Most people are way down on Wells, it seems. Shouldn't be, but they are. My guess as to WHY the Cubs seem to be down on Wells is this: They probably look at him as a solid enough 4-5 guy. But, after his stats for his 1st two major league seasons, he may be classified as MORE than that, especially if he has a solid 3rd season as well. My guess is the Cubs concern is he's likely to be making 3-4 mill as a first year arb guy with salaries going upwards from there and if they DO view him as a 4-5 guy, it's just too much to pay for that, if they feel Coleman or someone else can basically do the same thing for a lot less. In other words, this may be one of the cases to the Cubs that stats don't tell the whole story as to why the Cubs must think the way they do on him. Not to mention the fact, that evidently he doesn't appear to have much trade value around the league, which seems odd considering that he's had 2 very solid seasons under his belt.(read that a couple of times over the offseason). Maybe the Cubs and most teams throughout the league look at him as a fluke, rightly or wrongly? Don't get me wrong, I feel very confident that he's going to be our 4th starter and I feel like he'll have an OK season for us too. So the Cubs are worried that he'll be too good? If he has a season worthy of a substantial arby raise that would probably up his trade value enough to where they could find a taker. I think the reason they aren't promising him a rotation spot is that they still want to find a way to get a LH starter. It's a dumb reason but that's the way Hendry thinks. Somebody like Russell couldn't hope to be chosen for a roster spot over Cashner (who's much better) and Silva (who's highly paid) but he might hold out hope to be able to beat out Wells. No, it's not that I think that the Cubs think he's going to be too good, it's the opposite. I think it's possible they think he's going to regress actually, but then figure he's still going to cost quite a bit in his 1st year of arb, giving them a tough decision to make as to whether or not to tender him. I bet they did their damndest to try and trade him this offseason personally, to try and put that possible decision in someone else's hands. Granted, it'd just be a 3-4 million dollar decision on him, not exactly the end of the world for the Cubs, but they may think that money could go towards something they feel is a better investment. In the end, I'm just trying to figure out why they, or any other team, evidently doesn't hold him to very much value. You could be right too though, it could be something as simple as handedness when it comes to the Cubs. Personally, I think like Dew does and figure he's got lots of innings left on his arm, due to his late start and may even show improvement still. Making him a very solid 4 type guy over the entirety of his arb years.