Here's what needs to happen for the USMNT to get a seed at the World Cup: - USMNT win at Panama - Netherlands loss at Turkey - Switzerland loss v Slovenia - England draw or loss v Poland - Three of Spain, Uruguay, Portugal and Croatia fail to qualify for World Cup. If all that happens, the US would pass the Netherlands, Switzerland and England in the FIFA ratings (to be 11th), and three other teams ahead of them (Spain, Uruguay, Portugal, and/or Croatia) would be out of the draw. Odds of all that happening...about 1 in 27,000. Guaranteed seeds in World Cup: Brazil, Argentina, Colombia, Germany, Italy, Belgium