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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    damn, i picked the wrong day to go to Fort Wayne; i was there yesterday to see a game fwiw, a few stray observations i had (it was Las Vegas 51s vs. Tucson Padres): -James Darnell looked like Ronny Cedeno, physically, doesn't seem too promising in terms of power -Kyle Blanks and Adam Loewen both hit majestic 370+ foot foul balls -Brad Mills took a no-hitter into the 8th. i don't think he ever hit 90, but his changeup is deadly. guys looked completely foolish against it. -for whatever reason, there were tons of IF popouts for both teams (former Cubs great Jon Leicester pitched for Tucson) probably the hottest i've ever been in my life, too; we moved back from our seats a few rows behind the plate to the top of the section, in the shade
  2. sneakypower
    no, and i don't think the Garza trade was a bad move, just not one i'd go out of my way to champion he's had a lot of spectacularly wrong moves (read: completely indefensible), like the great majority of everything he's ever done with the bullpen and bench, but i agree not much that's catastrophically damaging, in a vacuum
  3. sneakypower
    oh come on, betting on a top-50 prospect isn't a 'smart investment'; everybody wants these guys
  4. sneakypower
    the trade would be you're acting like trading $1000 for $1000 would be a great practice, because "i got a thousand bucks out of it"
  5. sneakypower
    can you really make that determination before knowing what Hak-Ju Lee becomes? or if it's best 'moves that seemed good at the time', Hawkins for Jerome Williams and Aardsma warrants consideration i can't wait for the 10 worst moves topic
  6. sneakypower
    i thought this one was supposed to be the worst
  7. sneakypower
    old, but so great
  8. sneakypower
    At 66% success rate? you have to figure that's attainable with a little commitment (bunting practice!), but more practically, he's 56% career on his bunts - still a .402 wOBA - quite a vast improvement upon his .358 line when just swinging away.
  9. sneakypower
    if Pena is good enough at it to drop down bunt base hits in half his ABs, he'd post a .360 wOBA, just marginally better than his current .347 pace change that to 2/3 success rate and it shoots up to .480, or in other words, he becomes Jose Bautista in terms of creating runs; the huge potential upside to doing so really makes it something worth strongly considering
  10. sneakypower
    7th? is this accepting the premise that counting on the grotesque Silva to be a useful performer was all fine and dandy?
  11. sneakypower
    i loved the mspaint somebody at GRB created http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v345/Rogue1469/src.jpg
  12. sneakypower
    to me, this is a meaningless strawman looking at it now, no single move would have saved this season, but a GM should be taken to task (or complained about on a message board, whatever) for actions that lessen the talent of the team. needlessly casting aside Gorzellany made the team more ill-equipped to withstand injuries and consequently worse, and that's where these valid complaints stem from that he blundered so frequently when building the rest of the team essentially renders it a moot point, yeah, but it doesn't mean it bears no attention
  13. sneakypower
    i unequivocally failed in my quest to get people to stop talking about [expletive] bunting :(
  14. sneakypower
    i'm not really sure what you're arguing, mojo the OP is slamming Hendry for not having a viable backup plan, and you're saying having a backup plan was pointless because the team would be shitty regardless because Hendry compiled such an awful team? seems weird to belabor such a pitiful distinction
  15. sneakypower
    soooo, how do the two managers compare in terms of ordering the lineup? using this age-old tool, here is how many runs each manager cost their teams with lineup mismanagement (you can see i've got too much free time at work today): Brenly 2001 5.089 vs. 5.323 (-38 runs) 2002 5.011 vs. 5.165 (-25 runs) 2003 4.649 vs. 4.794 (-24 runs) 2004 partial season Quade 2010 partial season 2011 4.274 vs. 4.484 (-34 runs - extrapolating for a full season) and for good measure... Dusty 2003 4.538 vs. 4.642 (-17 runs) 2004 5.012 vs. 5.206 (-31 runs) 2005 4.752 vs. 4.946 (-31 runs) 2006 4.497 vs. 4.685 (-30 runs) Brenly cost his teams only 29 runs/season on average, whereas in an admittedly smaller sample Quade costs the team 34 runs, and amazingly enough Dusty cost his teams only 27 runs/season fwiw, the most optimal lineup for us shows as: fuku pena soto byrd ramirez castro soriano P barney *exclaimer: i do realize the possible flaws in using this as an absolute; it's meant for entertainment purposes only
  16. sneakypower
    fwiw, Brenly's teams underperformed their Pythag. by one game, just as Quade's Cubs have this year unless you assume Brenly motivated them to score more runs and allow fewer runs (which wouldn't have been done with bunts) then the difference between these two guys is likely too negligible to care about my biggest problem with Quade is that he talks like Hawk Harrelson
  17. sneakypower
    Darryl Dobbs was puzzled by the signing:
  18. sneakypower
    unfortunately, these are the players that are (relatively) really easy to find Scott Sizemore, and Andrew Miller, and Franklin Morales, and Cameron Maybin were all each just acquired for i don't know, a pack of Big League Chew, and here we are hoping all our minor leaguers develop to be these types of players [expletive] it, just go for broke and fill the system full of high potential guys; more Goldens and Burgesses and Lakes and Rundles, please, and just go reap the benefits of other teams' impatience to find your average starters or role players
  19. sneakypower
    it really doesn't get much worse than Iglesias; 4 XBH (all doubles) in 241 PA
  20. sneakypower
    quotes like this definitely support the notion of an organization that doesn't emphasize enough working the count
  21. sneakypower
    i still can't believe the one he hit off his shoetops
  22. sneakypower
    he likely won't; 20-25 HR is definitely on the high end of what he's probably capable of, power-wise with 15 HR, 175 ISO is about the max a hitter can reasonably reach; then even a .300/.380 line would max him out at .850 OPS
  23. sneakypower
    More like 2 years of Cesar Cedeno's career. If he did that for 8 years, it would be hard to call it a disappointment. he had a 9 year peak where he averaged 29 2B, 5 3B, 16 HR, 49 SB and a .293/.362/.467 line (but just 131 games) before injuries took hold
  24. sneakypower
    think about BJ Upton - since he was put in CF, he's averaged (a full season pace of) 20 HR, 40+ SB, .350 OBP, .425 SLG and GG-caliber defense, and when he comes up in trade rumors people talk about what a disappointment he is truth be told, the most likely career path for Trout right now might be something pretty similar to Upton's, which would still be a wild success (4-win seasons his first 5 years), but the assumption is because he hasn't sputtered yet anywhere he's a lock for greatness
  25. sneakypower
    what were the holes in Matt Wieters' game? i'm sure Trout will be a fine player, but it's annoying the insane tendency people have to project a hall of fame career for a guy before he's had to make the biggest jump in levels there is guess this is a good time to ask, is it still a slam dunk verdict that Castro pales in comparison to Heyward, as was the prevalent opinion last year?
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