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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. on a semi-related note, can i have Corey Kluber back
  2. i'm so excited; i'm so...scared
  3. assuming 600-650 PA apiece, i'd guess about 200
  4. how do i know if i've made it in
  5. top-50 for pitcher RA9-WAR since hitting the bigs in '12, ahead of guys like Samardzija, Ervin Santana, CJ Wilson i'm a fan how does he have a career 4.68 fip? HR generosity bases empty: 1.67 HR/9 men on base: 0.83 HR/9 FIP assumes those rates to be similar
  6. top-50 for pitcher RA9-WAR since hitting the bigs in '12, ahead of guys like Samardzija, Ervin Santana, CJ Wilson i'm a fan
  7. wow, that was one of the best fielding plays i ever remember seeing a pitcher make
  8. i've got 0.94 ERA / 0.84 WHIP since his first MLB inning
  9. Is Zips® the right projection to use for this purpose over Zips(U)? yeah, that's correct; ZiPS (U) is just the rest-of-season projection added onto current season stats
  10. from a month ago, but his wOBA projection's only dropped by .004 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-top-10-prospects-currently-by-projected-war-3/ a full-season of his current ZiPS still amounts to a 2 win pace
  11. during the same time-frame you're referencing, Josh Harrison has been the best player in baseball (and Ryan Braun one of the 5-worst); it's not a terribly useful sample size projection systems still like him, and scouts still like him...sometimes players slump
  12. but there's no DH in the NL
  13. ah, there's the bat-flip i've been yearning for
  14. ZiPS has Logan Watkins for a 79 wRC+; with his speed and positional flexibility, that could actually make for a pretty useful utility bat
  15. This might be the dumbest thing asked on here since Da Bum left it's misguided to keep repeating that some of these prospects are sure to fail with the implication veterans are comparatively a sure thing; it's a point that's needlessly belabored it's been said before, but it warrants repeating that "minor league batting statistics will predict major league batting performance with essentially the same reliability as previous major league statistics" so let's talk about the veterans who'll flame out, too, like Schierholtz, Jackson, Sweeney, etc. have
  16. oh now you've done it
  17. who specifically are the inevitable failures?
  18. 60% contact rate now for Baez - Olt was 65%, Lake was 61% he improved significantly from his abysmal contact rates early at Iowa, but that was largely credited to a change in his swing that allowed him to reach the outside fastball he'll mostly just have to stop swinging at so many pitches out of the zone, which is do-able as he gets more comfortable
  19. better make it a 60-day stint
  20. eh, i still mostly like Cameron's stuff
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