sneakypower
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Everything posted by sneakypower
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that replay of Gronk's ankle was pretty barfy
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it's even worse than that; Zack Novak is 5-7 and the rest of the team 3-20 today
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that was for MWL (single-A), the comparison which i'd seen the most but "high-A" is a nebulous distinction; there's a 100 pt gap in his MLEs for the FSL and Carolina League -
not really, since assuming a single-A equivalency gives Cespedes a .226/.277/.401 MLE given the number of teams with serious interest in giving this guy $20+ million, it's pretty safe to say he's a fair amount better than that
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obviously unrelated, but if his league is considered the equivalent of AA ball, that'd give that Jose Abreu guy an MLE of .360/.462/.734
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his swing reminds me of Juan Gonzalez with less of a leg kick edit: was talked about in the Concepcion thread, but didn't want to start a tangent Cespedes' 2011 MLE by league equivalencies: Midwest Lg (A): .226/.277/.401 California Lg (A+): .233/.285/.416 Carolina Lg (A+): .250/.308/.457 FL State Lg (A+): .258/.319/.477 Texas Lg (AA): .262/.324/.487 Eastern Lg (AA): .268/.332/.502 Southern Lg (AA): .274/.340/.515
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lol when is it ever expected for us to beat MSU in basketball maybe if the 82 Tar Heels time travel to today and we can beat them, that might qualify as a quality win
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it'll probably end up being something trivial like a three-year freeze on poaching any more Sox employees
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http://www.raizecollective.com/wolverine-blog/celebrate-sparty-no.gif
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well that was just a fantastic defensive series at the end there edit: wait, wide open look? he was falling to his left, the shot was awkard as hell
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Yeah, but on the flipside there's bumstalgic reasons to root against them. it's embarrassing how much i want them to lose for that reason weren't allowed on the bandwagon?
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Vlad and Soriano saw their plate discipline worsen going from the minors to the majors, Hanley's improved a moderate amount Okay. Less than 2% Now explain to me how that isn't his upside. it's his upside insofar as my professional upside is to become a billionaire, i guess; it's so prohibitively unlikely, it's not even worth thinking about for all practical purposes
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Vlad (.83 BB/K), Hanley (.52) Soriano (.36) still all showed much better command of the strike zone in the minors than Lake (.23) has also, somewhat tangential i guess, but i sort of hate using Sosa as an example for anything, the guy hit .227/.276/.382 in his first three years; if the hope for a player is to give you less than a win of value in three years and get traded for a fading has-been, that's a little grim
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Do you really not understand the term? I stated it earlier. Lake has the raw physical tools to hit 20+ HR and swipe 40+ bags while sticking at SS. There's also something like a 2% chance of that happening. that's been done four times in the history of baseball, so i'll certainly take the under on those odds
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Do you propose ignoring potential development by a prospect when determining upside? no, not attainable potential development. a guy can add bulk to his frame and start putting doubles over the wall, but guys don't really ever suddenly start to gain some semblance of strike zone command after nearly 2000 PA of horrible ineptitude seriously, people ronny cedeno 6.2% BB, 16.8% K junior lake 5.4% BB, 23.8% K
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then tell me, what's his upside
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"Huge strides" is probably an exaggeration. Ian Desmond is a pretty good comp for the career path Lake is on right now. Low walks, high strikeouts, poor fielding, but with a bit of pop and some speed. Desmond grades out as a somewhat below average regular, with fWAR totals of 1.3 and 1.4 the last two years. If Lake takes a good step forward in any one of those categories (or numerous small strides), that would make him a league-average starter. He'd still be young, cost-controlled, and have considerable upside beyond that. As long as Lake is making some forward progress it doesn't make much sense to cash in a chip like that just to gamble he might be a closer someday. i get serious indigestion every time i read that Lake and Vitters have "huge upside"; it's so ignorant to overlook their total cluelessness of the strike zone or inability to field their position and hope that's somehow able to drastically change; their upside is to i guess suppress these problems just enough to sneak their way into the majors for a few seasons hey if Ryan Harvey can fix his inability to hit the ball...look out- he could be a good one! think Cubs shortstops, circa 2006
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http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/baseball/mlb/07/18/bp.bonds/index.html
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Trading Soriano
sneakypower replied to ctcf's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
you don't know that, at all -
Misc. Free Agent News
sneakypower replied to Clem Fandango's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
http://images4.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20111120083909/simpsons/images/thumb/3/34/Wonder_Bat.png/640px-Wonder_Bat.png -
Cubs announce LED board and patio in RF bleachers for 2012
sneakypower replied to David's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
bring back the hot air balloon! http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=19986305&c_id=mlb -
i fail to recall a good transition from a 1B to the OF, moreover seemingly every single time it's ever been tried before the results have ranged from very, very bad to just embarrassingly awful
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Misc. Free Agent News
sneakypower replied to Clem Fandango's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
yes, that is an understandably grave concern -
Mike Cammalleri traded to Flames for Rene Bourque http://www.tsn.ca/nhl/story/?id=384922
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Clay Davenport did a killer write-up on Cespedes http://claydavenport.com/?p=97 the whole thing is a must-read, but some highlights: Cespedes: (age 25): .333/.424/.667, 33 HR in 354 AB Jose Abreu (age 24): .453/.597/.986, 33 HR in 212 AB :shock:
