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illiniguy

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Everything posted by illiniguy

  1. they should concentrate their efforts on assembling a good pitching staff Bailey, Arroyo, and Harang is a good start. Plus they might get the first pick in the draft next year. Isn't the guy in next years draft a big time pitcher?
  2. Hogwash. Wright has 3 times as many errors as Aramis this year. Aram's defense has been superb lately. Aramis is still behind him in every other significant defensive stat and to be fair using a 1/2 season sample is pretty useless for fielding. Wright beats him in win shares, beats him in every range based defensive metric I can find. I'm not saying Aramis doesn't belong just saying that I don't see how Wright making it is a bad thing. If you want to complain its that all 3 aren't in not that any single one is in. Or you could complain because Aramis Ramirez is the better player than David Wright. On 5 years Wright should be starting, as of right now Ramirez is the option you need to pick if you want to win.
  3. Just win series. If the Cubs win the majority of three game sets the rest of the way they'll be in good shape. They do have to play better at Wrigley Field, though. Hahaha. I'm guessing you forgot to go back and edit this post, right? Brewers play what? 5 more series all year against opponents over .500? The Cubs would need to go on a hellish winning streak, and the Brewers one hell of a losing streak, for us to catch them. Just winning 2/3 in a majority of series? That boat, as they say, sailed long ago. Do the Brewers look poised to start dropping 10/11 or 12/15 any time soon? Best hitting in the division, and it's not close? Pitching right up there with us in the Central -- nobody else in the same zip code? Easy schedule the rest of the way? I don't think so. Did they look poised for a long losing streak when they were 24-10? Who knows how the Brewers will play for the rest of the season? My bet would be on over .500, but it is possible that they will be mediocre or worse the rset of the way. Just playing .500 will probably be enough. They'd likely need to play under .500 for us to even sniff a chance. I gonna assume you know that's not happening. Well I don't know how you would assume a team, which hasn't been over .500 in a season in over a decade, would all of the sudden be a lock to play that way. Could they? Yes, they can and might. But, it is pretty odd just to assume it.
  4. Yeah. I can deal with one crappy game started, but this is two in a row. Crap. Well, the Brewers mash lefties. Plus we pretty much have the same guy two days in a row, we need to break those two up. We win tomorrow and we took the series. Fielder is a gold glover now too I see. :wall:
  5. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. Estrada is actually having a below average year right now, other than his injury plagued 2005 he's been a .770+ OPS catcher. Hart projected as a .900ish OPS player so he could keep it up. Jenkins is doing exactly what would be expected of his 3 year average against righties. Hardy I'll give you though. This team is not playing over its head for the season. Who in the hell predicted a 900OPS for Hart? Find me one publication that did. His PECOTA 75th percentile is 904. His weighted mean is 870, so yeah, the most accurate projection system predicted it. He did OPS over 800 in the majors and over 900 MLE in the minors last year. Ok, I guess I will have to concede some thought he would be pretty good. Just curious what did they project Murton as? Probably right around where his BABIP normalized MLE is for this year since hes playing more than once a week in Iowa. PECOTAs weakness is it doesnt do a great job of factoring in incompetent management. And obvioiusly its not going to be exactly correct about everyone, thats a ridiculous thought. I was just curious, but I am glad the NSBB poster once again has to be an ass. This place is unreal anymore. Seemed as though you were trying to make a statement by pointing out a player who obviously has worse numbers this year than he should. But I guess you werent. FYI, PECOTA predicted a weighted mean of 304/365/478 for Matty Mur. Nope, I was just curious. I am a big Murton fan it hurt when I finally had to cut him this week in one of my fantasy leagues.
  6. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. Estrada is actually having a below average year right now, other than his injury plagued 2005 he's been a .770+ OPS catcher. Hart projected as a .900ish OPS player so he could keep it up. Jenkins is doing exactly what would be expected of his 3 year average against righties. Hardy I'll give you though. This team is not playing over its head for the season. Who in the hell predicted a 900OPS for Hart? Find me one publication that did. His PECOTA 75th percentile is 904. His weighted mean is 870, so yeah, the most accurate projection system predicted it. He did OPS over 800 in the majors and over 900 MLE in the minors last year. Ok, I guess I will have to concede some thought he would be pretty good. Just curious what did they project Murton as? Probably right around where his BABIP normalized MLE is for this year since hes playing more than once a week in Iowa. PECOTAs weakness is it doesnt do a great job of factoring in incompetent management. And obvioiusly its not going to be exactly correct about everyone, thats a ridiculous thought. I was just curious, but I am glad the NSBB poster once again has to be an ass. This place is unreal anymore.
  7. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. Estrada is actually having a below average year right now, other than his injury plagued 2005 he's been a .770+ OPS catcher. Hart projected as a .900ish OPS player so he could keep it up. Jenkins is doing exactly what would be expected of his 3 year average against righties. Hardy I'll give you though. This team is not playing over its head for the season. Who in the hell predicted a 900OPS for Hart? Find me one publication that did. His PECOTA 75th percentile is 904. His weighted mean is 870, so yeah, the most accurate projection system predicted it. He did OPS over 800 in the majors and over 900 MLE in the minors last year. Ok, I guess I will have to concede some thought he would be pretty good. Just curious what did they project Murton as?
  8. PECOTA mean projection is an .864 for him. The 75 percentile projection is .904. They project him to be worth $43,450,000 over 2007-2011. But, that is based off of his first half too, correct? Looking back no one predicted him to be an All-Star level outfielder. Hell a few years ago he was behind Dave Krynzel and the other Corey Hart on their prospect list.
  9. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. hart and hardy are young and haven't really established "career numbers" yet so it's impossible to say if they're outperforming or not. estrada isn't outperforming and jenkins only hits against righties, which is his strong suit. So Hardy is the next Arod at SS. Hell, even Brewers fans think he is playing way over his head. Scott Eyre is horrible. someone got up on the wrong side of the bed this morning, eh? No I think the Brewers are going to come back to the pack big time, I don't think these guys can all keep hitting like this. It gives me hope more than anything. I just wish our two young lefties both hadn't laid eggs this week.
  10. Because JIm Hendry won't admit a mistake. Ever. not really, who would take him? hendry made a mistake signing him at all. Um DFA them. If Oakland can afford to do it, so can we. let's knock off this sarcastic crap, shall we? I am not joking, why not DFA the holy trinity of crap? They are not the holy trinity of crap. They are the trifecta of suckage. My mistake.
  11. Because JIm Hendry won't admit a mistake. Ever. not really, who would take him? hendry made a mistake signing him at all. Um DFA them. If Oakland can afford to do it, so can we. let's knock off this sarcastic crap, shall we? I am not joking, why not DFA the holy trinity of crap?
  12. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. hart and hardy are young and haven't really established "career numbers" yet so it's impossible to say if they're outperforming or not. estrada isn't outperforming and jenkins only hits against righties, which is his strong suit. So Hardy is the next Arod at SS. Hell, even Brewers fans think he is playing way over his head. Scott Eyre is horrible.
  13. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. Estrada is actually having a below average year right now, other than his injury plagued 2005 he's been a .770+ OPS catcher. Hart projected as a .900ish OPS player so he could keep it up. Jenkins is doing exactly what would be expected of his 3 year average against righties. Hardy I'll give you though. This team is not playing over its head for the season. Who in the hell predicted a 900OPS for Hart? Find me one publication that did.
  14. Because JIm Hendry won't admit a mistake. Ever. not really, who would take him? hendry made a mistake signing him at all. Um DFA them. If Oakland can afford to do it, so can we.
  15. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. It makes sense that their young guys would have career years, they are still heading towards their peak seasons. We have to hope the cool off somewhat, though. To a point I agree. No one thought Hardy was a 40 homer a year guy, no one. Fielder is gonna go for about .300 58 130. If you think he is that good over 162 games, well I disagree. But, the guys like Jenkins, Hart, and Estrada are the ones that will come back to earth.
  16. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. To be fair, everyone expected Fielder to be really good. Not, better than Albert Pujols good.
  17. Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year.
  18. Fontenot and Pagan sure didn't help him out with their fielding.
  19. Marshall and Hill have shown how important it is to resign Zambrano.
  20. Now would be a nice time for a DLEE homer. You got 4 more on the season Lee, go ahead and use one here.
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