Yeah, you are, if you think that if this season played out 100 times, Soler would get a Sept call up 5 or fewer times. Correct. Less than 5 or fewer times out of 100 will a guy with 55 games of A+ experience shoot up the ladder and make his MLB debut that year. I'd place roughly equal odds of that happening to the odds of him starting the season at A+, getting hurt, having a disciplinary incident, struggling at the plate and barely making AA by August. It's that time of year again where "What is the most absurdly optimistic scenario we could possibly come up with for a Cubs prospect" slowly morphs into the expectation.