Don't sleep on the Nationals. I've said it all off-season, but I expect them to make a splash, and with Wade Davis off the boards, they are probably going to go with the group last year, with Doolittle closing. That means the money they have can be staggered to go after a SP, and with Gio's contract up after next year, it can be creatively staggered if they really wanted to minimize long term impact (basically, front load it if necessary), with raises for other guys on the back end. That said, the more the off-season moves along, the more I tend to think Arrieta might be the fit for the Nationals - knows Dave Martinez, big splash and a good fit as a number 3 starter there, and a make nice move with Scott Boras, which they seem apt to do. Would the Nats sign a jumbo contract like Arrieta this year? How much would that hinder the LT for them next year - assuming they resign Bryce?