS+ though was 136, 137, 126 the past three years, not a real decline.