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TruffleShuffle

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  1. nobody seems to stop and think that because they actually HAVE done a robust risk/reward analysis and found that spending on the draft has the greatest return on investment of any dollar that a team spends. jim callis did a study that found that going above slot for draft picks has a very high rate of return. hell, a current major league pitcher (ross ohlendorf) did a college thesis that found: yes, if you have bad scouts and make bad decisions in the draft and int'l free agency, you will be wasting money. but if you have competent people within your organization, it's more important to spend on young talent than on anything else.
  2. he needs to get back to boning everything that moves.... maybe that'll turn around his golf game
  3. tennessee scored 8 runs in the last 4 innings to win 8-7. mcnutt was mediocre: 5 ip, 6 h, 4 r, 2 er, 1 bb, 4 k, 1 hr. guyer was 4-5 with 2 doubles and has his average up to .340. canzler hit a walkoff homer. daytona is down 2-0 - offense has done nothing really; pitching has been pretty good (struck: 4.0 ip, 3 h, 1 er, 3 bb, 4 k; o. martinez 4.0 ip, 3 h, 1 er, 2 bb, 3 k). DSL cubs 1 lost 3-2.
  4. we have 62 walks in what's about to be 26 games. that's pretty [expletive] bad. i figure everyone just doesn't care and is swinging at whatever the pitcher throws up there.
  5. shouldn't brandon guyer win minor league player of the year for the cubs? 2nd in BA, 7th in OBP, 1st in SLG, 2nd in OPS in the southern league. he and chirinos have been better than brett jackson (but chirinos is 3 years older and has been around forever)
  6. lol pretty much exactly what i would expect; pretty surprised that there wasn't a reference those nerds living in their mother's basement. too bad FJM isn't around to tear into him.
  7. losing to the reds has the added bonus of pissing off cardinal fans.
  8. Except younger and better. younger yes, better... who knows? i don't know what beliveau hits on the radar gun but he's pitched 60 1/3 innings, struck out 92 (13.72 K/9 IP) and allowed 26 walks (3.88 BB/9 IP). he's been unlucky on balls in play and his hit rate is still very good. nobody talks about him but he's got to be doing something right to miss so many bats.
  9. your friend was right with the wrong reasoning. he pitched only around 120 innings this year, which wasn't a huge jump from the 109 last year with SDSU. he never went over 100 pitches this year. in 2009 and 2008 he averaged nearly 7 1/2 innings per start, and considering that some of those starts he was striking out 15-20 batters, one would assume that his pitch counts were going above 100. poor mechanics, previous workload, act of God, etc. are better excuses for strasburg's injury than his workload this season. short of not pitching him ever, there really wasn't anything the nationals could do to stop this from happening.
  10. 2 ip, 2 h, 0 r, 1 bb, 6 k for kurcz. boise's opponent has struck out 17 times in 8 innings but still has 8 hits (8 for 15 when putting the ball in play). kurcz has 41 K's in 24 IP... he's this year's jeff beliveau.
  11. FIP by inning according to Minor League Splits: 1st - 3.66 2nd - 4.71 3rd - 3.53 4th - 4.28 5th - 7.04 6th - 6.38 7th - 6.66 8th - 2.35 9th - 4.16 yeah that's pretty much how it's seemed this year, he starts off okay and then falls apart in the middle innings. i'm not sure if it's reasonable to blame this on the 2-3 weeks that he was relieving, but i'm going to do it anyway. bad luck on balls in play aside, very good start for greathouse (9 k/0 bb)
  12. jay jackson's ERA in the 6th/7th innings has to be about 35.
  13. roy halladay should get real consideration for this.
  14. the cubs also had a remarkable ability to not get him out. his career obp was .330 but against the cubs it was .424.
  15. because he's pretty much a once in a generation pitching talent (92 K's, 18 BB in 68 IP as a SP) and as a baseball fan, unless you're miserable all the time about everything, that's pretty exciting and interesting.
  16. i really hate to [expletive] say i told you so, but here's me saying i told you so for about the 30th time on this issue.
  17. http://web.minorleaguebaseball.com/milb/stats/stats.jsp?pos=P&sid=t451&t=p_pbp&pid=502188 that's a few years of stats from him. numbers kind of seem all over the place, but i guess on average he's probably pretty neutral. MiLB considers line outs to not be fly outs, so i think this tends to skew the numbers a bit GO-friendly.
  18. i always said the cubs needed to get more italian.
  19. last year it didn't count. in 2005 he raked from the start of the year, but for some reason that didn't count. perhaps not enough RBI against above .500 teams? look at it this way - since 2004 (start of D-Lee's Cub career), the most successful franchises have probably been the yankees and red sox, right? these are the type of teams you'd like to see him step up against, but would you believe that he has only TWO RBI against those franchises in SIX years??? what an embarrassment.
  20. I love how you say this like he got hot for the last month or so when in reality, his worst single month OPS after April was May with a .955. Last 5 months of 2009: .955 .973 1.027 1.014 1.295 Yeah, that's finishing on a hot streak. If by finishing on a hot streak you mean being an elite level hitter for the last 85% of the season. Even after an abysmal April, he finished 4th in the NL in OPS. yeah but he hit well when the cubs were out of it (september) which doesn't count.
  21. well a fly ball pitcher should have a little bit better BABIP since more fly balls turn into outs, but he should also give up more extra base hits. samardzija's only allowed 6 hr in 100 ip, which is lucky - can't really speak to his doubles/triples and how they relate to where they "should be." when you neutralize his #'s for luck on minor league splits, he goes up to a 4.90 FIP, which seems wrong to me because it has him at a .347 babip (seems too high for a fly ball-leaning pitcher with good pop-up numbers and a not-outrageous LD% of 17.9). but yeah, he's not preventing hits because he's doing anything right.
  22. They make some nice chain saws though. on the other hand the twins aren't spending this new payroll super wisely (other than the most-obvious-resigning-of-the-century in mauer which i guess they wouldn't have made previously) bill smith is slowly but surely gutting the young talent for bad players, making bad trade after bad trade and now their pitching, which surely should have been a strong point when looking from a vantage point 2-3 years ago to today, is really bad bill smith- bad gm surely you're referring to another twins organization, as this twins team has the #13 ERA in baseball (and it was several spots better when you posted this) and #6 WHIP. plus they've been victimized by lousy defense - they're #7 in both FIP and xFIP. if the twins' pitching is "really bad" then 3/4 of the teams in major league baseball have really bad pitching. as for them not spending the new payroll super wisely, they lead their division by 3.5 games (ahead of two other organizations with larger payrolls), they're tied with the red sox for the 3rd best record in the league and the 6th best record in the entire league. so really, i have no idea what you're talking about in this post.
  23. Suck it up, Rob. This is your profession. You can't just call off for a couple of games because you've made a complete ass out of yourself recently (and by recently, i mean your entire life)
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