sneakypower
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Everything posted by sneakypower
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yeah don't know what to really make of this
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that's pretty silly, you don't trade 3 top-100/50 FV prospects for one season of a 3-win player unless, your name is Dave Stewart or something like that
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 8-30-23
sneakypower replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
i was at the ICubs game last night, and my main overall takeaway is that the ABS really makes AAA a bad baseball experience it's surely worsened quite a bit because all the washouts, NPs and rehabbers that surface there but almost nobody could reliably throw strikes and everybody's mostly watching pitches the whole game PCA BB'd his first two PA and (in a 6-1 game) K swinging his next two, violently slamming his bat in frustration both times – that guy probably needs to chill out a bit he also tagged from 2nd on a flyout to LF which was kinda wild -
..on the plus side it apparently led to him learning to correctly spell one of his favorite slurs *Vince McMahon excited reaction meme template* "If people are allowed to preach hatred in this country and incite violence according to the first amendment then I damn well can use the word "retarted""
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really rooting for him to set a new record for most HR in a negative-fWAR season, currently held by Dave Kingman for his 1982 campaign of 37 HR and -0.5 fWAR, on the strength of a .204/.285/.432 slash and -24 defense for Schwarber, ZiPS-update pegs him (phrasing) for 42 HR and 0.4 WAR, so hoping he muffs a few extra flyballs or slows his BBs pace accordingly to achieve this ignominious distinction dishonorable mention: 1983 Tony Armas (36 HR, -0.2 fWAR) 2016 Matt Kemp (35 HR, -0.6 fWAR) 1986 Dave Kingman (35 HR, -0.8 fWAR) 1999 Dante Bichette (34 HR, -2.1 fWAR)
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yeah no horsefeathers it's because the alternative has a 7 ERA since the end of May
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 8-9-23
sneakypower replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
yep it didn't escape my notice that Yohn donged 😏 -
when a prospect celebrates their 25th birthday
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roughly 2/3 his PA were facing older pitchers anyway this is getting too tedious to soldier on
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oh damn Mash has some quick cat-like reflexes i hadn't realized were there
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how many guys would the tennis ball hit who boasted age-appropriate seasons in the high minors with .600 SLG & sub-20% Ks
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if i may make another suggestion, one that reads "Yonathan Perlaza has 57 doubles in his last 146 games played"
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sigh, it's true, i even have an embroidered throw pillow that says "Matt Mervis will be exactly as good as Mike Trout"
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chasing past trends in an ever-evolving sport, not really the wisest course of action usually
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5 of the top 8 teams in FB% are likely to miss the playoffs, and the Twins are saved from that ignominy by their incredibly poor division; it's really not that big a deal
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Midseason Updates to Prospect Rankings
sneakypower replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
flip 5 & 9 and the top 12 is pretty spot-on at least (imo) -
even the Dodgers with their nearly unlimited budget understand the need/value in devoting sufficient playing time to players under team control, with not-top-even-100-kind-of-old James Outman like Joc Pederson before him he's rewarded their faith to be one of their better players this year and likely going forward i very much hope we acquire Soto/Ohtani or resign Bellinger to have precedence over Mervis but i think we all know it's more unlikely than not none of these transpire so it's nice to have a decent fall-back with potential for much more to supplement bigger acquisitions on the roster wherever else
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why is this literally the only stat you look at for hitters
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given the unique upside to his bat in a franchise fairly devoid of middle of the order hitter archetypes, he should remain firmly in the plans until better hitters are brought in to usurp 1B/DH
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was somehow only 1% (to my surprise)
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it was a simple analogy obviously exaggerated for a somewhat funny effect we should know Bellinger is assuredly going to hit way closer to 105 wRC+ the last 2 months than 140 and likewise Steele and his current 2.65 ERA should regress (the reverse is also true for Suzuki, Wesneski, Taillon etc) for whatever it's worth here are the discrepancies between current performance and prorated preseason ZiPS
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...ok?
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ok yeah, but that's also not a projection like basing on Rays April season to date stats they'd have been 'projected' 130 wins or something goofy, right
