injury maybe, crash back down to earth though? his peripherals have always been good, he just had a very bad year for giving up home runs in 2006, and it's not uncommon for pitchers with elite talent to make significant strides in their walk rate during their late 20s (see maddux, schilling, r. johnson). i think it's a very poor idea to write off last year as "fluky good." I don't consider last season to be "fluky", but I do think he pitched better than what he will in 08. He'd be phenomenal if he could get over his blister issues. this is true. he might be slightly worse this year, or he might be better, but even if he is slightly worse in 2008, he should still be a cy young candidate and one of the best pitchers in the game with that offense behind him. as for buchholz, he's got plenty of talent, but the chances of him outpitching beckett this year are very slim. Very true, that's why I added the "could" disclaimer. I like Buchholz a whole bunch, and I think it's very likely if Beckett misses any significant time.