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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. That's simply not true. Most of them it's because they don't have a quality 3rd pitch to be a starter. Really, you're going to sit there and say it's not true that relievers are the most volatile and unpredictable position in baseball?
  2. ERA 3.02, FIP 3.62, xFIP 3.95. xFIP has been 3.80 or higher the last 4 seasons. #BoyGenius Wow, and I thought it was bad enough that you felt you needed to break out the "no quality FA relievers signed excluding the ones that were because I don't think they should count" comment. Gregg's FIP and xFIP were even higher than Veras' last year Which is why they signed Veras. Fortunately, two weeks is enough of a definite analysis of ability to make sweeping judgments. It's also nice that relievers are so reliably predictable and good, so that's why they pitch in relief.
  3. ERA 3.02, FIP 3.62, xFIP 3.95. xFIP has been 3.80 or higher the last 4 seasons. #BoyGenius Wow, and I thought it was bad enough that you felt you needed to break out the "no quality FA relievers signed excluding the ones that were because I don't think they should count" comment.
  4. Well, the Blackhawks were likely going to have to beat Colorado and St. Louis in order to make the WCF anyway, so...they just might have to do it in a different order now.
  5. I'll credit that wild pitch to Olt's presence.
  6. Castro refuses to let Cole walk him, and grounds a single through the drawn-in infield that's probably an out if the IF is standard depth.
  7. I think the Pirates are pitching around Castro here. He's back!
  8. Actually, what I'd find interesting is how varied the strike zone is depending on the umpire calling it. I know some umpires are notorious for bad zones, or even worse, inconsistent zones.
  9. No, the assumption that it's mostly framing is a bit unfounded, but the data is still odd. Especially the one pitch called a ball that was practically down the middle. Call it umpires unwilling to give edges to wild pitchers (which is just another good reason that umpires are stupid). Call it umpires being fooled by catchers that make balls look like strikes, or vice versa. I still don't like the concept that the strike zone varies wildly based on non-objective variables.
  10. that pitcher has certainly disgraced himself The future is here man [expletive]! What Cub prospect list was there ever that included Rizzo but not Baez? Baez was drafted in 2011, Cubs traded for Rizzo in 2012.
  11. I get that it is pitch f/x data, but how reliable is that for determining the strike zone in every stadium? Each stadium is obviously uniquely designed which makes their systems at least questionable as to the accuracy of how it is measuring strikes. It is one thing to judge speed and movement of any one pitch, but the strike zone is fluid throughout the league, from ump to ump, batter to batter. There are a whole bunch of reasons why a pitch that any one stadium's system determines to be in the zone may be called a ball. The cameras track the trajectory of the ball, and it's accurate to within an inch. Since mounds, distances to the plate, and size of the plate are consistent from park to park, the data will be consistent across the board. There can be fluctuations from park-to-park. See point 3 here. The fluctuations aren't in the data, they're in the conditions at the park.
  12. By definition it always maintains consistency from park to park. I'm not sure how you could even think otherwise here. You not aware how motion tracking cameras work? It's not all on the framer, but that's a part of it.
  13. I get that it is pitch f/x data, but how reliable is that for determining the strike zone in every stadium? Each stadium is obviously uniquely designed which makes their systems at least questionable as to the accuracy of how it is measuring strikes. It is one thing to judge speed and movement of any one pitch, but the strike zone is fluid throughout the league, from ump to ump, batter to batter. There are a whole bunch of reasons why a pitch that any one stadium's system determines to be in the zone may be called a ball. The cameras track the trajectory of the ball, and it's accurate to within an inch. Since mounds, distances to the plate, and size of the plate are consistent from park to park, the data will be consistent across the board.
  14. Soon as you start actually reading the information and taking it for what it is. What is determining non-called strikes? How do they judge that? Does the system vary from stadium to stadium? I'm not exactly sure what you're asking here, but it's pitch f/x data, collected the same way across the board. Sometimes there is a fluky result on a false read, but those generally get filtered out of the data and it's obvious (like a 0 for either a horizontal or vertical pitch location, which would indicate the pitch went about 4 feet from its intended target), and is usually fixed later. Pitch f/x data is available to be gathered from MLB by anyone, so it's not exactly proprietary information that would be biased in some way.
  15. Soon as you start actually reading the information and taking it for what it is.
  16. The opposing lineup matters not.
  17. 20% of their in-strike-zone calls have been balls. That's crazy.
  18. How did Javy begin the year at Daytona last year?
  19. Nobody's reading between the lines, it's just not that unusual for teams to not have player progress through 6 levels of minor leagues in 3 years, especially if they are drafting younger players overall. Sure, there's occasionally a Mark Appel who stays in college ball for an extra year and starts out at a higher level of the minors, or a Mike Trout/Bryce Harper/Jose Fernandez that gets bumped up ridiculously quickly and catches on, but those are by far the exception. Right now, at A+, AA, and AAA, the Cubs have some of the youngest players in each league, so they're not overly conservative, either. Which should tell you that 1) Development is coming along just fine, and 2) Expecting players to go through 6 levels of minor leagues in 3 years is pretty unrealistic, so it's not that amazing that no real Cub prospects have done so in the past 3 years.
  20. Err, the Cubs have some of the youngest players at each level of the minor leagues. They're developing just fine, there's just an unrealistic expectation of how quickly a drafted player progresses through minor league systems on average.
  21. The Pacers started out 16-1 and the Bulls 7-9. Since then, the Bulls have been 38-23 (the start of that was actually 2-7, they've been 36-16 since), while the Pacers have been 37-23.
  22. Pretty sure I'm more familiar with the names on that lineup card than the Cubs lineup card today.
  23. The pitcher formerly known as Fausto Carmona, Roberto Hernandez In Anglo terms, wouldn't this be like changing your name from Chest Rockwell to John Smith? It's more like a guy by the name of John Smith having a fake ID for Ron Mexico.
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