Who Wins Super Tuesday: Democratic edition.

[seanimal]

Not who you want to win or will be voting for, but what will happen.

[Derwood]

i don't understand it enough to predict, actually. i know California has a billion delegates, but how do they get split up...by county?

[Banedon]

i don't understand it enough to predict, actually. i know California has a billion delegates, but how do they get split up...by county?

 

In all proportionally divided states (most democratic primaries) it goes like this...

 

35% of delegates are determined by the overall state vote.

 

65% are divided by voting districts.

 

If a district has 4 delegates, and Candidate A gets like 59% of the vote, and Candidate B gets 41%, they each get 2 delegates. I believe 63% is the threshold where you get a bonus delgate...

 

If a district has 5 delegates and the same scenario occured, the winner takes 3 and the loser takes 2.

 

It's because of those scenarios that something like Nevada happens. Where one can win the overall popular vote, but the other can win the delgate count.

 

I voted for the slight edge to Obama, as all the polls are starting to swing his way. But how are we measuring it? Delegates? Votes?

[Derwood]

guy on CNN last night showed that someone can "win the state", say, 55% to 45%, but end up with less delegates. He said you have to look at each of the 51 districts individually. That being the case (plus the fact that CA is on the west coast) i have a feeling that the true results won't be in until early morning Wednesday