JGalt73

Neifi's bat in the lineup has been 11 runs below average to go with a net zero runs above average saved in the field. What is even more impressive is that he's managed to cost more than a game while getting only 5% of the team's plate appearances.

From Kevin Goldstein at BP -

2006 Pitcher abuse point leader update: 1. Carlos Zambrano 2. Jason Schmidt 3. Curt Schilling 4. John Smoltz 5. Barry Zito

Below are the leaders in pitcher abuse points for 2003-2006. Maybe Z can finally rise to the top! You make the call: 2006 (before today's games) 1. Jason Schmidt 2. Curt Schilling 3. John Smoltz 4. Carlos Zambrano 5. Aaron Harang 2005 1. Livan Hernandez 2. Carlos Zambrano 3. Mark Prior 4. Aaron Harang 5. Barry Zito 2004 1. Livan Hernandez 2. Jason Schmidt 3. Carlos Zambrano 4. Victor Zambrano 5. Al Leiter 2003 1. Javier Vazquez 2. Kerry Wood 3. Livan Hernandez 4. Mark Prior 5. Mark Redman (11. Carlos Zambrano)

Dempster threw 35 yesterday and looked bad. Can no one else pitch in a 3 run save situation?

The bullpen arms are expendable - your 25 year old ace is not! I hate Dusty.

Dunn feels bad for Z and wants him out of the game, too.

..and Z threw 126 last time out.

Zambrano hasn't made the DL like the rest of the trinity yet?

Z at 109 pitches through 7, with 6 BB and a four run lead. I pinch hit.

BP's metric for the addition to OBP that stolen bases should provide would give Pierre a boost from .277 to .290 (prior to today). Wait, I'm confused. How would stealing a base, when a player is already on base (obviously), boost his OBP? From BP...

BP's metric for the addition to OBP that stolen bases should provide would give Pierre a boost from .277 to .290 (prior to today).

http://espn-att.starwave.com/photo/2006/0609/ncaa_a_clemson_412.jpg

In the article they suggest this is skew because of the caliber of hitters you green light on that count.

You know all hope is lost when we're getting cheered by Cards fans.

I feel a walk off walk.

How come Dusty feels the need to keep guys like Neifi and Bynum "fresh" by playing them, yet he never uses Dempster outside of a save situation?

A walk is as good as a home run. Better?

Corey Patterson takes a full count walk with the bases loaded in the 6th in Baltimore. EDIT:...originally thought it was Minnesota b/c it was so quiet on the walk!

Here's the data... Here's how major league hitters (excluding NL pitchers) performed in the 2000 season ON the various counts: AVG OBP SPC AB H 2B 3B HR RBI W SO On 0-0 .341 .345 .552 22031 7508 1471 154 955 4099 0 0 On 0-1 .327 .335 .519 14405 4715 897 85 565 2317 0 0 On 0-2 .168 .178 .248 12016 2013 331 44 184 941 0 5448 On 1-0 .346 .346 .585 14500 5019 1020 117 737 2718 0 0 On 1-1 .329 .334 .524 15339 5052 1002 109 590 2448 0 0 On 1-2 .183 .189 .274 23025 4208 786 92 380 1969 0 9832 On 2-0 .369 .367 .675 5544 2045 451 45 386 1254 0 0 On 2-1 .343 .343 .565 10776 3696 752 65 503 1884 0 0 On 2-2 .198 .202 .309 22770 4501 885 94 487 2172 0 8883 On 3-0 .428 .957 .825 383 164 39 4 35 231 4859 0 On 3-1 .345 .689 .632 4824 1663 356 40 316 1112 5437 0 On 3-2 .237 .483 .393 16104 3817 773 95 518 2227 7701 5124 Here's how major league hitters (excluding NL pitchers) performed in the 2000 season when passing THROUGH the various counts: AVG OBP SPC AB H 2B 3B HR RBI W SO Thru 0-0 .275 .350 .445 161632 44381 8759 944 5656 23353 17969 29255 Thru 0-1 .243 .289 .382 73632 17889 3476 371 2015 8752 4245 18964 Thru 0-2 .185 .217 .281 27658 5119 923 107 509 2476 917 11537 Thru 1-0 .288 .411 .480 66007 18997 3814 419 2686 10515 13734 10306 Thru 1-1 .252 .329 .403 63348 15978 3198 352 1881 8095 6970 15168 Thru 1-2 .195 .249 .304 41929 8197 1618 176 861 4047 2731 1677 Thru 2-0 .307 .539 .537 19748 6058 1253 129 1009 3663 10104 2571 Thru 2-1 .270 .414 .446 32498 8790 1738 188 1202 4771 7975 6600 Thru 2-2 .209 .315 .335 33641 7033 1393 163 837 3684 5108 12400 Thru 3-0 .308 .776 .546 3437 1060 235 26 176 777 7288 460 Thru 3-1 .293 .605 .512 10054 2947 621 66 484 1827 8029 1606 Thru 3-2 .237 .483 .393 16104 3817 773 95 518 2227 7701 5124 "The hitter's OPS rose from .795 for all appearances to .891 when the first pitch is a ball and fell to .671 when the first pitch was a strike."

Our double barrelled lead-off hitters rock!

At least we don't have to lead off with groundouts.

Colvin first pitch singles to left in the 9th.

The rankings are based on 2 year stats, so I think we're in trouble.

http://www.stathead.com/bbeng/woolner/vorpdescnew.htm I think I understand VORP even less after reading that. Very simply, VORP is a cumulative stat that measures runs added by hitting only (no base running or defense included). The runs are those added above what a AAA or fringe bench player making little money would be estimated to add. 10 points of VORP (or 10 runs) is roughly equal to a win. So Pujols this year has a VORP of 38.6 - he's been 38 runs better than a replacement AAA 1st baseman, versus Todd Walker with a 9.1. And you can be below replacement level - hence Juan Pierre's ability to be 6.3 runs below a replacement player. VORP is added (or subtracted) after each game.