OK well here's how I look at it... there are a few teams that I think are gimmes: 1. USC -Good wins: @Oregon (blowout), @Arizona State, @ND -Losses: None 2. Texas -Good wins: @Ohio St., @Mizzou, Colorado, Texas Tech, (Oklahoma because they've had problems with them in the past) -Losses: None 3. Miami -Good wins: @Va Tech, @Clemson, Colorado -Losses: @Florida State (First game, close, special teams cost them) 4. Alabama -Good wins: @South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee (kind of), -Losses: None 5. LSU -Good wins: @Arizona State, Florida, Auburn -Losses: Tennessee (fell apart at the end of the game) 6. PSU -Good wins: @Northwestern, Minnesota, Ohio St., Wisconsin -Losses: Michigan (last second TD allowed) That's all the gimmes IMO... here are the cases for the other two spots: Georgia -Good wins: Boise St., South Carolina, @Tennessee -Losses: N- Florida (missing starting QB, close game) Virginia Tech -Good wins: @NC St (being generous with this one), Ga Tech, BC, @WVU, @Maryland -Losses: Miami (not very comptitive) Oregon -Good wins: Fresno State, @Arizona St., Cal -Losses: USC (blown out) Texas Tech -Good wins: @Nebraska or Kansas, I guess -Losses: @Texas (blown out) West Virginia -Good wins: @Maryland, Louisville -Losses: Virginia Tech (34-17) UCLA -Good wins: Oklahoma (sort of), Cal, @Stanford -Losses: Arizona (blown out) Notre Dame -Good wins: @Michigan, Tennessee (Purdue and Pitt suck) -Losses: Michigan State (loss looking worse in retrospect), USC (no shame in this one at all) Ohio State -Good wins: Iowa, Michigan State (sort of), @Minnesota, -Losses: Texas, @PSU (both close) My instinct is that out of the other six, I think the best three are Va Tech, Georgia and Ohio State. I don't think Oregon is really that good, Texas Tech and West Virginia have played joke schedules, and UCLA has been hanging on by its fingernails to win too many games. I actually do think Notre Dame is very good, but its schedule was not really that strong, and the BCS computers have picked up on that. Ohio State only lost two games, and those losses were to the BCS #2 and #5... I also think that the OSU-PSU game was probably decided by PSU having home field advantage. If the game were in Columbus, the score might very well have been reversed. Can you really say that if Oregon, West Virginia or UCLA had hosted Texas and gone on the road to Penn State, those teams wouldn't have all lost those games? I'm going to guess they would have all lost, and most likely by larger margins. Virginia Tech is troubling because they've played a pretty strong schedule and looked very good in a number of games against pretty good competition (Ga Tech, @Maryland, BC and @WV they were never threatened)... but there is, of course, the matter of getting blown out by Miami at home. Is Va Tech really that sloppy and turnover-prone, or did they just have a bad day against the wrong team? I'd probably go with the BCS top 8 at this point - USC, Texas, Bama, Miami, PSU, LSU, Va Tech, Ohio State - and leave Georgia out right now. But, two of Georgia's last three games are against Auburn and then against Georgia Tech, which could move them up. I expect that either Alabama or LSU will drop out of my top 8 after this weekend, and Georgia will move in - assuming they beat Auburn.