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nolanwood

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Everything posted by nolanwood

  1. Flipside to what? As of TODAY, nobody has a clue whether or not the Dodgers make the postseason = 2 month rental. The flipside to your post about the Cubs playoff chances dropping so much in short order is that they still could fly right back up in short order. That matters why? The fact still remains...one cannot definitively state the Dodgers will be in the postseason. If you can claim otherwise, let's hear it. :)
  2. Flipside to what? As of TODAY, nobody has a clue whether or not the Dodgers make the postseason = 2 month rental.
  3. *3 month rental August + September = TWO months. They haven't clinched anything and the Giants are .5 game back which could potentially leave them battling for the second Wild Card spot. they're currently 91% to make it, not factoring adding Alex Wood and Mat Latos and David Price to their rotation and subtracting [file not found] The Cubs dropped 30% in the last week from a percentage they held for almost the entire season. It's a 2 month rental with the possibility of pitching in the postseason. Unless you have a crystal ball there isn't another answer. :)
  4. It wouldnt surprise me if the dodgers give him his 200 million before the offseason either. There's absolutely no way that Friedman gives up Urias. That asking price is nuts for a 2 month rental of David Price. *3 month rental August + September = TWO months. They haven't clinched anything and the Giants are .5 game back which could potentially leave them battling for the second Wild Card spot.
  5. It wouldnt surprise me if the dodgers give him his 200 million before the offseason either. There's absolutely no way that Friedman gives up Urias. That asking price is nuts for a 2 month rental of David Price.
  6. Exactly. We're going to need a middle infielder soon, too. We can't keep trotting Castro out there, regardless of that contract.
  7. If it IS a showcase, I have zero interest in swapping him for an arm.
  8. nolanwood

    Castro

    I wish I didn't just look that up...
  9. Carpenter is pretty close to a lock too. My guess? Arrieta and Rizzo are named reserves and Bryant is a Final Vote. Bryant has twice the WAR of Carp in fewer AB's...he shouldn't be a lock.
  10. "Chicago Cubs left-hander Tsuyoshi Wada was placed on the 15-day disabled list, retroactive to Tuesday, to make room for reliever Neil Ramirez." http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/ct-tsuyoshi-wada-disabled-list-20150628-story.html
  11. The big question is If he will continue to pitch at that rate. Is upgrading from Hendricks to Price worth an additional 25-30 mil per year? I'd love to have Price in the rotation, but I'm fairly certain it isn't the best allocation of resources...and I like Hendricks. There is room in the rotation for both Hendricks and Price. Sneaky wasn't trying to decide between them, but rather highlight the absurdity of this: I misunderstood...which explains why it didn't make any sense to me, as Hendricks and Price can both exist in our rotation.
  12. The big question is If he will continue to pitch at that rate. Is upgrading from Hendricks to Price worth an additional 25-30 mil per year? I'd love to have Price in the rotation, but I'm fairly certain it isn't the best allocation of resources...and I like Hendricks.
  13. :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: :banghead: David Price has thrown 1,304 innings...Hendricks has thrown in 144 innings.
  14. So...a team that values hitting over pitching is going to trade one of the most productive bats in MLB, who is young and locked up in an excellent deal for a has-been negative WAR first baseman as a placeholder for a prospect who has never hit MLB pitching? you can't rule it out, but if you do I would argue that if you can't imagine such a thing, you should go through some sort of regression therapy and try to reëstablish contact with your youthful imagination. Because right now you're living a barren existence. EDIT: Ahhhhhh. Thanks for the clarification. Neyer's hypothesis is irrelevant to the current trade speculation, as they wouldn't trade Rizzo without Schwarber at least attempting 1B (he's never even played that position). I would also disagree with Neyer - I think they would try every way possible to keep them both in the same lineup. As mentioned previously, it still holds that a team who places a larger value on batting wouldn't trade Rizzo for a pitcher. Stanton? Now we're getting somewhere...
  15. So...a team that values hitting over pitching is going to trade one of the most productive bats in MLB, who is young and locked up in an excellent deal for a has-been negative WAR first baseman as a placeholder for a prospect who has never hit MLB pitching? Well yeah, to get Schwarber in the lineup, you gotta get rid of MONTERO OR ROSS. Can you think of another 1B out there that can be a placeholder and available in a trade? Fixed.
  16. So...a team that values hitting over pitching is going to trade one of the most productive bats in MLB, who is young and locked up in an excellent deal for a has-been negative WAR first baseman as a placeholder for a prospect who has never hit MLB pitching? Schwarber can continue catching until Rizzo's contract expires. ;)
  17. nolanwood

    Castro

    You are comparing the numbers for a complete season of Theriot (537 AB's) to Castro's measly 177 AB's (we're not even out of May yet). :banghead:
  18. Proposal 3 is absurd. There is no logjam that necessitates trading a franchise player. Furthermore, if the Cubs wanted a stud pitcher they would have taken a chance on one instead of drafting Bryant. Impact Bat >>>>>>>>>>>>Ace pitcher.
  19. He really is the best. The best of the best.
  20. Neither do I. I don't see how a cumulative 1.2 WAR over the past two seasons for a 31 year-old catcher on the decline warrants 3/40 PLUS prospects. steamer projects him for 3 WAR That seems very Bullish given his performance the past two seasons, age, etc. I'm curious what his Steamer projections were for the 2014 season?
  21. Neither do I. I don't see how a cumulative 1.2 WAR over the past two seasons for a 31 year-old catcher on the decline warrants 3/40 PLUS prospects.
  22. what I'm saying that I think that Baez has very little value right now. His MLB stint last year only seemed to validate every concern about him. Trading him now would be to trade him would be to sell him at the nadir of his value, I would think. 213 AB's at age 21 did very little (if any) damage to his top 5 prospect value. Prospects aren't expected to immediately adjust to major league pitching. If he continues to falter next season, his value will begin dropping.
  23. So based on recent FA history, the winning team will just need to add a 7th year and an additional $1m AAV to best the Cubs. There will be at least one team that will be desperate enough to do that. So 7/142 Not that I have any faith in what Kap says anyways, but he stated the offer was significantly north of 135 million. If 6/135 was indeed our offer, an extra year + 1M AAV = 164.5 million If we are indeed players on Lester and have a significant offer, we won't get beat on an extra $1M AAV. I hope they pass if a 7th year at 23mil (or more) is what it takes.
  24. 6 million, plus a 9 million signing bonus. vs what from Atlanta? Yankees offered 5/34 with 9 million upfront as a signing bonus. He signed with ATL for 5/28.
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