I've always preferred high-ceiling guys, rather than low floor, especially given the way the market has shaken out over the last 5 years. With long contracts being handed out to young superstars (Longoria, Braun, etc.), it would seem that the real marquee players... the franchise building blocks... are only going to be hitting free agency later and later in their careers, making them a less attractive long term investment. It's only going to get harder to build a competitive team using cost-controlled role players and having to acquire our superstars through free agency and trades. I'd much rather draft a bunch of boom or bust guys, hope one or two boom, and use free agency to fill in the gaps.