1. Cubs (90 wins, really don't believe it will be that close) 2. Astros (83 wins, much better lineup and a better year from the rotation) 3 Brewers (79 wins, back to reallity, sophomore slumps and a below average pen) 4. Reds (74 wins, better but still have several holes) 5. Cards (72 wins, no pitching and take out Albert and they have worst lineup in league too) 6. Pirates (67 wins, they are just not good and won't be for a long time the way they are going)