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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    Hendricks i have no idea about because you have a guy top-25 in pitcher WAR in the span since he's entered the league, 26, injury-free, effectively free for 4.5? years and better in just about every measure of performance than Sonny Gray, who's assumed to be an elite trade chip...but there's always going to be doubt for whatever reason 1.5-years of Shark basically returned Russell and .5 years of Price & Cueto returned fairly sizable bounties, i have little doubt that if his medicals checked out (and he were made available), contenders would be in a bidding war for Jake
  2. sneakypower
    i'm of course lower on Baez, but it's also that SS is becoming talent-rich league-wide where you can't see much more than 3 or 4 or teams where he'd present an organizational upgrade, and also his value drops a bit if you're forcing a move and you don't seem to hear him mentioned in any of the trade talks where other teams are setting a high line and he's the one they're after...possibly they conclude that he's more likely a losing player as he's shown to this point
  3. sneakypower
    and FG doesn't span majors+minors, only an either/or
  4. sneakypower
    i'm too addicted to their arbitrary endpoints selector, which FG does have but not as cool/easy
  5. sneakypower
    "They ask me what I'd like written about me when I'm gone. I hope they write I made Penn State a better place, not just that I was a good football coach" FAIL
  6. sneakypower
    i get a tiny little bit mad every time i load his bb-ref & it shows "sparkles" for nickname horsefeathering brett
  7. sneakypower
    this is my best estimation as to what league-wide poll might show; we've seen GMs prioritize star potential over high-floor solid projections so i dinged AA, Baez, Hendricks some Bryant Rizzo ---- Russell ---- Arrieta Contreras Schwarber ---- Rondon Hendrix? ---- Soler Eloy Almora Javy Happ Torres ---- Edwards Jr Cease Vogelbach Zagunis Candelario
  8. sneakypower
    Bryant: no-doubt #1 Rizzo: top-5 Russell: top-25 Contreras: top-50 probably nobody else makes it
  9. sneakypower
    park adjusted, that's about 115 wRC+, more in line with .800 OPS in Cubs hitting environment fwiw
  10. sneakypower
    Smyly's 12th in MLB for K-BB%; figure out how to reduce HR-charity (ditch cutter?) and you've got a stew
  11. sneakypower
    context-wise, he's been kind of lousy http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=3&season=2016&month=0&season1=2016&ind=0&team=17&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&page=1_50 I don't believe net WPA includes either a position adjustment or any accounting of defensive value. true, but it better accounts for him [expletive] his pants whenever faced with any kind of runners-on-base situation his defensive value isn't really anything to sing praises for though
  12. sneakypower
    context-wise, he's been kind of lousy http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=3&season=2016&month=0&season1=2016&ind=0&team=17&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&page=1_50
  13. sneakypower
    sell "high" baby
  14. sneakypower
    whose nuts did he kick now...
  15. sneakypower
    In order to outbid all the teams that actually need a left fielder for Reddick, you're going to have to be prepared to give up a serious prospect or two for him. To get the upgrade from Soler/et al to Reddick, are you willing to give up 6+ years of someone like Happ? If you say we'll pay less than that, just keep in mind a team like Cleveland that may actually be one bat away. Do you think that the team is going to unload enough prospects to get a top tier reliever and a starter and bat? If not, which do you think they'll sacrifice first? Its an extremely valid point. Its kind of what I was heading towards when I posted needs and stuff earlier. I wanted to see the true supply and demand side of things to see where our best bets were. Even Theo has said he expects to add a reliever from outside the org, so that ones easy. But I think we'd need to open up the market to see whether its feasible to add both an OF and a SP on top of that. Or which one has the best chance to give us help for a slightly cheaper price. My legit guess at what we're dealing away...... Baez Soler Candelario Vogelbach Torres 2 of Zagunis, Caratini, and McKinney La Stella I think Happ and Eloy stick around. So does that group of guys get us a RP, SP, and an OF? Obviously, it could. But its dependent upon the impact of the guy(s) we'd acquire. Also, if we actually moved all or most of that group. forgot one
  16. sneakypower
    I think stuff like UZR is updated less frequently than daily, so it could be yesterday's offense and a week or so of defensive value. Bryant was specifically worth .173292559 WAR yesterday so it must've been a very favorable UZR update (scoring change?)
  17. sneakypower
    FINALLY wild card: drop Santana, add Story
  18. sneakypower
    in 47 AB, Rizzo has 11 2B & 5 HR, 15 R, 14 RBI vs. PIT (.532/.589/1.128) in 53 AB, Bryant has 4 2B & 9 HR, 19 R, 21 RBI vs CIN (.415/.508/1.000)
  19. sneakypower
    Rizzo leads NL in wOBA also i wonder how many guesses it would take most people here to name NL leader in SLG
  20. sneakypower
    now that's the Hector i know
  21. sneakypower
    roundabout way of saying, he's not a great defensive player
  22. sneakypower
    i really don't believe gambler's fallacy applies to baseball very much it's a game of streaks/slumps and the assertion basically ignores that
  23. sneakypower
    http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-vLOAoksNY1Q/URFUvHAoV6I/AAAAAAAAJXE/ebJVVqBVqKE/s1600/not-like-this.gif
  24. sneakypower
    why is Marte humping the SS
  25. sneakypower
    McCutchen is a 1B soon, right?
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