cheapseats
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Everything posted by cheapseats
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Speed kills.
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His percentage is now low enough that his stolen base attempts hurt the team. Just curious, what is the percentage. I'm not doubting you, I would just like to know. I've got him at 72.1% now.
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His percentage is now low enough that his stolen base attempts hurt the team.
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First, he's been hitting .249 in the leadoff spot, not "under .230." But who cares about batting average? He's got a .341 OBP when htting leadoff this year, which is just .10 lower than his overall OBP this season. He's only hit second in the order in 14 games this season. 14 games isn't enough to draw any meaningful conclusions from his stats. Did you know that Neifi Perez had a .263 OBP in the 1 spot but a .375 OBP in the 8 spot last year? Jose Macias had a .270 OBP hitting first, but also had a .375 OBP hitting eighth. Matt Murton had just a .310 OBP hitting #7, but a .615 OBP hitting #8. Nomar had a .222 OBP hitting #3, but he had a .386 OBP hitting #5. Aramis was just at .231 hitting #3, but he was at .383 hitting #5. Burnitz had a .361 OBP when hitting cleanup, but just a .238 OBP when hitting #7. Barrett had a .431 OBP when hitting 5th, but a .241 OBP when hitting 7th. Stats based on position in the batting order are next to worthless if not completely worthless.
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That, of course, depends on who the manager is next year, and most signs point to Dusty being out of Chicago.
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I'm all for Giles. I do believe that his injuries have contributed to his lack of power this year. PECOTA projects him to be a very, very good 2B for the next 4 years.
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D-Lee on Dee-L
cheapseats replied to CP_414's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Good news in today's UTK: -
Prior to DL
cheapseats replied to CUBZ99's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Bad news in today's Under the Knife: -
Yep. Dan Fox has been doing a series of articles on baserunning for BP, and the facts show over and over again that the best baserunners are the ones who don't get thrown out. Being alert enough to take an extra base when there's little risk will add runs, but it's more important not to make outs.
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FWIW, PECOTA projects Diaz at 20-HR, .340ish OBP and .500ish SLG for 2007-2010. The Cubs have missed some opportunities to pick up guys for cheap this year - Ryan Church comes to mind. Diaz would make sense. Even if there's concern over his 2006 numbers, we could at least platoon him with Jones in RF.
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Victor Diaz was DFA'd to make room for Green. I'd pick him up and drop Bynum or Pagan in a second. He was not good at all in the minors this year, but he put up nice numbers for the Mets last year and is still young enough to improve. Diaz was ranked as the #5 prospect in the Mets system going into this year.
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How soon we forget. :cry:
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Next.Cubs.Manager
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Welcome. I just like to talk baseball during the game. I'm watching it right now. Many here post in the game thread while watching or listening to the game.
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Bob Brenly is doing his part to sell Rusch. He just compared him to Billy Wagner. :shock:
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It might have been smart to not bat Jones in front of Murton vs a lefty. Just sayin'.
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Why does Baker call for a hit and run with Ramirez on first and Nevin at bat? That makes no sense.
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After he made a very nice play to keep Victorino to a single. :roll:
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Len just points out that Pierre leads the league in getting caught stealing.
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Caught stealing with Aramis at bat = stupid.
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Since joining the Cubs, Cesar has hit into DP's in 42.9% of his opportunities to do so. That's not good. He hit into 4.34 more DP's than the average player in 2005 at a rate of greater than 20%. He hit into 4.5 more Dp's than the average player in 2002 at a rate of 18.6%. He did do better in 2003 and 2004, but over his career he's not been good at avoiding DP's. From today's Baseball Prospectus:
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They would be 86-37 if they got rid of all the bad apples.
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Jacque strap!
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But VORP is cumulative, and Bynum hasn't played much. Give him time. He'll reach savior status eventually.
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Which is why most power hitters also have good OBP. But Hendry believes speed = OBP.