But the level of production really isn't the problem. Did we expect Aramis to be the worst hitter in baseball for two months? No. But did we expect Colvin to produce anywhere near what he has? No. Soriano and Soto have both bounced back. Carlos Silva could have been an all-star. Marlon Byrd is. There are a lot of Cubs playing well above preseason expectations. In close games, there is a level of variance that comes into play that is unmanageable. When you exacerbate a bad run of variance with really poor decision making in close games, you can easily end up in the Cubs position.