Rob
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Everything posted by Rob
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Why the [expletive] am I not reading Gateway Redbirds right now?
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SHUT UP DON'T CHINKS IT Freudian slip? You racist
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Is there a place in Theo Epstein's regime for Jim "The Prophet" Hendry?
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So glad we traded him.
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There's always Game 7... but damn this was a missed opportunity.
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[expletive] me with a brick
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This is kinda like watching Marmol pitch when he can't locate the fastball.
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Wow, can't believe he watched that go.
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Bout motherfucking time.
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Feliz isn't anywhere close to the zone.
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Of course
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Hahahahahahahahahahahahahaha
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JUST GET THERIOT OUT GOD DAMMIT
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La Russa keeps a list of them to puke in He should probably keep a bucket in his car.
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People hate chucky? I was not aware.
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Pujols is gonna get another AB this game. *shudder*
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I don't think you'll find many that think Reyes is not a good player. The problem is, he will cost a lot of money and plays a position where we don't have a huge hole to fill. Prince Fielder will cost a lot of money and fill a huge hole. Priorities, man. His injury history has to be on that list too. Probably at the top of the list, even. Yeah, I honestly don't know which scares me more between Fielder's weight and Reyes's legs.
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Byrd was almost exactly the same player this year as he was last year. Kind of crappy. His last good season was 2008, and his OBP, which is extremely influenced by his BABIP dropped .022 points -- probably somewhat related to getting hit in the face and his age. I suppose at $6.5M he's not a drag on the payroll for his performance, but I really think that money could be spent better elsewhere. The average MLB CF hit .261/.326/.410 last year. Had Byrd's BABIP been at his career average, that OBP and Slugging would have been almost exactly on the mark. He's ever so slightly above average defensively and on the basepaths and when his face isn't getting exploded, he stays pretty healthy. Byrd isn't kind of crappy. He's pretty much the definition of average ballplayer. And $6.5 million for that is actually a good deal lower than market value. I'll agree if you say it wasn't fun to watch him this year. He hacks way too much to have any business batting 3rd and when he did come back from his injury he looked awful. But if we just slide him over to RF to make way for Jackson, bat him 6th or 7th all season, we should be perfectly happy.
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For certain there'd be a sandwich pick between the first and second round. Beyond that, it depends on who signs him. If it's a team that picks in the top half of the first round, we'd get their second rounder. If it's a team that picks in the second half of the first round, we'd get their first rounder.
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His WAR was like half this year. He wasn't the same player. He played in only 75% of the games he did in 2010 because his face got exploded. The rest of the difference is made up by defensive stats. And before you try to argue he was that good defensively in 2010, here are his UZR values by year (since 2005): 5.3, 2.9, 2.3, 2.8, -8.1, 9.8, 2.2 Tell me, do you really think he was a 9.8 run defender in CF in 2010, or is it more likely we are looking at some of that famous UZR variance?
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Byrd was almost exactly the same player this year as he was last year. no he wasn't BB% - 4.9%, 5.2% K% - 15.6%, 16.2% ISO - .136, .119 BABIP - .335, .316 The batted ball profile is strikingly similar as well. The difference between what he did this year and last year is tied up in that .20 points of BABIP. He was a bit lucky in 2010, a bit unlucky this year. It's that simple.
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Yeah, that was after Theo was announced. The one I'm thinking of was from before. I think Demp can get 3/35 on the open market. At that price (and at his age, and coming off the year he is), I have to imagine he'd be willing to take that rather than gamble on his market value still being good enough to make more after this year.
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Byrd was almost exactly the same player this year as he was last year.
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I seem to recall a quote by Dempster where he basically came out and said "I'll exercise my option if they express an interest in keeping me beyond this year. Otherwise, I'm gone." If that's not just a figment of my imagination, not doing a sell job would be the same as convincing him to leave.
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I'd assume that more would have to be done to fill out the rotation. The question I'm asking isn't really about the composition of the entire rotation. It's more about whether Demp would be worth anything close to $15M in 2012. I like Dempster and he's likely to be worth around what his contract calls for... but I think it'd be in the best interests of the team to convince him to go. Dempster projects as a Type A. If he declines the option and we offer arbitration, we'll get two picks and $15 million in payroll freed up. We could approximate his production by signing Paul Maholm for a fraction of that price and spend the rest of the money on upgrades elsewhere.
