sneakypower

that's because FIP is limited and mistakenly assumes all pitchers will get hit equally hard Jackson has a BABIP 38 pts higher than his team's average, while Cashner has a BABIP 23 pts lower than his team's average; i think you'd have a difficult time arguing that Jackson performed better this season Cashner's been pretty solid in the 2nd half, too: 2.36 ERA & 3.37 xFIP

viewtopic.php?f=6&t=58644&p=2558449#p2558449

http://filmdope.com/Gallery/ActorsC/4031-10931.jpg

PLAYER DEVELOPMENT IN REVIEW: pre-Theo / post-Theo i'd been passively curious about the development for players in the two years since the Theo takeover, so i went through and split up players' stats into two groups...and for the sake of perspective and balance, charted how they fared in relation to the two years prior; differences in BB rates were of chief interest at the outset of this exercise obvious rousing successes Alcantara 2010-2011: 158 G, 625 PA, 5 HR, 74 R, 61 RBI, 15 SB, 4.2% BB, 20.7% K, .275/.308/.371 (A-, A) 2012-2013: 218 G, 930 PA, 22 HR, 116 R, 120 RBI, 56 SB, 8.7% BB, 20.0% K, .284/.347/.450 (A+, AA) :shock: Lake 2010-2011: 264 G, 1050 PA, 26 HR, 155 R, 118 RBI, 69 SB, 5.9% BB, 22.8% K, .275/.328/.433 (R, A+, AA) 2012-2013: 195 G, 836 PA, 20 HR, 108 R, 84 RBI, 39 SB, 6.6% BB, 22.6% K, .289/.343/.447 (AA, AAA, MLB) doesn't seem like an enormous jump in performance, but as we'll see in a minute, holding your own as you go up the ladder is far from a given horrific failures Brett Jackson 2010-2011: 247 G, 1106 PA, 32 HR, 190 R, 129 RBI, 51 SB, 13.3% BB, 24.3% K, .287/.386/.489 (A+, AA, AAA) 2012-2013: 245 G, 976 PA, 25 HR, 115 R, 83 RBI, 36 SB, 10.7% BB, 34.6% K, .227/.317/.404 (AAA, MLB) oh, that...nice work Junior Lake! Matt Szczur, power division 2010-2011: 134 G, 596 PA, 10 HR, 99 R, 56 RBI, 26 SB, 6.0% BB, 10.7% K, .304/.350/.432 (A-, A, A+) 2012-2013: 265 G, 1191 PA, 8 HR, 183 R, 97 RBI, 73 SB, 10.5% BB, 13.8% K, .274/.356/.376 (A+, AA) nice BB rate & all, but all things considered i'd prefer to have those HRs back Starlin Castro, hittin' em where they ain't? department 2010-2011: 283 G, 1221 PA, 13 HR, 144 R, 107 RBI, 32 SB, 5.2% BB, 13.6% K, .304/.343/.423, .345 BABIP (MLB) 2012-2013: 310 G, 1341 PA, 23 HR, 134 R, 118 RBI, 33 SB, 4.8% BB, 16.4% K, .262/.302/.386, .300 BABIP (MLB) other Castillo 2010-2011: 128 G, 515 PA, 24 HR, 71 R, 70 RBI, 0 SB, 11.1% BB, 21.3% K, .275/.367/.485 (A+, AAA) 2012-2013: 211 G, 800 PA, 20 HR, 80 R, 80 RBI, 2 SB, 9.9% BB, 23.3% K, .269/.357/.412 (AAA, MLB) Vitters 2010-2011: 264 G, 1034 PA, 30 HR, 128 R, 150 RBI, 19 SB, 5.2% BB, 13.5% K, .277/.324/.439 (R, A+, AA) 2012-2013: 179 G, 678 PA, 24 HR, 76 R, 85 RBI, 9 SB, 7.6% BB, 19.7% K, .267/.332/.454 (AAA, MLB) draw conclusions as you wish, i hope i don't need to add a disclaimer that i personally think player development was mainly responsible/to blame for any drastic changes; i just was interested to see these changes expressed

it's killing me, because it suggests we really don't realize/appreciate what we might have in him Bogusevic, Sweeney, Schierholtz are all nice players and i'm fine with bringing them back next season in various capacities, but Lake's the only one who's team-controlled for a long time and he clearly has the biggest upside, so it's especially aggravating that he might already be pigeon-holed into a bench role

i did not know that; if i had, i wouldn't have an empty bottle of Maalox right now

THANK [expletive] GOD

starting to taste my lunch again...

surprise surprise, umfan's positively giddy at the prospect of something to bitch about

we're losing to Akron in the 3rd... this has just been a highly unpleasant game

games against the Pirates are just too [expletive] tedious and dull; little doubt this 2-1 score stands

...Sullivan's injury was not to the head

if logic prevails, Baez is going to stay at SS in the minors until he's called up if he kills it there, you just move Castro to 2B since he's been regressing anyway if he doesn't, he can even move to 3B upon call-up; Machado played two games of 3B in the minors but now he's Brooks Robinson over there, it's not that drastic a switch- hell, look at Valbuena too

normalize to what though? he's top-10 in LD% (min 200 PA), he's 7/11 on bunt attempts and gets a TON of IF hits, turning outs into hits with his speed: http://mlb.mlb.com/video/play.jsp?content_id=30405695 "nothing's routine when Junior Lake is running" and then when fielders rush plays, he gets on via error* (7 in 209 PA...league-leader Norichika Aoki has 13 ROE in 595 PA)... *slightly tangential, but it irritates me that players aren't credited for positive value in OBP (Lake would be at .388) or even WAR, for reaching on error, which has an even higher linear weights run value (.546) than a single - it appears i'm not alone, Posnanski also seems to be bothered by this

http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=fister001dou

definitely should have given somebody that hideous mess of a team before rosters locked, or imo at least give the new owner some kind of an expansion draft to at least add some marginal keepers from FA like other teams were allowed two weeks ago i just say this from the bad experience of inheriting Vance Worley as my 2nd-best exempt keeper while guys i much preferred like Alex Cobb & Wily Peralta were sitting out there unclaimed

even if Jags get #1, i have a hard time seeing them pass on a QB

surprise: Lake, Hendricks, Villanueva's power, the actual pronunciation of 'Alcantara' disappointment: BJax, Soler's injury, Vizcaino, Starling Peralta longshot: Willson Contreras

ugh, just terrible

now look at Juan Lagares

why are you confident he can't be good

man, Samardzija is just completely allergic to 6th innings

why? we'll likely have a protected pick also, Lincecum gave the Giants replacement-level performance the last 2 years; i'd be pretty surprised to see him get QO'd To be fair, that's really not true at all. He hasn't been very good, but he's still been worth 2.5 wins since the start of 2012. He's posted xFIPs of 3.82 and 3.53 the last two years, so there are reasons to believe he could bounce back. However, I do agree that it would be surprising to see him get QO'd due to the recent perception of him. i don't really want to sidetrack the thread, but i'll just say i don't fully subscribe to the theory that every pitcher should expect to be hit equally hard; over the same timeframe, MadBum & Cain have had low BABIPs (.264, .260) working with the same defense while he's been over .300 i was referring to his RA9-WAR when calling his performance replacement-level

Sweeney's not the one who'll need a platoon partner why? we'll likely have a protected pick also, Lincecum gave the Giants replacement-level performance the last 2 years; i'd be pretty surprised to see him get QO'd

in flex, i don't sit a top-20 RB (which McFadden surely is) for anything but a top-10 WR unless maybe you're in PPR or something weird