But the point is he shouldn't have been picked 13th. He should have been picked about 140th. Maybe there's a nice list of guys picked around the 13th pick that turned out good, but that doesn't mean you can just throw any name at the 13th spot and say he's got the same chance as all the rest. Based on what, one prospect list that was how many days old? Colvin was rumored to go to the White Sox later in the first round and was widely reported to be a late riser up the ranks in the days before the draft. Shouldn't that evidence be considered before you label this guy as the 140th best prospect? What about what other scouts and industry professionals who's opinion differ with that of BA? Shouldn't what they have to say also be considered? Is BA the only source worth noting? Shouldn't we also consider the source, Wilken, and his track record as a scout? Doesn't the fact that Wilken drafted Alex Rios who also was nowhere to be seen on BA's pre-draft rankings count for something? It seems like you find a few convenient pieces of evidence that support your very quickly made up opinion and you stop considering the rest of the evidence. Or am I wrong, and you did consider all the evidence but have some reasons why it is meaningless and shouldn't impact your original opinion? Again, I don't know how many times I have to say this, I'm not being sarcastic, I'm truly asking. The 140th thing is probably not very accurate. But the point is you can't just say he's worthy of 13th pick status (and immune to criticism) because he was picked 13th by the Cubs. The history of past 13th picks doesn't mean a darn thing when it comes to this 13th pick. Everybody thought it was an overdraft. Colvin himself was shocked to go that early. What you need to think about is the likelihood of a guy ranked from anywhere between 29-70+ (with 140 likely out of the range) succeeding at the major league level. Because that is the type of player the Cubs drafed. Yes there is still a chance. But his odds don't increase just because he was selected 13th.