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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. sneakypower
    hahaha omg this isn't real
  2. sneakypower
    stop trying to make Chris Valaika happen
  3. sneakypower
    yeah, i'm not sure what purpose it serves WAR is meant to be a descriptive stat; FIP-based WAR: how well a pitcher performed if you assume BABIP and LOB% are outside his control...RA9-WAR: how well a pitcher performed based on actual in-game results this doesn't really describe anything, though
  4. sneakypower
    yeah, and just replace them with a full season of Jacob Turner's 2.08 ERA and Dallas Beeler's 3.27
  5. sneakypower
    that's what it's all about- guns and butter, baby!
  6. sneakypower
    there aren't teams that mostly ignore defense anymore, so i often prefer RA9-WAR to FIP-based WAR these days
  7. sneakypower
    i still expect Bryant makes the team out of ST
  8. sneakypower
    in the summary it shows 10.3 defensive value, which is +4.1 actual defense and 6.2 positional adjustment i liked it better before, but they changed it for some reason; i continually get momentarily excited that Castro's D has progressed into a positive and am hit with the cold reality that it's just the positional adjustment tricking me
  9. sneakypower
    he's only been judged to be +4 defensively, and his offense is nearly the exact C average (.237/.301/.387 vs. .246/.311/.380) he's lucky FG doesn't weigh framing, which he sucks at, and factors in things he's decent at: PB avoidance and CSs
  10. sneakypower
    motion denied
  11. sneakypower
    on a semi-related note, can i have Corey Kluber back
  12. sneakypower
    i'm so excited; i'm so...scared
  13. sneakypower
    assuming 600-650 PA apiece, i'd guess about 200
  14. sneakypower
    how do i know if i've made it in
  15. sneakypower
    top-50 for pitcher RA9-WAR since hitting the bigs in '12, ahead of guys like Samardzija, Ervin Santana, CJ Wilson i'm a fan how does he have a career 4.68 fip? HR generosity bases empty: 1.67 HR/9 men on base: 0.83 HR/9 FIP assumes those rates to be similar
  16. sneakypower
    top-50 for pitcher RA9-WAR since hitting the bigs in '12, ahead of guys like Samardzija, Ervin Santana, CJ Wilson i'm a fan
  17. sneakypower
    wow, that was one of the best fielding plays i ever remember seeing a pitcher make
  18. sneakypower
    i've got 0.94 ERA / 0.84 WHIP since his first MLB inning
  19. sneakypower
    Is Zips® the right projection to use for this purpose over Zips(U)? yeah, that's correct; ZiPS (U) is just the rest-of-season projection added onto current season stats
  20. sneakypower
    from a month ago, but his wOBA projection's only dropped by .004 http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-top-10-prospects-currently-by-projected-war-3/ a full-season of his current ZiPS still amounts to a 2 win pace
  21. sneakypower
    during the same time-frame you're referencing, Josh Harrison has been the best player in baseball (and Ryan Braun one of the 5-worst); it's not a terribly useful sample size projection systems still like him, and scouts still like him...sometimes players slump
  22. sneakypower
    but there's no DH in the NL
  23. sneakypower
    ah, there's the bat-flip i've been yearning for
  24. sneakypower
    ZiPS has Logan Watkins for a 79 wRC+; with his speed and positional flexibility, that could actually make for a pretty useful utility bat
  25. sneakypower
    i'm having heart palpitations.
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