While one guy could hold up his value in a long term contract, it's not a gamble worth taking. We've watched the Cubs give big money to Alfonseca, Fassero, Gordon, Remlinger, Hawkins, Eyre and Howry. None has really been worth their value. In 2002, the most effective guys in the pen were Juan Cruz and Joe Borowski. The big money pen guys were Fassero and Alfonseca. In 2003, Borowski, Farnsworth and Guthrie were the most effective guys in the pen, and the big money pen guys were Remlinger and Alfonseca. In 2004, Hawkins and Mercker were the most effective pen guys, and the big money guys were Remlinger and Hawkins. In 2005, Dempster and Ohman were the most effective guys in the pen, and Hawkins, Remlinger and Borowski were the big money guys. In 2006, Wuertz, Howry and Eyre were the most effective bullpen guys, Dempster, Eyre and Howry were the big money pen guys. Most of the more effective relievers have been the cheaper guys. It's a very fickle bunch.