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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    he'll always have that tattoo to remind him of his roots
  2. sneakypower
    ok fine i updated
  3. sneakypower
    P that isn't Lester, specifically, Montgomery
  4. sneakypower
  5. sneakypower
    franchise tag values: he caught 85 passes which would also have put him in top 10 for WR; he & his agent probably feels the franchise cap number for RB doesn't nearly account for his total offensive production and they'd be right to think so him adding another 400 touches this season at a relative pittance doesn't even help his value at all, regardless of his output
  6. sneakypower
    i'm pretty sure WAR doesn't credit him with the extra bases he gains on errors like that, and it's a common enough occurrence that Len always laughs them off as 'another El Mago moment'; add that to relay throws, CS tags, your backup SS being a real player and not Eric Sogard and there's a ton of intangible value that won't help him in the fWAR rankings but he's still right at the top there anyway Petriello makes a case for Baez deserving extra credit for his unusual versatility here though https://www.mlb.com/news/javier-baez-adds-elite-versatility-to-mvp-case/c-293303568
  7. sneakypower
    i became a big fan of Mack the first time i heard about this anecdote (SIAP)
  8. sneakypower
    i would take Burton over Graham and PFF does not think highly of GB's secondary also
  9. sneakypower
    Javy is the current rightful MVP, but this is a real hoot: ah, that elusive club...
  10. sneakypower
    James Daniels will have a rough go of it if several interior lineman get dinged up
  11. sneakypower
    Michigan fans seeing why Patterson actually transferred and it wasn't because he wanted to play in a bowl this year. He was going to be the 2nd string QB at Ole Miss. He's not that good. He didn’t look that bad to me. He was constantly under pressure and was on the run a lot. I thought he tucked it too early a few times, lost Michigan 3 points by taking a 17 yard sack, the INT was whatever but the fumble shouldn’t have happened. I hear that’s a problem he had last year. Anyways NDs defense might be stout who knows but it was really defensive mistakes that killed Michigan. Not able to contain winovich, penalties on 3rd downs, 3rd down conversions in general, didn’t matter if it was 3rd and 2 or 3rd and 18, just couldn’t get off the field. Oh well have several more shots to win “big games” or if they lose them all as usual cement themselves as a team that never ever wins any game of any importance he more or less looked fine, but it's hard to judge with the worst tackle play conceivable, not that the interior was any great shakes either how did that not show itself in practice when these guys face the best DEs in the nation
  12. sneakypower
    Aramis was great enough for him.
  13. sneakypower
    Zach Smith's attorney
  14. sneakypower
    Theo http://idesh.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/novac.jpg
  15. sneakypower
    right, we've scored five runs in the past week, i don't particularly care if he plays CF
  16. sneakypower
    he is generally loathsome but it's being kind of overlooked here that he was top 10 offensive player in baseball for the previous 2 seasons
  17. sneakypower
    wow i had never seen a -196.4 UZR/150 before
  18. sneakypower
    stimulated double
  19. sneakypower
    This is the thread where we talk about how irreparably broken Kris Bryant is
  20. sneakypower
  21. sneakypower
    I'm seeing 5.1 vs 4.7. Regardless, WAR has standard margin of error - any derived statistical indicator has one. Lowest suggestion I've seen is 15% and I believe the highest I've seen suggested is 2 WAR per year. So .4 is absolutely meaningless; even at the lower 15% the .8 would be borderline. Now there may be other schools of thought on what the margin of error may be, but even it it were lower - 15% is pretty low to begin with - there is still a margin of error; so small fractional differences aren't meaningful. fwar is 4.9 vs 4.1, bwar is 5.1 vs 4.7 fWAR considers them near equals in terms of defensive value, which would seem laughable to a neutral observer; as i think i've said before pretty sure Baez also isn't getting credit for tags & relay throws
  22. sneakypower
    i dont think anything martinez does as a hitter is cheap, i just think if you hypothetically put trout in a situation where he was a table clearer for a team that always had guys on, rather than a table-setter with a couple broke dicks batting in front of him, that he'd be better. yeah i don't disagree, but MVP isn't supposed to be a theoretical though with the opportunities he's been given he's fallen far short of what Martinez has done with his opportunities; that's mostly true of every other hitter really maybe this is where i also point out JD's been ~2 full wins better than Trout in WPA
  23. sneakypower
    this is admittedly veering off-topic, but fWAR doesn't seem to have reasonable calibration for DH or CF at all; replacement-value CF hardly exists because of the innate bias for guys who provide value with their legs and 5 WAR is like the absolute hard cap for DH i mean i get the mechanics of it somewhat, but it doesn't seem practical; failing to go 1st to 3rd on occasion doesn't sensibly close the gap on clearing the bases with regularity in terms of contributing to your team winning games
  24. sneakypower
    his .350 AVG / .700 SLG with runners on is cheapened because...there are always runners on? doesn't that sorta bolster my point
  25. sneakypower
    it is the tiebreaker, and a huge one; the main candidates all have monster stats but Trout gets substantially worse the higher the leverage situation and Martinez the reverse fWAR doesn't incorporate that at all and misses a huge part of the equation...walks are cool, certainly, but there's a valid reason teams just freely give them to you sometimes
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