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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    it's a nice touch that Vogelbach's dot is twice the size of all the others'
  2. sneakypower
    Adam Dunn was a horrendous and completely unacceptable OFer, so God only knows what the [expletive] you're talking about. What I'm talking about is that as horrendous his OF defense was, his bat was valuable enough that they were willing to accept it in order to get it in the lineup, so assuming he continues to develope as the beast that he is early on, and assuming that Rizzo is our long term 1B, is giving Vogelbach some OF reps an option? But why male models? hahahaha
  3. sneakypower
    Phillips is taking some really ugly swings all series and still getting a hit every AB
  4. sneakypower
    i brought up his (aforementioned) current slump, to make his numbers look as good as possible? yes. You picked an arbitrary point in time to make his BB & K numbers as good as possible. Are you denying that? yes, dexter or whoever asked what his walk rate was like during his current slump, and i focused on that, and why there's some signs for real optimism there but endpoints for "slumps" are always arbitrarily defined
  5. sneakypower
    i brought up his (aforementioned) current slump, to make his numbers look as good as possible?
  6. sneakypower
    Out of curiosity, and because I have no earthly idea how to calculate it, what would his line be if his BABIP were normalized to something like .310 or so? that'd just be 12 more hits dropping in play, making it roughly .290/.355/.450 i'm not making an argument about his BIP luck during the stretch, but rather pointing out that if his Howson-era BB and K rates are indicative of a change in approach, he can now be much less reliant upon a high BABIP to be a very productive hitter
  7. sneakypower
    Castro's last 38 games: 8.2% BB, 13.3% K, .207/.272/.352 (.210 babip) Castro's previous 72 games: 1.9% BB, 17.0% K, .304/.317/.445 (.347 babip) honestly, a .310 babip makes that a great line; i actually feel much better about his offense going forward now than i did when he was flailing at everything but hitting .300
  8. sneakypower
    Counter examples don't make it right. Should I list all the players who started off looking promising, had a hiccup and never recovered? There are more of those, btw, they're just less memorable. how many had great seasons every year, with no hiccups?
  9. sneakypower
    how many PA does it take to stabilize for a guy who's likely having his swing overhauled on the fly?
  10. sneakypower
    why was McKay windmilling him there??
  11. sneakypower
    this discussion reminds me of all the idiotic overreactions Yankees fans and sportswriters had to Cano's .715 OPS age-25 season
  12. sneakypower
    wow, almost an unbelievable play by Castro
  13. sneakypower
    Not part of the master plan. Got to keep sucking to gain draft picks. http://synthesis.net/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/emperor.jpg
  14. sneakypower
    why go further back to when he pitched with a completely different repertoire? it's the only one representative of what he is going forward
  15. sneakypower
    Castro and Upton have the same OPS you dullard
  16. sneakypower
    I really don't know that. That's my problem. He is tied for 70th in fWAR among starting pitchers. If you want to do a little voodoo to normalize his HR rate, you could probably get him from 1.3 fWAR to 1.9, which would be tied for 49th. And that's in the second-best year of his career. I guess you could define that as "TOR," but that's in the same way that we get excited about the 100th ranked guy being "top-100." And these are supposed to be his prime years. When we are talking about an extension, we are talking about buying his age 30-35 seasons. I'm not really interested in paying top dollar for the post-prime years of a pitcher who was merely above-average in his prime years. we know xFIP is a better predictor of future performance than FIP, and he's been the 14th-best pitcher in that regard for his duration as a Cub i'm ambivalent about keeping him/trading him, but it's very reasonable to term him a TOR pitcher moving forward
  17. sneakypower
    yeah, Polanco's a career .300 hitter with 3 gold gloves; there's not many prospects i'd ever project that kind of career for
  18. sneakypower
    i see torreyes as a sure a bet to be a productive major league player as anyone in the system. he may not have the high ceiling as some of the others, but as you've said, his hit tool is too good not to make it and stay for a long time. if he makes the bigs: best case - polanco most likely - fernando vina worse case - mark lemke What the hell? You just turned on Torreyes! You just blindsided him. He knew you were all in on him and now you just hit him in the head with a steel chair. Take out Mark Lemke and move Polanco to most likely and Vina to worst case and I'll buy it more. I'm still working on best case. Polanco was a 3.5-4 win player for a decade, if that's Torreyes' likely career path, he's one of the most valuable assets in the game
  19. sneakypower
    i see torreyes as a sure a bet to be a productive major league player as anyone in the system. he may not have the high ceiling as some of the others, but as you've said, his hit tool is too good not to make it and stay for a long time. if he makes the bigs: best case - polanco most likely - fernando vina worse case - mark lemke
  20. sneakypower
    http://www.reactiongifs.com/wp-content/gallery/yes/Al_Bundy_excited.gif 5 of those K's were in the first week of the season, too and he's still listed as the only 19 year-old in the FSL
  21. sneakypower
    I let out an honest "Ohh!" after reading that. it seems like torreyes has been raking forever now and his numbers still aren't very good. what kind of a [expletive] hole did he dig himself? he had a .127 babip month, somehow
  22. sneakypower
    http://sainthelena.us/school/classrooms/specialists/library/catalogs/LibraryTitle/St/Images/1314.jpg
  23. sneakypower
    a 31-year-old corpse set to put up a 3-win season, and missed 30 games yet posted 6 WAR last year
  24. sneakypower
    you're making inferences and drawing conclusions off a small data set and creating narratives from them, which seems...out of character amusingly enough, he had a .914 righty split last year too (55 PA), but maybe pitchers/scouts didn't pay attention to those AB's
  25. sneakypower
    i don't think much of him, but Colletti was probably the biggest deadline winner; i hate that we couldn't top their lowball offer for Hanley
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